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Reviewing Kyle Bishop's Bold Predictions for 2017

What’s even more fun than making bold predictions? Looking back at the end of the season to see how good (or so, so hilariously bad) they were.

Just like with the preseason pieces in March, I’m kicking off the review of our RotoBaller staff’s 2017 bold predictions.

Let's get to it.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

Grading the Predictions

1. Jose Peraza outperforms Billy Hamilton in standard leagues.

I’m officially done with the “throw shade at the Hamburglar” predictions, after whiffing on one for the second consecutive year. Peraza turned out to be even more hapless at the plate than his teammate. As a result, he didn’t siphon at-bats in the leadoff spot, and instead found himself in the bottom third of the order for most of the year. That suppressed his runs total and his stolen base attempts, neither of which came anywhere close to Hamilton’s efforts. Grade: F

2. Edwin Diaz finishes as the No.1 reliever.

Another swing and miss here. Speaking of swings and misses, Diaz got plenty of them, but not nearly as many as he did during his rookie season. He also had some bouts of wildness and gopheritis, including a stretch severe enough to get him deposed from the closer role, albeit only for a couple of days. Ultimately, he produced a perfectly cromulent season, but not one nearly good enough to fulfill this lofty expectation. Grade: C-

3. Jake Lamb is a top-5 third baseman.

This one was looking good at the All-Star break, as Lamb hit.279/.376/.546 with 20 home runs, 121 R+RBI, and four stolen bases in the first half. Unfortunately, his production fell off precipitously in the second half for the second year in a row, particularly in the final month. Much like Diaz, the results he did provide had plenty of value – just not enough to make this prediction a winner. Grade: C

4. Byron Buxton has a 20/40 season.

While Buxton didn’t hit these benchmarks, the fact that he even came close (16 HR, 29 SB) is impressive given how awful he looked in the early going. The former top prospect, still just 23 years old, bounced back from a horrendous first half with a virtuoso performance after the break. His emergence helped propel the Twins to an unlikely wild-card berth and ensured that fantasy owners will bet on him again in 2018. Grade: B

5. Wil Myers finishes outside the top 12 at first base.

Myers certainly wasn’t bad; in fact, he was the only first baseman to log a 30/20 season in 2017. That production wasn’t enough to crack the top-12, however. Along with the emergence of several other players at the position, Myers’ pedestrian batting average and unspectacular run production rendered him a high-end CI rather than a starting 1B in standard leagues. Grade: A-

6. Tom Murphy is a top-8 catcher.

If you’re faithfully executing in the spirit of this exercise, by necessity there are going to be a couple of embarrassing clunkers in the bunch. This one certainly qualifies. In justifying this prediction, I wrote that, “the biggest obstacle for this one might be playing time.” Nailed that part, at least. Murphy got hurt in spring training and only ended up starting seven games for the Rockies all year. Grade: F

7. Edwin Encarnacion is not a top-10 first baseman.

This one just barely qualifies as a success, as Encarnacion shook off a slow start to produce numbers not too far afield from his usual standard of excellence. As with Myers, however, other breakouts knocked him down in the ranks at his position. 40 bombs just don’t go as far as they used to. Grade: B+

8. Aaron Nola is a top-20 starting pitcher.

Despite a back injury that rendered him ineffective for a few starts and then inactive for a month, Nola very nearly made good on this one. Nola ranked 19th among qualified starters in ERA, 17th in WHIP, 13th in K%, and 15th in K-BB%.  Ultimately, however, he wound up just outside the top 20 on both Yahoo and ESPN. In addition to the time missed with injury, notching only 12 wins was enough to keep him from fulfilling this prediction. Given his bargain ADP, though, he certainly turned a tidy profit for fantasy owners in 2017. Grade: A-

9. All three starters in the Brewers’ outfield are top-25 outfielders.

I initially planned to just spotlight Domingo Santana here, but felt that didn’t qualify as bold enough. Perhaps that instinct was appropriate, as it turned out that only Santana finished in the top-25 among outfielders. Ryan Braun missed significant time with myriad injuries and wasn’t up to his usual standards when he did play, while Keon Broxton’s contact issues led to a midseason demotion and suppressed run production. At least Santana fulfilled his destiny as the next George Springer. Grade: D+

10. Aaron Sanchez finishes outside the top 40 starting pitchers.

Y’all should probably just not draft the pitcher I rag on for next season’s edition, because this is three straight times I’ve correctly predicted a wet fart of a season for an arm everyone else loves. Sanchez dealt with blister issues all season and never got on track, making only eight mostly-bad starts before his season ended in July. Obviously, you can’t predict injuries, but the underlying skills simply didn’t support his breakout 2016, and I’d caution against paying an expectant price for a rebound next year. Grade: A

 

 




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Alex Bregman

Cubs Sign Alex Bregman to Five-Year, $175 Millon Contract
Chet Holmgren

Available Sunday
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Suspended for Three Games for Attempting to Strike Another Player
Kristaps Porzingis

May Return Sunday
Zaccharie Risacher

to Miss Second Consecutive Game Sunday
Kevin Porter Jr.

Considered Probable for Sunday
Aaron Gordon

Likely to Play Sunday
Christian Braun

Considered Probable for Sunday
Spencer Jones

May Miss Another Game Sunday
Jamal Murray

Iffy for Sunday's Action
Josh Hart

Tagged as Questionable for Sunday
Ja Morant

Out Sunday
Michael Porter Jr.

Resting on Sunday
RJ Barrett

Unavailable Sunday
Brandon Ingram

Could Remain Out Sunday
Scottie Barnes

Uncertain for Sunday
Joel Embiid

Questionable to Play Sunday
Tidjane Salaün

Tidjane Salaun Available Versus Jazz
Grant Williams

Ready for Season Debut
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

off the Injury Report for Sunday
Kevin Huerter

Active on Saturday Night
Jalen Smith

Back for Bulls Saturday
Chandler Stephenson

Jaden Schwartz Replaces Chandler Stephenson in Kraken Lineup
Brandon Saad

Won't Play This Weekend
Shea Theodore

Returns to Golden Knights Lineup Saturday
Jaccob Slavin

Returns Against Kraken
Travis Konecny

Ruled Out Saturday
Brad Marchand

Misses Saturday's Game
Corey Perry

Available Saturday
William Nylander

Returns From Six-Game Absence
Mark Scheifele

Scores Twice as Jets End Skid
John Carlson

Records Two Assists Friday
Karel Vejmelka

Picks Up Win No. 20
Clayton Keller

Dishes Out Three Assists Friday
Jamie Benn

to Remain Out Saturday
Ilya Mikheyev

Expected to Play Saturday
Alexander Kerfoot

Sustains Upper-Body Injury Friday
John Klingberg

Could Return Sunday
Noah Laba

Could Return Saturday
Travis Konecny

a Game-Time Call Saturday
Kevin Stenlund

Available Friday
Anze Kopitar

Misses Second Consecutive Game
Aliaksei Protas

Back in Action Friday
Max Kepler

Receives 80-Game PED Suspension
CFB

Cam Coleman Visiting Alabama on Friday
Omarion Hampton

Expects to Play Sunday Night
CFB

Eric Singleton Jr. Enters Transfer Portal, Trending to Land at Florida
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NCAA Denies Trinidad Chambliss a Sixth Year of Eligibility
Omarion Hampton

Questionable for Wild-Card Weekend
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Mets Remain in Mix for Kyle Tucker
Ketel Marte

Will Remain With Diamondbacks
Rashee Rice

to be Reviewed Under League's Conduct Policy
Daniel Jones

Colts Plan to Re-Sign Daniel Jones
Davante Adams

Off the Injury Report, Will Play Against Carolina
Bo Bichette

Phillies to Meet With Bo Bichette
Rome Odunze

Will Return for Wild-Card Game on Saturday
CFB

DJ Lagway Commits to Baylor
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Fire Head Coach Mike McDaniel
Sam LaPorta

Plans to be Back for Training Camp
Owen Caissie

Shipped to Miami as Centerpiece of Trade
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Officially Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
Rome Odunze

Plans to Play on Saturday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Finalizing Deal to Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
New York Giants

Giants "All-In" on Hiring John Harbaugh
CFB

Jackson Arnold Signs with UNLV
CFB

Sam Leavitt Scheduled to Visit Tennessee
New York Giants

John Harbaugh Expected to be Favorite to Become New Giants Head Coach
Baltimore Ravens

John Harbaugh Won't Return as Ravens Head Coach
Bo Bichette

Unlikely to Return to Toronto?
Jordan Love

Ready to Start in Wild-Card Game Against Bears
CFB

Jadan Baugh Staying with Florida for Junior Season
Washington Commanders

Commanders "Mutually" Parting Ways With OC Kliff Kingsbury
CFB

Byrum Brown Officially Commits to Auburn
CFB

Austin Simmons Signing with Missouri
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Ty Simpson Undecided on 2026 Plans
CFB

Quarterback AJ Hill Following Ryan Silverfield to Arkansas
Atlanta Falcons

Falcons Have Requested an Interview With Klint Kubiak
Deshaun Watson

Browns Expect Deshaun Watson to be on the Team Next Year
Wan'Dale Robinson

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Cam Skattebo

Hopes to be Back by Training Camp
Cameron Ward

Won't Need Surgery on his Shoulder
Davante Adams

Rams Expect Davante Adams to Return in Wild-Card Round
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Fire Head Coach Jonathan Gannon
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss Will Return to Ole Miss If Granted Sixth Year of Eligibility

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