Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

Manny Machado to Padres - Fantasy Impact

After months of waiting, one big fish has landed in an unexpected place. Infielder Manny Machado inked a ten-year, $300 million deal with the San Diego Padres, the largest deal ever given in free agency. Machado had experience in the NL West in his 66 games with the Dodgers last season (posting an .825 OPS), but now is slated to play at least five seasons for the youthful Friars. Machado may have only had a .182/.208/.182 slash line in last year's World Series loss against the Red Sox, but will instantly be a high-impact player in San Diego

In a lot of ways, 2018 was Machado's best offensive season, posting a sparkling .297/.367/.538 slash line while matching a career-best with 37 home runs and topping 100 RBI for the first time (107). He had double-digit steals for the second time in his career (stealing 14-of-16 bases) and had career bests in each of his slash line categories. While it is easy to say that Machado showed up in a walk season, remember that he now has four straight 30-home run seasons and has averaged 72 extra-base hits per season since 2015.

A move to San Diego may not be as nice as cozy hitter's parks in Baltimore and Los Angeles, but can Machado still be a top-20 player in San Diego?

Featured Promo: Get any full-season MLB and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, Premium articles, daily Matchup Rating projections, 15 lineup tools, DFS cheat sheets, Research Stations, Lineup Optimizers and much more! Go Premium, Win More!


How Much Will The Move To San Diego Affect Machado?

Machado's first half with the Orioles in 2018 was the best offensive output that he had provided in his career, posting a .315/.387/.575 slash line and hitting 24 home runs in 96 games. He walked 45 times, struck out 51 and even added in eight stolen bases in nine attempts. He was on his way to being a top-10, or even top-five, player last season and a trade to the Dodgers only strengthened his profile.

His play dipped a bit when he moved out west although a .273/.338/.487 slash line was still good.  Most notably, he walked 25 times and struck out 53 times in 66 games, not showing the plate discipline that he displayed in Baltimore (to be fair though, his .472 K/BB ratio in LA was still better than his career .442 mark). You could easily say that the pressure of a pennant race (and a life-altering payday) was getting to Machado, but how will the pressure of being the savior of baseball in San Diego affect him then?

Diving into advanced statistics, Machado had career-bests in basically every category in 2018. His exit velocity was at 91.6, his barrel% was at 11.3%, his hard hit ball rate was top-10 in the league at 48.2%, his K% was at a career-low of 14.7%, and his BB% was at a career-best of 9.9%. There was a bit of a dip in Machado's max exit velocity, from 116.3 in 2017 to 114.8 in 2018, but that did not stop Machado from registering 60 barrels last season (good for 6th in baseball) and his 40% GB rate was also below his 41.4% career average.

His swing profile was not great, as his zone contact rate (85.8%) was below his career average (86.7%), but his 2018 performance when he did hit the ball stood out. Other than his struggles in the World Series, there was basically no other way that Machado could have proved his worth more so than his 2018 performance. Furthermore, 2018 marked the fifth time that Machado registered at least 690 plate appearances; while some may say that signing a 26-year-old with that much mileage is a risky proposal, fantasy owners need to love that Machado is a daily lock in their lineup.

When looking at park factors, there are a lot of things to consider. The brilliant Eno Sarris of The Athletic has one way of looking at it (and, honestly, it is now a favorite of mine); HR/High Drive ratio. For those who cannot conceptualize a high drive, it is basically a hard hit ball in the air; HR/HD basically looks at the ratio of how many hard hit balls in the air turn into home runs.

Where did Machado's two 2018 teams rank in HR/HD? That would be first (LA) and second (BAL). With the notion that San Diego is a pitcher's park, now is probably the time that fantasy owners will drop Machado five or more spots on their draft board. However, San Diego was actually above average in HR/HD ratio in last season (1.034 that ranked 13th in baseball) and was actually a better park to hit in than supposed "hitter's parks" like Toronto or Houston (Minute Maid Park was actually a bit below-average according to HR/HD). No one is going to try to fool you that Petco Park is the same caliber of ballpark for Machado as Dodger Stadium or Camden Yards, but it is not outside of the realm of possibility that Machado still approaches 70 extra-base hits in 2019.


Is Machado Still Worth a Second-Round Pick?

There are many ways to answer the question above and there are external reasons as to why Machado may/may not reach value. The key reasons are the revitalization of Eric Hosmer and the development of both Luis Urias and Fernando Tatis Jr. If Hosmer is the player that he was in 2017 (or at least is not basically a replacement value 1B) and Urias/Tatis Jr. make the kind of impact that the Padres' brass think they can, Machado could approach 200 R+RBI. Even without a ton of production from his teammates in San Diego, though, remember that Machado was raking in Baltimore before his trade to the Dodgers and the Orioles were among the worst offenses in baseball last season.

A move to the Yankees may have moved Machado to the back end of the first round in deeper leagues, but it is not wise to wait past the middle-to-late second round for Machado with his move to the Padres. Currently coming off of the board as the 14th pick in NFBC drafts, Machado is likely to provide similar, if not better, production than the players that he is sandwiched between (Javier Baez and Jose Altuve). Yes, it is not trendy to pick a Padre in the second round, but these are your father's Padres now! 1984 World Series anyone???

More 2019 MLB Advice and Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts


Tari Eason15 mins ago

Available On Wedesday
Nikola Jokic18 mins ago

To Play Versus Rockets
Jerry Jeudy19 mins ago

Misses Practice On Wednesday
Aaron Gordon23 mins ago

Unavailable On Wednesday
Jamal Murray28 mins ago

Returning On Wednesday
Chris Olave29 mins ago

Limited In Wednesday's Practice
Aaron Holiday33 mins ago

To Start On Wednesday
Amari Cooper37 mins ago

Listed As DNP On Wednesday
Dallas Goedert44 mins ago

Yet To Return To Practice
Breece Hall1 hour ago

Shows Up On Week 13 Injury Report
Joshua Palmer1 hour ago

Could Return This Year
Quentin Johnston2 hours ago

A Full Participant At Practice
Keenan Allen2 hours ago

Sits Out On Wednesday
C.J. Stroud2 hours ago

Practices Fully
Dalton Schultz2 hours ago

Unable To Practice On Wednesday
Devin Williams2 hours ago

Wins NL Reliever Of The Year Award
FĂ©lix Bautista2 hours ago

Felix Bautista Named AL Reliever Of The Year
Luis Severino2 hours ago

Mets, Luis Severino Finalizing One-Year Deal
Marcus Smart2 hours ago

Ditches Walking Boot
Anthony Edwards2 hours ago

Unlikely To Suit Up Thursday
Brandon Miller2 hours ago

Questionable Against Nets
Cam Thomas2 hours ago

Expected To Return Thursday
Jimmy Butler3 hours ago

Heat List Jimmy Butler As Questionable
Trey McBride3 hours ago

Misses Practice On Wednesday
Kelly Olynyk3 hours ago

Jordan Clarkson, Kelly Olynyk Upgraded To Probable
Shohei Ohtani3 hours ago

Expected To Sign Before End Of Winter Meetings
Keegan Murray3 hours ago

Remains Out Against Clippers
Dylan Cease3 hours ago

Trade Talks For Dylan Cease Have Intensified
De'Von Achane4 hours ago

Listed As Limited Wednesday
Ville Husso4 hours ago

Back In The Crease Wednesday
Raheem Mostert4 hours ago

Absent From Wednesday's Practice
Tyreek Hill4 hours ago

Sitting Out With Ankle Injury
Charlie Lindgren4 hours ago

Starting Versus Kings Wednesday
Jordan Greenway5 hours ago

To Return Thursday
Kenneth Walker III5 hours ago

Listed As Doubtful For Thursday
Cleveland Browns5 hours ago

Myles Garrett, Denzel Ward Not Practicing
Chicago Bulls5 hours ago

Chicago's Core Could Face Shake-Up This Year
Corey Perry5 hours ago

Has Contract Officially Terminated
Shea Theodore5 hours ago

Week-To-Week Following Surgery
Fred VanVleet5 hours ago

Out For First Time This Year
Joe Flacco5 hours ago

Now The Backup In Cleveland
Gordon Hayward5 hours ago

Teams Inquiring About Gordon Hayward's Availability
Nic Claxton5 hours ago

Nets View Nicolas Claxton As Building Block
Dorian Thompson-Robinson5 hours ago

In Concussion Protocol
Kareem Hunt5 hours ago

Won't Practice Wednesday
Bailey Zappe6 hours ago

Seeing First-Team Reps At Practice
Pascal Siakam6 hours ago

Hawks Keeping An Eye On Pascal Siakam
Marquise Brown6 hours ago

Michael Wilson Miss Practice
CJ McCollum6 hours ago

Says He Will Play Wednesday
Randy Arozarena6 hours ago

Being Shopped By Rays
Bo Bichette6 hours ago

Likely Staying Put
Emilio Pagán7 hours ago

Emilio Pagan Agrees To Two-Year Pact With Reds
Andrei Svechnikov7 hours ago

Doesn't Play Tuesday Due To Illness
Zach Hyman7 hours ago

Misses Tuesday's Game With Illness
Mark Giordano8 hours ago

To Miss Extended Time After Blocking Shot Off Hand
Dougie Hamilton8 hours ago

Leaves Game Early Tuesday, Undergoing Evaluation
Jacob Markstrom8 hours ago

Back At Practice Wednesday
Filip Forsberg10 hours ago

Maintains Momentum With Game-Winner
Seth Jarvis10 hours ago

Continues Hot Spell With Ninth Goal
Connor McDavid10 hours ago

Notches Three Points In Tuesday's Win
Jake Oettinger10 hours ago

Posts First Shutout Of Season
Brock Boeser10 hours ago

Hits Two Goals In Tuesday's Win
Michael Carcone10 hours ago

Nets Two Goals Against Tampa Bay
Jamal Murray11 hours ago

Considered Questionable Wednesday
Kelly Olynyk11 hours ago

Questionable Wednesday
Jordan Clarkson11 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Action
Mathew Barzal20 hours ago

Has Three-Point Night In Loss
Dylan Cease20 hours ago

Dodgers "Among Most Aggressive" Teams For Dylan Cease
Jack Hughes20 hours ago

Contributes With Three Points In Victory
Shohei Ohtani20 hours ago

Yoshinobu Yamamoto "Above All Other Options" For Giants
Akira Schmid21 hours ago

Picks Up Victory In Relief Appearance
Juan Soto21 hours ago

"Almost Certain To Be Traded"
Cody Bellinger21 hours ago

Earns NL Comeback Player Of The Year Award
Liam Hendriks21 hours ago

Earns AL Comeback Player Of The Year Award
Anthony Beauvillier21 hours ago

Blackhawks Acquire Anthony Beauvillier
Jackson Chourio1 day ago

Brewers Discussing Deal With Top Prospect Jackson Chourio
Jake Walman1 day ago

To Return On Wednesday
Tyler Glasnow1 day ago

Cubs In Trade Talks For Tyler Glasnow
Shane Bieber1 day ago

Cubs, Reds Looking At Shane Bieber
Jason Heyward2 days ago

Reportedly Re-Signs With Dodgers Monday
Lucas Giolito2 days ago

Dodgers Interested In Lucas Giolito This Offseason
Steven Matz2 days ago

Available Via Trade
Tyler Glasnow2 days ago

Reds Showing Interest In Tyler Glasnow
Alex Bregman2 days ago

Could Be Moved This Offseason




Tyler Lockett - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Who Should I Start? TNF Fantasy Football Lineup Decisions for Week 13 - Tyler Lockett, Brandin Cooks, Zach Charbonnet, Rashee Rice, Puka Nacua, Nico Collins, Jayden Reed, more

It's almost time for Thursday Night Football. Who Should I Start? Who Should I Sit? Set you optimal fantasy football lineups for Thursday Night Football and Week 13 of the 2023 NFL season. Our free Who Should I Start? tool will help make your fantasy football lineup decisions. Compare up to four NFL players, and... Read More

Week 13 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Analysis: Running Backs, Tight Ends Booms and Busts

Check out our top 2023 fantasy football Start/Sit analysis for Week 13 of the NFL season! Matt Donnelly discusses his top Start/Sit decisions at the Running Back and Tight End positions that will have an impact in Week 13. The 2023 fantasy football season is here - win big with RotoBaller in 2023! Be sure... Read More

Jordan Love - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Targets, NFL Injury News

Week 13 Quarterback Rankings for Fantasy Football: Jordan Love, Sam Howell, Gardner Minshew, Russell Wilson, Geno Smith

Welcome, RotoBallers! With six teams on a bye, there will be a lot of lineup holes to fill in Week 13. The Ravens, Bills, Raiders, Bears, Giants, and Vikings are off this week. Between injuries and changes, the quarterback position has recently become very hit-or-miss for fantasy football. We are here to guide you through... Read More

Brandin Cooks - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 13 Half-PPR FLEX Rankings for Fantasy Football: Zach Charbonnet, Jaylen Warren, Brandin Cooks, Josh Downs, more

Hey, RotoBallers! Week 13 has arrived and kicks off with the Cowboys and Seahawks on Thursday. We have two weeks left in the fantasy football regular season, and this could be the last chance managers could secure a playoff spot. It's time to set those winning lineups, and we've got you covered to make those... Read More

Pat Freiermuth - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 13 Half-PPR Tight End Rankings for Fantasy Football: Pat Freiermuth, Trey McBride, Taysom Hill, Gerald Everett, more

Howdy RotoBallers! The 2023 fantasy football regular season is rapidly approaching, and it may be fantasy managers' last shot for a playoff push. Week 13 could be a make-or-break week for some managers, and it will be challenging as six teams are on the bye. At RotoBaller, we are to help and guide you through... Read More

Rashee Rice - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL wr, Draft Sleepers

Week 13 Half-PPR Wide Receiver Rankings for Fantasy Football: Rashee Rice, Puka Nacua, Nico Collins, Tyler Lockett, more

RotoBallers, we are coming to the home stretch of the fantasy football regular season with just two weeks left. The player pool for Week 13 will be slim compared to other weeks, with six teams on the bye. The Giants, Vikings, Ravens, Bills, Raiders, and the Bears are off this week. There will be tough... Read More

Week 13 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Analysis: Wide Receiver, Quarterback Booms and Busts

Check out our top 2023 fantasy football Start/Sit analysis for Week 13 of the NFL season! Matt Donnelly discusses his top Start/Sit decisions at the Wide Receiver and Quarterback positions that will have an impact in Week 13. The 2023 fantasy football season is here - win big with RotoBaller in 2023! Be sure to... Read More

Zack Moss - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Week 13 Half-PPR Running Back Rankings for Fantasy Football: Zack Moss, Kyren Williams, Joe Mixon, James Conner, more

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to more fantasy football rankings. Amazingly, Week 13 is already here. There are only two weeks left in the fantasy football regular season, so it's time to set those winning lineups and make that final push for the fantasy playoffs. We are here as always to help you guide you and are... Read More

Jaguars Defense - Fantasy Football DST, Defense Streamers, Waiver Wire IDP

Week 13 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2023 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Week 12 is now in the books leaving the majority of fantasy leagues with only two regular-season games remaining. We also move on from another plentiful week with no byes directly into a week with six teams on bye. Playoff spots in many leagues will be decided this week, as well as playoff seeding and... Read More

Zack Moss - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Fantasy Football Matchups to Target, Avoid (Week 13) - Offensive Line Champs and Chumps

The fantasy playoffs are just around the corner and every week matters. Teams who have already locked up a playoff spot need to keep optimizing their roster to push for a championship. Teams on the cusp of earning a playoff bid need to secure crucial wins to stay alive. Finding an edge in matchups can... Read More

Tyler Higbee - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Are You For Real? Jordan Love, Rashee Rice, Tyler Higbee - Fantasy Football Outlooks

Week 12 of the NFL is behind us and it's time to look ahead to next week's action. There were some surprising performances in the 10th week of the season, but were those surprising performances a sign of things to come for players? Every week, I'll be looking at three to five NFL players whose... Read More

Kyren Williams - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Updated Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

      Fantasy Football Rankings by NFL Position ALL - QB - RB - WR - TE - DEF Above you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings, tiers, player news and stats for your 2023 fantasy football leagues. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's fantasy football rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Fantasy Football... Read More

Zach Charbonnet - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS and Betting Picks

Sleeper.com NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Week 13 Thursday Night Football

Welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13 Thursday Night Football: Seahawks vs. Cowboys. Each week we’ll highlight three top props for Thursday’s game and track how our picks do over time.  Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular... Read More