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As always, I'm here to give you some solid props to take advantage of in tonight's game, so let's get right to the picks!
Steelers at Colts More or Less Contest
Recommended Pick:
Matt Ryan more than 240.5 passing yards and Kenny Pickett more than 215.5 passing yards
To be fair, this is a very ugly game that we have to look at tonight, which is why Matt Ryan is even in this discussion. That being said, the Steelers have allowed quarterbacks to average 279 passing yards per game over their previous three games. They have also been solid against the run over this same span as they have allowed running backs to average just 62 rushing yards per game. Jonathan Taylor may find it tough to get going in this one and that would lead to more passing by Ryan, which is why we are looking at more than here. Ran has also eclipsed this total in three of his previous five starts.
Pickett is yet another play that you will have to hold your nose for as it is not exciting by any means. Pickett has thrown for more than this total in two of his previous four starts while averaging 228 passing yards per game over that span. The Colts defense has been stout against the pass and the run lately, but they have allowed just over this number across their previous four games while only allowing 61 rushing yards per game to the running back position. The Steelers will also enter this game as slight (+2.5) underdogs, so some additional passing could be expected. In any event, this is not a "safe" play and should be used cautiously.
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Steelers at Colts More or Less Contest
Recommended Pick:
Michael Pittman Jr. more than 66.5 receiving yards and George Pickens less than 48.5 receiving yards
Pittman has gone over this total four times this season while averaging nearly nine targets per game. He is Matt Ryan's clear number-one target and makes a ton of sense if we are playing the more than on Ryan. The Steelers have allowed the fourth-most yards to wide receivers this season and have also allowed a total of 13 wide receivers to eclipse this total in 2022.
While I think Pickett gets over his total, I do not think it comes via passing to Pickens. Pickens has only managed to go over this total twice in his previous five games. He will also be up against a Colts' pass defense that has allowed the fourth-fewest receiving yards to the position on the season. Look for Diontae Johnson and Najee Harris receiving props in this game to pair with Pickett.
Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
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