Nick Pivetta a Regression Candidate Following Career-Year in 2025?
San Diego Padres starting pitcher Nick Pivetta put together a breakout season in 2025, posting a 13-5 record with a 2.87 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and 190 strikeouts across 181 2/3 innings (31 starts). 2025 was the 32-year-old's first season with an ERA under 4.04, and he still holds a career ERA of 4.47 across over 1,200 career innings, even after his standout year. Much of Pivetta's success can be attributed to his diminished home run rate. After allowing 1.72 HR/9 while pitching for the Boston Red Sox in 2024, Pivetta allowed just 1.09 HR/9 in 2025. Part of those gains can be attributed to his transition from making his home starts in the hitter-friendly Fenway Park to San Diego's pitcher-friendly Petco Park. However, Pivetta's career HR/9 is 1.46, so he seems likely to regress in the category in 2026. Pivetta has posted three consecutive seasons with a WHIP of 1.13 or lower and at least a 19.4% K-BB rate, so he still profiles as a solid pitcher. However, with an average draft position of pick 93, Pivetta may currently be overvalued by fantasy managers heading into 2026.
Source: RotoBaller
Source: RotoBaller
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