Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

MLB DFS Prop Picks for 7/19/19 - Monkey Knife Fight


We are at the stage of the baseball season in which some players are getting opportunities that weren’t necessarily there for them early in the season.

No player in baseball has responded to a brief trip to the minors like Lourdes Gurriel Jr. who is slugging .681 with 17 home runs in 46 games since getting recalled from Triple-A Buffalo. It’s not longer a question of whether he can find a spot in the lineup – he’s a fixture

Tyler O’Neill, Nate Lowe, Keston Hiura, and Alex Dickerson are some others in action today that are taking advantage of recent opportunities to play regularly. Small sample success may be harder to evaluate but it warrants keeping a closer eye on these players.

Here are some more angles to consider for Friday’s MLB schedule.

Editor's Note: Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight have released the best, most fun, fastest growing DFS props game! It's super simple to play and win real money. Just choose your MLB, NBA, NHL or PGA game, and make your picks! Get a 100% instant deposit bonus up to $50 using promo code: BALLER. That's $50 for free - don't miss out!

Play Now!

 

SAN DIEGO-CHICAGO CUBS

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Jon Lester OVER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS – The Cubs’ veteran lefty has averaged 5.7 strikeouts per home start this season and has at least six strikeouts in seven of his past eight starts. The Padres also own the second-highest road strikeout rate (26.6%) in the National League.

 

PHILADELPHIA-PITTSBURGH

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Jake Arrieta UNDER 4.5 STRIKEOUTS – Although Arrieta has a better strikeout rate on the road, he has had four or fewer strikeouts in six of his past eight starts and the Pirates have the lowest home strikeout rate in the National League (18.9%).

 

BOSTON-BALTIMORE

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

John Means +2.5 strikeouts vs. David Price – The underrated Orioles starting pitcher has at least five strikeouts in five of his past seven starts overall and, as good as Price is, he is averaging 5.1 strikeouts per road start this season. Price should get more strikeouts but Means has ways to keep it close.

 

COLORADO-N.Y. YANKEES

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Nolan Arenado +0.5 runs + RBI vs. Aaron Judge – There is little difference between Judge at home and Arenado on the road when it comes to runs plus RBI. At home, Judge has 0.28 runs plus RBI per plate appearance, while Arenado has 0.27 runs plus RBI per plate appearance on the road. Add in the fact that Arenado faces a left-handed starter (J.A. Happ) and Judge gets a right-handed starter (Kyle Freeland) and the needle turns towards the underdog plus a half.

 

KANSAS CITY-CLEVELAND

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Shane Bieber OVER 6.5 STRIKEOUTS – The rising star in the Indians rotation has 12.2 K/9 at home, resulting in an average of 7.7 strikeouts per home start while the Royals, not surprisingly, have trouble making contact with the sixth-highest road strikeout rate (25.4%) in MLB.

 

ST. LOUIS-CINCINNATI

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Tyler O’Neill OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES – The Canadian outfielder has been a reserve for most of the season but injuries opened the door to regular playing time and in 11 games this month, he’s slugging .775, recording at least two total bases in each of his past five games.

 

CHICAGO WHITE SOX-TAMPA BAY

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Austin Meadows +0.5 total bases vs. Nate Lowe – Although Lowe has more impressive numbers in a smaller sample of games, including five home runs in eight games this month, Meadows is emerging from a slump, currently on a seven-game hitting streak with home runs in back-to-back games which is good enough to be a lively ‘dog.

 

TORONTO-DETROIT

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. -0.5 total bases vs. Randal Grichuk – Not only is Gurriel Jr. an emerging star, he’s slugging .564 on the road which is dramatically better than Grichuk, who struggles away from The Dome, slugging just .346 on the road this season.

 

WASHINGTON-ATLANTA

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Patrick Corbin OVER 6.5 STRIKEOUTS – There is some risk here, as Corbin is much better at home, but his road strikeout rate (11.0 K/9) is still impressive and he is averaging 6.8 strikeouts per road start. He has also struck out at least seven in each of his past five starts.

 

TEXAS-HOUSTON

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Justin Verlander UNDER 9.5 STRIKEOUTS – This is a huge number to cover. As great as Verlander is, and the Rangers do have the worst road strikeout rate (28.1%), he is still averaging 8.3 strikeouts per home start and has hit double digits in strikeouts just twice in eight home starts.

 

OAKLAND-MINNESOTA

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Jake Odorizzi OVER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS – Just as hitters can have dramatically different results depending on venue, the same goes for pitchers. Odorizzi has been fine away from home this season, posting a 3.88 ERA and 1.30 WHIP with 8.4 K/9. At home, though, he’s a beast, with a 2.27 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and 10.4 K/9, averaging 6.9 strikeouts per home start.

 

MILWAUKEE-ARIZONA

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Keston Hiura +0.5 total bases vs. Christian Yelich – The highly-touted Brewers second baseman has been great in his first 33 major league games and is slugging .513 on the road. That’s not quite as good as Yelich, who is slugging .559 away from home, but close enough to take the extra half base as an underdog.

 

L.A. ANGELS-SEATTLE

View Contest

OVER/UNDER

Shohei Ohtani OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES – Although Ohtani is better at home, he’s still slugging .517 on the road and going up against Mariners starter Mike Leake is not enough reason to feel like Ohtani can’t put up a couple of bases, as he has in his past six road starts.

 

MIAMI-L.A. DODGERS

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Cody Bellinger +0.5 runs + RBI – They keep making Bellinger an underdog even though he is averaging a higher per-plate appearance rate of runs + RBI (0.38 vs. 0.36 for Pederson). Any time you can take Bellinger as an underdog, it’s a gift.

 

N.Y. METS-SAN FRANCISCO

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Jeff McNeil +0.5 total bases vs. Alex Dickerson – Since joining the Giants, Dickerson has been great, slugging .787 in 20 games but McNeil is slugging .559 on the road and doesn’t have to go up against Mets ace Jacob de Grom.

 

 

More 2019 Fantasy Baseball Advice




More Recent Articles

 

Wide Receiver Matchups To Target In Week 15

In Week 14, DeAndre Hopkins and Michael Thomas were the high-end options that came through with solid performances, both finishing in the top-five even though they had fairly tough matchups. A.J. Brown finished as the No. 1 receiver on the week, scoring two touchdowns off of just seven targets, while Darius Slayton and Emmanuel Sanders... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 15

Welcome to our Week 15 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More


Woos and Boos - Starts and Sits for Week 15 Lineups

The trend of fresh faces being among the tops of the fantasy scoring leaderboard continued in Week 14. Across the skill positions, we saw players that took advantage of plus matchups and excelled for fantasy owners during the first week of the playoffs. Mitchell Trubisky and Drew Lock came out of nowhere to finish inside... Read More


Week 15 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 15 James Conner is expected to make his return this week. Devante Parker (concussion) is good to go for... Read More


Week 15-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Still doing things a little differently this week--for those of you who are still alive. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More


Week 15 Stream Team - Free Agent and Bye-Week Streamers

Now that the playoffs are in full swing in most leagues and the final march for a championship has begun, streaming becomes a  necessary strategy. Knowing who to add and when to start them could be the ultimate difference-maker in a weekly matchup. Making the right streaming decisions could easily be the difference in winning... Read More


Key Starters and Tough Calls - Lineup Spotlights for Week 15

Welcome to Week 15, RotoBallers! Below you will find some of my spotlight plays and tough lineup decisions for the upcoming week of the fantasy football playoffs. These player selections are based on my Premium Weekly Lineup Rankings, available as part of the RotoBaller's NFL Premium Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for a... Read More


Week 15 Panic Room: Outlooks for Slumping and Injured Players

As you set your Week 15 fantasy football playoff lineups, there may be some players who make you feel very uncomfortable about starting them. Based on recent lackluster performances, injuries, or just an intangible bad vibe, it's a struggle to insert them into your lineup in a do-or-die week. But you may also nervous be... Read More


Drew Lock: Is He Ready For Fantasy Football Playoff Consideration?

There is much excitement in Denver after Drew Lock put on an air display at Houston last week. In just his second NFL start, the rookie threw for 309 yards and three TD passes, all in the first half, as the Broncos stunned the AFC South leaders, 38-24. The final score doesn’t indicate what type... Read More


Survive and Advance: The King's Guide to Fantasy Football Playoff Sanity and Success

As the playoffs progress in the NFL every season, media coverage ramps up. By the time we get to Super Bowl week, it's become a full-blown circus. There are microphones and recorders being shoved in players' faces at every waking moment, and the questions never stop. As the fantasy football playoffs move ahead, there is... Read More


Red Zone Usage Risers and Fallers - Week 15

We are at a crucial point in the season. Hopefully, your team is still alive, but there is always an opportunity to get your team in shape before that final push! As fantasy owners, we know that not all touches are equal. A touch in the red zone has an increased chance of scoring a... Read More


QB vs Pass Rush Matchups To Watch - Week 15

Week 15 is here, and the fantasy playoffs are rolling. Some head into the fantasy semifinals as big favorites but others are scrapping to keep their season alive. Real teams start at quarterback, and the position is pretty important for fantasy as well. Quarterbacks have changed the game for fantasy football this year with guys... Read More


Inside the Tent - Week 15 NFL Injury Insight

At RotoBaller, we can't stress enough the importance of keeping up with injuries and playing your best lineup week after week. Players are going to get injured, that's an unavoidable fact. What's avoidable though is making the wrong roster decisions based on the injuries surrounding your fantasy squad. If you want to dominate your leagues... Read More


NFL Matchup Ratings Tool - Weekly Player Projections

  If you see the red "Upgrade" button below, then you are not a Premium subscriber, or have not yet logged in. Learn more about our NFL Matchup Ratings and projections system. Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of... Read More