Alec Bohm 2023 Outlook: Solid Floor with Affordable Upside
2 years agoAlec Bohm posted a solid season in 2022, slashing .280/.315/.398 with 13 HR. However, his peripherals suggest that there could be more in the tank. Bohm cut his SwStr% from 11.7 to 9.6, with most of the gains manifesting in his Z-Contact% (87.1 from 80.3 in 2021). This suggests that his 17.4 K% last season is a lot closer to what we should expect than the alarming 26.6% rate he posted in 2021. Cutting down the Ks is all Bohm needed to be a batting average monster in fantasy, as last season's .319 BABIP was a career-worst while his low FB% minimizes how many "dead" batted balls he hits. A 30.5 FB% makes it difficult to project Bohm for much more power, especially if you consider his mediocre Statcast power indicators such as his 92.4 mph average airborne exit velocity and 6.8% rate of Brls/BBE. Bohm's xBA of .290 is a good 2023 projection though, providing plenty of profit potential at his ADP of 185.06.