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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert MLB DFS prop picks for Friday, September 18th. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As it pertains to MLB on MKF, I like to start with pitcher strikeout totals and give a breakdown of my rationale on those first. Next, I will offer up some options to pair with the pitcher totals in case you want to dive into some 3/3, 4/4, or 5/5 type of contests. Friday, September 18th presents a big slate of games to choose from. We can look to attack the Indians at Twins and Tigers at White Sox.
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Indians @ Tigers: More or Less Contest
More or Less Contest - Zach Plesac more than 4.5 strikeouts and Miguel Cabrera less than 1.5 hits/walks
Zach Plesac should be a strong play here vs. Detroit. Plesac has struck out at least five in five of his six starts this season. He will be facing a Tigers team that is currently striking out at a rate of 28.5% vs. right-handed pitchers over the previous two weeks, which is ranked third-worst in baseball over that span.
Miguel Cabrera has been cold over the previous two weeks as he is hitting just .224 with seven BB. He is also hitting just .210 off of right-handed pitching this season, so Plesac is a bad matchup for him as well. In the previous 10 games, Cabrera has only reached this total three times, so the less than looks even better here.
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Twins @ Cubs: More or Less Contest
More or Less Contest - Rich Hill more than 5.5 strikeouts and Kyle Hendricks less than 4.5 strikeouts
Going more than 5.5 on Hill may seem a bit scary, but the Cubs have been dreadful vs. left-handed pitching over the previous two weeks. The Cubs have posted a K rate of 36% vs. lefties over the previous two weeks, which ranks dead-last in baseball. They are also only posting a wRC+ make of 73, which ranks seventh-worst in baseball, so Hill should hopefully be able to avoid trouble and get over the hump here.
Hendricks will be facing a Twins team that is not striking out vs. right-handers as of late. In the previous two weeks, the Twins are posting a K rate of just 21%, which is eighth-best in baseball. The Twins are also walking at a 9.5% clip vs. righties, which ranks 10th-best in MLB over the previous two weeks. Lastly, the Twins are posting a wRC+ mark of 135 vs. righties over the previous two weeks, which ranks third-best in baseball over the same span. All of this adds up to Minnesota heading into this game in good shape and is a big reason I like the less than here.
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