RADIO
CJ Abrams 2024 Player Outlook: ADP Overvalued Without Projected Improvement
10 months agoThere's little doubt Washington Nationals shortstop CJ Abrams had himself a fine season in 2023. In his age-22 season, the former Padres farmhand hit .245 with 18 home runs and 47 stolen bases, the latter of which ranked fourth in all of baseball. His power came as a little bit of a surprise as he hit just two homers in 90 games as a rookie in 2022 and hadn't previously displayed much pop in the minors. At the same time, while he posted a quality 19.2% K%, Abrams walked in just 5.2% of his plate appearances, producing a subpar .300 on-base percentage in the process. Additionally, he ranked in the 21st percentile or worse in xwOBA, average exit velocity, and hard-hit rate, just to name a few inferior Statcast categories. He is currently the eighth shortstop being taken off the board, narrowly behind a much higher floor in 25-year-old Bo Bichette. With ATC projecting regression across the board for Abrams in 2024, dynasty managers would be wiser to wait for Jackson Holliday at a 203.49 ADP for long-term stability at short rather than biting on Abrams with an overvalued ADP at 39.07 ADP.
