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Reviewing Kyle Bishop's Bold Predictions for 2017

What’s even more fun than making bold predictions? Looking back at the end of the season to see how good (or so, so hilariously bad) they were.

Just like with the preseason pieces in March, I’m kicking off the review of our RotoBaller staff’s 2017 bold predictions.

Let's get to it.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Grading the Predictions

1. Jose Peraza outperforms Billy Hamilton in standard leagues.

I’m officially done with the “throw shade at the Hamburglar” predictions, after whiffing on one for the second consecutive year. Peraza turned out to be even more hapless at the plate than his teammate. As a result, he didn’t siphon at-bats in the leadoff spot, and instead found himself in the bottom third of the order for most of the year. That suppressed his runs total and his stolen base attempts, neither of which came anywhere close to Hamilton’s efforts. Grade: F

2. Edwin Diaz finishes as the No.1 reliever.

Another swing and miss here. Speaking of swings and misses, Diaz got plenty of them, but not nearly as many as he did during his rookie season. He also had some bouts of wildness and gopheritis, including a stretch severe enough to get him deposed from the closer role, albeit only for a couple of days. Ultimately, he produced a perfectly cromulent season, but not one nearly good enough to fulfill this lofty expectation. Grade: C-

3. Jake Lamb is a top-5 third baseman.

This one was looking good at the All-Star break, as Lamb hit.279/.376/.546 with 20 home runs, 121 R+RBI, and four stolen bases in the first half. Unfortunately, his production fell off precipitously in the second half for the second year in a row, particularly in the final month. Much like Diaz, the results he did provide had plenty of value – just not enough to make this prediction a winner. Grade: C

4. Byron Buxton has a 20/40 season.

While Buxton didn’t hit these benchmarks, the fact that he even came close (16 HR, 29 SB) is impressive given how awful he looked in the early going. The former top prospect, still just 23 years old, bounced back from a horrendous first half with a virtuoso performance after the break. His emergence helped propel the Twins to an unlikely wild-card berth and ensured that fantasy owners will bet on him again in 2018. Grade: B

5. Wil Myers finishes outside the top 12 at first base.

Myers certainly wasn’t bad; in fact, he was the only first baseman to log a 30/20 season in 2017. That production wasn’t enough to crack the top-12, however. Along with the emergence of several other players at the position, Myers’ pedestrian batting average and unspectacular run production rendered him a high-end CI rather than a starting 1B in standard leagues. Grade: A-

6. Tom Murphy is a top-8 catcher.

If you’re faithfully executing in the spirit of this exercise, by necessity there are going to be a couple of embarrassing clunkers in the bunch. This one certainly qualifies. In justifying this prediction, I wrote that, “the biggest obstacle for this one might be playing time.” Nailed that part, at least. Murphy got hurt in spring training and only ended up starting seven games for the Rockies all year. Grade: F

7. Edwin Encarnacion is not a top-10 first baseman.

This one just barely qualifies as a success, as Encarnacion shook off a slow start to produce numbers not too far afield from his usual standard of excellence. As with Myers, however, other breakouts knocked him down in the ranks at his position. 40 bombs just don’t go as far as they used to. Grade: B+

8. Aaron Nola is a top-20 starting pitcher.

Despite a back injury that rendered him ineffective for a few starts and then inactive for a month, Nola very nearly made good on this one. Nola ranked 19th among qualified starters in ERA, 17th in WHIP, 13th in K%, and 15th in K-BB%.  Ultimately, however, he wound up just outside the top 20 on both Yahoo and ESPN. In addition to the time missed with injury, notching only 12 wins was enough to keep him from fulfilling this prediction. Given his bargain ADP, though, he certainly turned a tidy profit for fantasy owners in 2017. Grade: A-

9. All three starters in the Brewers’ outfield are top-25 outfielders.

I initially planned to just spotlight Domingo Santana here, but felt that didn’t qualify as bold enough. Perhaps that instinct was appropriate, as it turned out that only Santana finished in the top-25 among outfielders. Ryan Braun missed significant time with myriad injuries and wasn’t up to his usual standards when he did play, while Keon Broxton’s contact issues led to a midseason demotion and suppressed run production. At least Santana fulfilled his destiny as the next George Springer. Grade: D+

10. Aaron Sanchez finishes outside the top 40 starting pitchers.

Y’all should probably just not draft the pitcher I rag on for next season’s edition, because this is three straight times I’ve correctly predicted a wet fart of a season for an arm everyone else loves. Sanchez dealt with blister issues all season and never got on track, making only eight mostly-bad starts before his season ended in July. Obviously, you can’t predict injuries, but the underlying skills simply didn’t support his breakout 2016, and I’d caution against paying an expectant price for a rebound next year. Grade: A

 

 




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Chase Burns

To Throw Bullpen on Tuesday
Kyle Larson

Enters Playoffs As Co-Points Leader
Alex Bowman

Advances to Playoffs Despite Crashing at Daytona
Cole Custer

Finally Shows Signs of Life at Daytona
Daniel Suarez

Lame Duck Daniel Suarez Delivers Clutch Second-Place Finish
Marcus Semien

Out 4-6 Weeks, Could Miss Rest of Season
Ranger Suárez

Ranger Suarez Strikes Out 11 in Win
Yordan Alvarez

Likely to Return on Tuesday
Jacob deGrom

to Start on Monday
Kyle Tucker

Homers Twice in Win
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Likely to Return Next Weekend
Brian Robinson Jr.

to be RB2
Najee Harris

to be Ready Week 1?
De'Von Achane

Making Good Progress
Jaylen Wright

Considered "Week-to-Week"
Marcus Semien

Placed on Injured List
Jackson Merrill

Heads to 10-Day Injured List
Jordan Love

Says He'll Play in Week 1
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Chase Elliott

Despite Being Winless at Daytona, Chase Elliott is Probably the Best DFS Option
Ryan Blaney

Will Likely Lead a Lot at Daytona
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a Poor DFS Option at Daytona
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Michael McDowell

has a Solid Drafting Record
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Zane Smith

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Warriors, Spurs Interested in Trey Murphy III
Zack Wheeler

to Undergo Season-Ending Surgery
Yoán Moncada

Yoan Moncada Hits a Pair of Home Runs on Friday
Willy Adames

Belts Two Solo Home Runs on Friday
CAR

Luke Kunin Joins Panthers on One-Year Deal
Auston Matthews

Says His Health is "Good" Before Start of Season
Roope Hintz

"Feeling Good" Ahead of New Season
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Marco Rossi

Wild Re-Sign Marco Rossi to Three-Year Deal
Bubba Chandler

Records Four-Inning Save in Debut
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Officially Moving to Bullpen
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Adolis Garcia to be Activated on Saturday
Tanner Scott

Activated on Friday
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Malik Beasley Now Drawing Interest from Teams
Jacob Wilson

Reintated and Starting on Friday
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Could be Out All Weekend, IL Stint Possible
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Could Miss Rest of Season With Fractured Wrist
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Traded to 49ers
Zhang Mingyang

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In Dire Need Of Victory
Brian Ortega

An Underdog At UFC Shanghai
Aljamain Sterling

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Victor Olofsson Signs One-Year Deal With Avalanche
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Micah Parsons Expected to Play in Week 1
Chris Godwin

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Dru Smith

Aims to Be Healthy for Training Camp
Jayson Tatum

Provides Injury Update
RJ Barrett

Considered a Trade Candidate
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Warriors "Remain Very Confident" About Signing Al Horford
Jahmir Young

Agrees to Deal With Heat
Devaughn Vele

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Demarcus Robinson

Issued Three-Game Suspension
Lamar Jackson

Dealing With Minor Foot Injury
Lamar Jackson

Suffers Apparent Hand Injury
Hideki Matsuyama

Looks to Bounce Back at Tour Championship
Corey Conners

Looking to Reverse Struggles at East Lake
Joe Mixon

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Cameron Young

Stays Hot Ahead of Tour Championship
Harris English

Aims for Complete Game at East Lake
Sepp Straka

Back in Action at East Lake
Ben Griffin

a Strong Value Play at East Lake
Rory McIlroy

Chasing Another Win at East Lake
Patrick Cantlay

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Ludvig Aberg

Finishes Tied For Seventh at BMW Championship
Collin Morikawa

Finishes Tied for 33rd at BMW Championship
Keegan Bradley

Finishes Tied for 17th at BMW Championship
Robert MacIntyre

Finishes Second at BMW Championship
J.J. Spaun

Finishes Tied for 23rd at BMW Championship
Scottie Scheffler

Wins BMW Championship
Brian Robinson Jr.

Not Expected to Play for Commanders This Year
Rashee Rice

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Harry Hall

Hot at the Right Time for Tour Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Wants to Rebound at Tour Championship
Jacob Bridgeman

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Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Not Expecting to Be Moved Before the Season
Nick Taylor

a Long Shot to Win Tour Championship
Josh Giddey

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Brian Harman

Trying to Crack Top 20 at Tour Championship
Andrew Novak

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Justin Rose

Seeks Even More Success at Tour Championship
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Alondes Williams Joins Wizards for Training Camp
Washington Wizards

Wizards Add Skal Labissiere for Training Camp
A.J. Brown

on Track to Play in Week 1
CBJ

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STL

Milan Lucic Joins Blues for Tryout
DET

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Jalen McMillan

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Indiana Pacers

Pacers Coach Rick Carlisle Agrees to a Multiyear Contract Extension on Tuesday
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John Wall Retires After 11 NBA Seasons
Daniel Jones

Named as Colts Starting Quarterback
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