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After five top tens in his last six races, Alex Bowman is now pretty safe in the playoff picture as he has a 63-point lead over Ryan Preece, greater than one full race with only three races remaining. However, when evaluating him for today's race at Watkins Glen, that could be more of a curse than a blessing as he is likely going to play it ultimately safe by choosing to maximize points rather than maximizing his finishing position. Since he hasn't won a race, expect him to go for stage points to shore up his points position, which will likely hurt his chances for a good finish in the long run. Starting seventh, he's likely to earn stage points, which he might need at a track where he has not finished better than 14th. Although he's usually good on road courses, Bowman might be more focused on getting through this one and as a result, he'll likely finish worse than he starts as he has done the last four years.--Sean Wrona - RotoBaller
Source: Racing Reference
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