X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Red Zone Target Hogs and Potential Sleepers for 2018 Fantasy Football

Taylor Maxston analyzes some fantasy football sleepers for the 2018 NFL season based on their red zone usage. The players are also good dynasty leagues targets.

Although volume and yardage are incredibly important for an NFL player's fantasy production, touchdowns and red zone efficiency are often the difference between winning and losing on any given week. Every fantasy team should have a game-breaker with touchdown upside on their roster and Rotoballer is here to help you find him! In this article, I will be taking a look at eight potential sleepers in 2018 fantasy drafts with massive red zone upside.

All numbers are taken from sharpfootballstats.com. Here are a couple of notes before we dive in:

  • NFL averages are calculated across all relevant fantasy positions. For example, the NFL average for total red zone targets from 2017 comes from red zone targets for running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends
  • Red zone targets are simply the overall number of times a player was targeted as a receiver within the opposing team's 20-yard line; the eligible players for total red zone targets required a minimum of 10 red zone receiving targets in 2017
  • Red zone catch rate is calculated by taking the number of catches within the opposing team's 20-yard line and dividing that number by the player's total targets within the opposing team's 20-yard line; the eligible players for red zone catch rate required a minimum of 50 receiving targets in 2017
  • Red zone touchdown rate is calculated by taking the number of receptions within the opposing team's 20-yard line that resulted in touchdowns and dividing it by the total number of receptions within the opposing team's 20-yard line; the eligible players for red zone touchdown rate required a minimum of 10 red zone receiving targets in 2017

 

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

Running Backs

Fantasy owners don't typically target running backs with an eye for their red zone receiving efficiency, but it can be especially beneficial to look at the dual-threat abilities of a rusher to see where extra touchdown upside lies. New England Patriots rusher Dion Lewis is the gold standard for such a player, as his 13 red zone targets were the fifth-most among running backs and his red zone catch rate was staggeringly high compared to the NFL average thanks brilliant offensive scheming and plenty of dump-off pass volume from quarterback Tom Brady.

As the only exception on this list to the minimum of 10 red zone targets rule, Cleveland Browns rusher Duke Johnson was noticeably limited by poor quarterback play and questionable red zone play-calling. If Cleveland can find itself a new signal-caller this offseason, especially one like Kirk Cousins who contributed to the fantasy breakout for spell back Chris Thompson, Johnson could become the beneficiary of increased passing volume with his 81-percent red zone catch rate and above average touchdown rate.

 

Wide Receivers

Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp exploded onto the fantasy scene as a rookie despite being the team's third-string wide receiver. He was clearly a favorite of quarterback Jared Goff, as he received the fourth-most red zone targets in the NFL last season and was one of the sneakiest waiver wire pickups of the year. Heading to North Carolina, Panther's wide receiver Devin Funchess became a much more heavily utilized red zone weapon with the departure of Kelvin Benjamin. His 56-percent red zone catch rate may seem low on the surface, but that number skyrockets to 87-percent inside the 10-yard line. Although he will have to compete with tight end Greg Olsen for targets, Funchess should be heavily sought after for the upcoming fantasy season given his incredible 36-percent red zone touchdown rate.

It would seemingly be common sense that big-bodied, tall wide receivers make for the best red zone threats. However, Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver Nelson Agholor and New England Patriots wide receiver Danny Amendola both finished in the top-15 for red zone targets in 2017 despite being shorter than 6'1. Both wide receivers can benefit from players departing from their teams in the offseason, with the Eagles expected to move on from Torrey Smith and Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski mulling retirement. Keep an eye out for these two in later rounds of 2018 fantasy drafts.

 

Tight Ends

Red zone upside might be most important for the tight end position, as they have a greater share of their fantasy production attributable to touchdowns than both running backs and wide receivers. Indianapolis Colts tight end Jack Doyle didn't get much red zone work due to the Colts offense being largely ineffective at moving the ball, but he still managed to boast an elite-level red zone catch rate at 75-percent and convert 40-percent of those receptions into touchdowns. Even if quarterback Jacoby Brissett is under center next season, fantasy owners should trust in the consistent value that the man dubbed "Tim Duncan" by Colts wide receiver T.Y. Hilton can return.

Minnesota Vikings tight end Kyle Rudolph is a more volatile option, but it is indisputable how successful he is when healthy. His seventeen red zone targets last season ranked fifth among tight ends and his overall red zone efficiency was well above the NFL average. The big question with Rudolph will always be health, but owners will get top-shelf production from him when he is on the field.

 

More Sleepers & Draft Values




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Brian Thomas Jr.

Limited in Practice on Wednesday
Jerami Grant

Available Wednesday Night
Jalen Brunson

Returns From Two-Game Absence
Jalen Smith

Available to Play Wednesday
Tre Jones

Downgraded to Out
Shaedon Sharpe

Misses Wednesday's Game
Dereck Lively II

Cleared for Action Wednesday
Daniel Gafford

Available Wednesday
Caleb Martin

Won't Play Against Knicks
Raisel Iglesias

Returning to the Braves on One-Year Deal
Lamar Jackson

Absent Due to Ankle Injury
Marvin Bagley III

Starts on Wednesday
Mike Conley

Joins Starting Unit Wednesday
Saddiq Bey

Cleared for Wednesday's Action
Zion Williamson

Returns to Action Wednesday
Aaron Gordon

Out Wednesday
Cooper Flagg

Won't Play Wednesday
Bam Adebayo

Cleared to Play Wednesday
Tre Mann

Ruled Out Wednesday
Sam Merrill

Ruled Out for Wednesday
Jabari Smith Jr.

Active Against Cavaliers
Buddy Hield

Good to Go Wednesday
Jonathan Kuminga

Misses Fourth Consecutive Game
Alexandre Sarr

Unavailable on Wednesday
Conor Garland

to Return on Thursday
Thomas Harley

to Miss Road Trip
Eetu Luostarinen

Out Week-to-Week After Barbecue Accident
Curtis Lazar

to Miss at Least Three Games
Vladimir Tarasenko

Misses Third Consecutive Game
Mikael Granlund

Remains Out Wednesday
Charlie McAvoy

Out Indefinitely After Facial Surgery
Joe Burrow

to Potentially Return in Week 12?
Aaron Rodgers

Out on Wednesday, Hopes to Practice Thursday
Jaylen Warren

Not Seen at Wednesday's Practice
Dak Prescott

Lands on Injury Report Ahead of Week 12 With Hip Injury
Rhamondre Stevenson

Targeting a Return in Week 12?
Isiah Pacheco

Returning to Practice on Wednesday
Brian Thomas Jr.

Jaguars "Optimistic" About Brian Thomas Jr.'s Week 12 Status
Josh Jacobs

Will Not Practice on Wednesday
Sahith Theegala

Looking to Continue Fall Run at RSM Classic
Jayden Daniels

Commanders Considering Shutting Down Jayden Daniels?
Stephan Jaeger

Looking to Bounce Back at RSM Classic
Tom Hoge

Looking to Regain Form at RSM Classic
Joe Highsmith

Searching for Turnaround at RSM Classic
Adam Hadwin

Looking to Build on T11 Finish in Bermuda
Austin Eckroat

Searching for Momentum at RSM Classic
Joel Dahmen

Trying to Find Form at the RSM Classic
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Ruled Out Again in Week 12
Drake London

Falcons Hoping That Drake London Will Return in Week 13
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Doubtful to Play Against Western Kentucky
Michael Penix Jr.

Needs Reconstructive Surgery on Torn ACL
Jaxson Dart

Expected to Return to Practice on Wednesday
Shedeur Sanders

Will Start Against Raiders
Dalton Kincaid

Ruled Out Against Texans
Connor Bedard

Continues Tear With Hat Trick
Macklin Celebrini

Pots Hat Trick in Tuesday's Win
Jake Guentzel

Records Eighth Career Hat Trick
Sammy Blais

Injured Versus Blues
Alexander Romanov

Injured in Tuesday's Win
Ryan Hartman

Considered Week-to-Week
Michael Thorbjornsen

Hopes to End 2025 Campaign With Another Solid Finish
Andrew Novak

Looks to End 2025 Season on High Note at RSM Classic
Harry Higgs

Teetering for PGA Tour Card in 2026
PGA

Nico Echavarria has the Potential to Contend at the RSM Classic
Sam Stevens

Finishing Out Year in Georgia
Seamus Power

Playing Better at the Right Time
Beau Hossler

Roller Coaster Comes to Saint Simons Island
Quade Cummins

The Time is Now for Quade Cummins in Georgia
Austin Cook

Needs a Win at the RSM Classic
Cameron Champ

on the PGA Tour Card Bubble
Grayson Rodriguez

Shipped to Angels
Taylor Ward

Orioles Acquire Taylor Ward From Angels
Shota Imanaga

Accepts Cubs Qualifying Offer
Brandon Woodruff

Returning to Milwaukee in 2026
Denny McCarthy

Looking For Another Solid Finish at RSM Classic
Si Woo Kim

Looking To Use Current Momentum to Flip Script at RSM Classic
Mackenzie Hughes

a Good Bounce-Back Candidate at RSM Classic
Harris English

Making 14th Start at This Week's RSM Classic
Konnor Griffin

Could Compete for Starting Shortstop Job in 2026
Gleyber Torres

Accepts Tigers Qualifying Offer
Odell Beckham Jr.

Officially Reinstated by NFL Commissioner
Matt Murray

to Miss Six Weeks With Lower-Body Injury
Ilya Lyubushkin

Out on Tuesday
Jamie Benn

Makes Season Debut Tuesday
Evgenii Dadonov

on Track to Return Tuesday
Dougie Hamilton

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Anthony Cirelli

Expected to Return Against Devils
Victor Hedman

Questionable for Tuesday
Auston Matthews

to Miss at Least Two More Games
C.J. Stroud

Expected to Return in Week 13 Against Colts
C.J. Stroud

to Miss Another Game
Joe Mixon

Uncertainty Remains Around Joe Mixon's Return Timeline
CFB

Sam Leavitt Set to Enter Transfer Portal?
Jose Altuve

Undergoes Foot Surgery
Alex Bregman

Red Sox Going for Either Alex Bregman or Pete Alonso?
CFB

James Franklin to be Virginia Tech's Next Head Coach
CFB

Fernando Mendoza the Clear Heisman Trophy Favorite?
CFB

Beau Pribula Has Chance to Face Oklahoma on Saturday
Jack Della Maddalena

Gets Dominated
Islam Makhachev

Claims UFC Welterweight Belt
Zhang Weili

Gets Outclassed
Valentina Shevchenko

Wins Unanimous Decision At UFC 322
Sean Brady

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Michael Morales

Remains Unbeaten
Leon Edwards

Suffers Second-Round Knockout Loss
Leon Edwards

Carlos Prates Becomes The First Man To Knock Out Leon Edwards
Beneil Dariush

Suffers Brutal First-Round Knockout Loss
Beneil Dariush

Benoit Saint Denis Knocks Out Beneil Dariush In 16 Seconds
Josh Naylor

Mariners Finalizing Five-Year Contract
CFB

Jeremiah Smith, Carnell Tate Not Dealing With Long-Term Injuries
CFB

Virginia Tech Close To Naming James Franklin As Head Coach
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Doubtful vs. Arkansas On Saturday
Edwin Díaz

Blue Jays Interested in Signing Edwin Diaz?
Jacob deGrom

Named AL Comeback Player of the Year
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Wins NL Comeback Player of the Year Award
Aroldis Chapman

Named AL Reliever of the Year
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Named NL Reliever of the Year
Islam Makhachev

Set For UFC 322 Main Event
Jack Della Maddalena

Set For His First Title Defense
Zhang Weili

Can Become The New Women's Flyweight Champion
Valentina Shevchenko

Set For UFC 322 Co-Main Event
Michael Morales

Looks To Remain Undefeated
CFB

Mario Craver a Game-Time Decision for Week 12
Sean Brady

Set For Title Eliminator Bout
Carlos Prates

A Favorite At UFC 322
Leon Edwards

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Set To Open Up UFC 322 Main Card
Beneil Dariush

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
CFB

Virginia's Chandler Morris Trending Toward Facing Duke on Saturday

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP