RADIO
With very little actionable information to go off of before pairings were announced, we only made two bets in the prop market. The rest of money will come in the form of matchup bets throughout the week.
The American team is absolutely stacked and finding any sort of value in the matchup market is going to be tough with most American teams being absolute favorites. However, as the week unfolds maybe we can catch books sleeping. As this is a fun event and its always enjoyable to have a sweat, if there is no value for a session of golf, feel free to bet a 10th of a unit on a matchup that has the closest value to 0, just so you have some skin in the game #Degenerate.
I have shared my player cheat sheet and matchup calculator in an excel doc here: Cheat Sheet & Matchup Calculator
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In the hyperlink above, you can access the matchup calculator. It should be set up to kick out any matchup that shows value based off of odds and the respective power ratings of the players involved. All you need to do is update the player column with the respective names for each matchup and then throw their odds into the "Vegas Odds" column and if there is value in the bet, it should kick out the amount you need to bet to win $20.
*Please note that the -125 for Xander and Cantlay is doctored so that we could have an example of what a positive value matchup would look like. There are no value matchups in the first session unfortunately.
**This is calculating value for matchups that are a push in case of a tie.
USA to win singles on Day 4 (-225)
As you can see in the screenshot below, regardless of matchup combinations on Sunday, USA is projected to win 118 of the 144 matchup combinations. This is 82% of the matchups which should reflect odds of -450, which gives us 200 points of value on the USA winning singles.
There is a concern that they get a little complacent on Sunday if their lead is sizeable, but at the end of the day these professionals are playing for their own personal match play record which they have limited opportunities to add to with Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup events only every two years and WGC Match Play the only match play event on the calendar.
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Patrick Cantlay: Top Point Scorer (+750)
With Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele paired up for the first session of foursomes, they will be looking to continue their run of dominance in this format as teammates. Cantlay is favored in every single matchup he could face on Sunday and with Xander as his partner in the team sessions their chances of gaining 4 points together is strong.
Xander Schauffele: Top Point Scorer (+700)
With Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele paired up for the first session of foursomes, they will be looking to continue their run of dominance in this format as teammates. Xander is favored in every single matchup he could face on Sunday and with Cantlay as his partner in the team sessions their chances of gaining 4 points together is strong.
As always, may the odds be ever in your favor.
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