Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


Post-Playoff Fantasy Stock Watch - Hitters

The 2018 MLB postseason kept baseball fans on the edge of their seats, and also gave fantasy owners a new window into players as they begin to prepare for 2019. While the playoffs are a small sample, any chance to see players facing top talent from other teams, over and over, still has value for owners paying attention. Even more, players on postseason teams should be the best in the league, so this data gives owners the best insight into top match-ups and results.

For most batters, the postseason will serve to better frame endings to the 2018 season, as hot hitters tended to keep this up, and the cold hitters kept swinging for below-average results. While owners should not move these players on draft boards too much based on limited chances, they should take all of this into account when identifying their targets for drafts.

With that, fantasy owners should jump into their prep now, and learn from all the data at their fingertips. Welcome to the world of hot takes and quick fantasy reactions.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off, with exclusive access to our season-long articles, 15 in-season lineup tools and over 200 days of expert DFS research/tools. Sign Up Now!


Post-Playoff Reaction: Stock Up

Rafael Devers (3B, BOS)

Devers has been a bit of a mixed bag this year, with a rough start but a strongish finish to the year. As a whole, for 2018, Devers slashed .240/.298/.433 with 21 homers and five steals. These are admittingly passable numbers, but well below what most expected after a strong 2017 campaign. So then, onto the playoff numbers. In 34 ABs, Devers slashed .294/.371/.382 with one homer and nine RBI. The uptick in the batting line is good, and taking into account who Devers had to face, this is an even better sign. This does not mean that Devers will be the top-five player at the position next year, but rather, that Devers is not the bust that some thought back in May. Keep him on draft boards and still target in the middle rounds of redraft leagues. Devers only helped himself with the playoff performance.

Brock Holt (2B/SS/3B/OF, BOS)

Holt has been an exciting fantasy option for years, not because he can hit, but because he can play everywhere. He often appeared on our waiver wire team of the week articles for this fact, and when he does hit, that injury replacement plays up the value. And then, Holt jumped into the national spotlight with a cycle in the Divisional Series, and a few other good games. While the cycle is only so interesting for fantasy owners, the fact that Holt got 27 AB this postseason shows that even the Red Sox think he can be a valuable player. Add to that a .259/.375/.519 slash with one homer and six RBI, and Holt looks to be a bit better than just that utility option on the bench. Holt will not be a top fantasy option in 2019, but, if he is there at the end of a draft, this is a smart add, and with team context, shows the value that Holt offers to the Red Sox and fantasy teams. This is a clear target for owners looking to play the long game.

Marwin Gonzalez (1B/2B/SS/OF, HOU)

2018 was not the season most expected from Gonzalez, but he made it up to Astros fans with a strong postseason. After slashing only .247/.324/.409 during the regular season, Gonzalez pushed his playoff line to .333/.389/.576. To add to this, he drove in nine runs and hit two homers in 33 plate appearances. Gonzalez will always be a fantasy darling due to the unique positional eligibility that he offers, but after a strong finish to the season, also looks to be back in the conversation. For most owners, Gonzalez's value will be a bit down due to the rough season, but the small sample versus Cleveland and Boston should keep him on boards for owners willing to buy-in. In fact, if owners like Holt for the positional options, then Gonzalez is the upgrade over that profile as well.

Orlando Arcia (SS, MIL) 

Arcia had one of the biggest breakout performances of the playoffs with crucial homers and hits from a player without much to celebrate during the regular season. A former top prospect for the Brewers, Arcia started the season off so badly that he was sent down to the minors for 22 games until a reboot. His second half was much stronger than the first bringing him back into the conversation. Before the All-Star break Arcia was hitting .190, and after, that jumped to .290. In this case, the postseason was an extension of the strong finish, but the power was new. After hitting only three homers in the regular season, he matched that with three more in the postseason. The other key mark was only four strikeouts in 33 plate appearances. If owners were in on Arcia to start 2018, the end of the season should only encourage them to get back on the train.

David Freese (1B/3B, LAD) 

After his move to the Dodgers, Freese looked like a different player. While only playing in 19 games, Freese slashed .385/.489/.641 with two homers and nine runs for the Dodgers. This hot form continued into the postseason, as Freese slashed .364/.423/.733 in 22 chances, with two homers and six RBI. While Freese will be 35 to start the season, this run showed that there is still something left in the tank. Freese was a regular on the waiver wire team of the week this year and offers a nice bat in NL-only and other deep leagues. While he is not a high-average player, excellent contact skills support the profile, and Freese tends to score more runs than expected. This postseason should remind owners that Freese is still there to be had, and often, most teams can do much worse late in drafts for their bench.


Post-Playoff Reaction: Stock Down

Luke Voit (1B/DH, NYY) 

Voit took the nation by storm after his move from St. Louis hitting 14 homers in 39 games with the Yankees. Once the postseason started though, that power disappeared. In 17 chances, he failed to hit a homer, and in fact, hit only .235 after the season ended. What does this mean for fantasy owners? While 17 chances are not the season, the fact that he did not keep the power going should throw cold water on much of the hype as owners move into draft season. The other key stat was that in the playoffs, Voit only slugged .353, so not only did the homers dry up, but the rest of the power did as well. Voit is a player that owners reading this site should allow others to take, as opposed to pulling the trigger themselves. Settle for the other low-average first baseman if that is a position of need. At the very least, recognize that in two small samples, the fact that one was well below average, owners should take that into full account.

Nick Markakis (OF, ATL) 

2018 might have been the highlight of Markakis’s career, and at least to start the year, he looked have found the fountain of youth. In fact, in the first half, he hit .323, but in the second half, he slumped and hit only .258. Even more, the homers dropped from ten to four after the break. Like most others in the conversation, the postseason is more an extension of the trends that emerged later in the year, and Markakis watched the bad form continue. While only playing in one series, he slashed .083/.276/.083 versus the Dodgers. For owners who were in on the outfielder after the 2018 campaign, take a step back, and slot him in as a bench bat at best. At the very least, do not be willing to pay more than that next spring.

Manny Machado (SS, LAD) 

Forget the cheap play on Jesus Aguilar, forget the comments after games, and ignore the fact that Machado might now be the least liked player in the Majors after Roberto Osuna. Even taking all of that out, Machado had a dreadful postseason, after being added as the final piece to try bringing a title back to Los Angeles. For context, in 66 plate appearances, he slashed .227/.378/.394 with 18 strikeouts. While he did hit three homers, the overall offense was not there, and this will continue to dog him as he enters the offseason. Machado will still get paid, and perhaps end up in a good situation, but this should be a key factor for fantasy owners. Do not knock him out of the first few rounds, but if owners are drafting at the beginning, Machado should have to wait a bit to hear his name called. Do not be surprised if he is more of an early third-round value, as opposed to the first round where he's expected to go in most drafts based on early mocks. 

Yasmani Grandal (C, LAD) 

Grandal will be one of the most intriguing free agents this offseason. His performance in the regular season had him projected as one of the top backstops, and then, after a collapse in the postseason, this might not be in that case anymore. The main issue with Grandal was the lack of defense, and in today’s era for catchers, this might limit where he ends up. Passed balls alone might stop him from earning a starting role if this keeps up. For some, Grandal was a good fit in Boston, but after these appearances, perhaps not so much. Not only was the defense an issue, but Grandal also slumped at the plate, slashing .138/.265/.276 with 15 strikeouts in 29 plate appearances. A rough end to the season means that Grandal will perhaps be taking a Jonathan Lucroy-type deal somewhere to earn back some value; if he ends up on a mid-table team, that only hurts his fantasy value. Grandal saw his stock drop more than any others on the list, and this might be an interesting buy-low opportunity for owners as well. At the very least, this will show that even a small sample can hurt a player's fantasy upside. 

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis

More Recent Articles


Week 15 Tight End Waiver Wire Picks and Streamers

If your fantasy football season is over, either because you did not make your league’s playoffs or because you have had enough of failing in DFS contests, then this column is not for you. Congratulations if you HAVE qualified for your fantasy league’s playoffs! To reach the postseason you must have received some decent play... Read More

Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 15

Week 15 is upon us, which means that even the holdovers who play in leagues with four team playoffs and no byes are now in fantasy playoff mode. This is it: the home stretch. Are there any wide receivers left on the waiver wire who can help you in the playoffs? Let's look at some... Read More

Quarterback Waiver Wire Pickups and Streamers - Week 15

The first week of the fantasy playoffs in almost in the books, and if you're fortunate enough to have advanced then it's already time to start thinking about Week 15 lineups, especially for those who stream quarterbacks. Luckily, there are plenty of viable options available as eliminated owners have stopped making moves, and if you... Read More

Week 15 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

You have to love fantasy football. You have to, otherwise you would have given up by now. In a week that most likely represented the first matchup of the fantasy playoffs or a must-win in some form for the vast majority of players, we were treated to the following: Alvin Kamara netting three fantasy points,... Read More

Waiver Wire Express - Week 15 Lightning Round

An injury-laden Week 14 decided many matchups, with several big names going down in a Red Wedding-esque affair. Not only was Josh Jacobs was a late inactive, but Jared Cook, Devante Parker, Albert Wilson all left with concussions, Mike Evans pulled up with a hamstring injury, Calvin Ridley and Ryan Griffin hurt their ankles, Derrius... Read More

Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 14 Josh Jacobs (shoulder) has officially been ruled out. Jared Cook has been ruled out of the game after... Read More

Week 14 Chat - Live Fantasy Football Game Day Q&A

It's Sunday Morning Week 14... Do You Know Who to Start? Each Sunday morning of the NFL season, RotoBaller's experts will be moderating the industry's leading live chat room and answering a bunch of your fantasy football questions, from around 10:30 AM to 1:00 PM ET. Come join in on the fun, and get your... Read More

Updated Week 14 PPR Rankings (Top 300)

Welcome to Week 14 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 14 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: Josh Jacobs (shoulder) has officially been ruled out. Will Fuller (hamstring) is expected to miss Week 14. Adam Thielen (hamstring) has officially been ruled out. Le'Veon Bell... Read More

Fantasy Football Mailbag - Q&A for Week 14

This article's content may vary week-to-week, but generally, it will be answering questions fielded from either the @RotoBallerNFL twitter account or my personal one (@RotoSurgeon). This week, the focus is on start/sit questions, and there were plenty. Every week, many of us struggle with which quarterback to start, or who to flex, and I am... Read More

Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 14

Welcome to our Week 14 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More

Monday Night Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - Week 14

Finally, we had a good fantasy matchup last week. And now, as punishment, we get this. The Eagles against the Giants is a good rivalry game. But for fantasy? Not so much. Even key players Saquon Barkley and Carson Wentz have been severely disappointing in 2019. The game is not going to be something to... Read More

Wide Receiver Matchups To Target In Week 14

In Week 13, Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill were the high-end options that had great matchups. Adams had a huge two-touchdown game while Hill only came up with 55 scoreless yards, falling victim to game flow as the Chiefs led from start to finish, scoring a defensive touchdown in the process. Several of the wide receivers... Read More

Week 14 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More

Week 14-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

The playoffs are here, and that means we're going to do things a little differently. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More

Key Starters and Tough Calls - Lineup Spotlights for Week 14

Welcome to Week 14, RotoBallers! Below you will find some of my spotlight plays and tough lineup decisions for the upcoming week of the fantasy football playoffs. These player selections are based on my Premium Weekly Lineup Rankings, available as part of the RotoBaller's NFL Premium Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for a... Read More