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Should I draft Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts? Dustin analyzes NFL players with similar values, and tells you who to pick once you're on the clock in your fantasy football draft.
Welcome RotoBallers to our ADP duel comparing Jalen Hurts vs. Josh Allen for 2023 fantasy football drafts. Fantasy football has become a cultural phenomenon, captivating sports enthusiasts and casual fans alike with its unique blend of strategy and competition. As the popularity continues to soar, the tools and metrics used to gain a competitive edge have evolved.
One metric that holds immense value for fantasy football players is the Average Draft Position (ADP). ADP serves as a critical guide in draft preparation, helping managers navigate the player selection process and build a winning roster.
In this article, we will delve into the intricacies of ADP between two similarly valued players and how you can effectively attack the best player to construct a championship-caliber fantasy team.
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Breakdown Of ADP
Average Draft Position, commonly referred to as ADP, represents the average position at which a player is drafted in fantasy football leagues. ADP is typically derived from data collected from various mock drafts and real drafts conducted by fantasy football enthusiasts. This powerful metric serves as a benchmark, indicating the perceived value and popularity of players within the fantasy football community.
Understanding ADP is essential for fantasy managers, as it provides crucial insights into player rankings and draft trends and helps determine the optimal time to select specific players. By incorporating ADP into their draft strategy, managers can effectively gauge player availability, identify potential steals, and avoid reaching for players too early in the draft.
ADP acts as a compass, guiding fantasy managers through the unpredictable terrain of the draft. It offers an overview of player rankings, allowing managers to gauge which players are typically selected in the early rounds and which may fall to later rounds.
This knowledge can help managers identify "value picks," where players with a higher ADP can be secured at a lower draft position. Additionally, analyzing ADP trends over time can provide valuable insights into player fluctuations and market sentiment, helping managers stay ahead of the competition. By incorporating ADP data into their draft strategy, managers can make well-informed decisions, ensuring they assemble a well-balanced team capable of maximizing points and securing victory.
Understanding ADP can help managers identify the optimal time to select high-value wide receivers or tight ends. By blending their draft strategy with ADP insights, managers can create a well-rounded roster that maximizes value and minimizes risk, setting themselves up for success throughout the fantasy football season.
Average Draft Position (ADP) serves as a vital tool in the arsenal of fantasy football managers. By comprehending the definition, importance, and strategic utilization of ADP, managers can make informed decisions during the draft, ultimately constructing a championship-caliber team. With ADP as their guide, fantasy managers can navigate the intricacies of the draft process, identify value picks, and adapt their strategy to gain a competitive edge. Let's break down the ADPs of QBs Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen and see who the better pick for your fantasy football team may be.
Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles
QB3 - ADP: 20th Overall
Jalen Hurts was the best quarterback in fantasy last season. He is a budding superstar in the league who is poised for another monster season in 2023. Hurts has a cannon for an arm and the speed to match. He is an elite athlete that will keep the Eagles in contention for years to come.
Hurts' abilities as a dual-threat QB make him one of the hottest fantasy options this year. The weapons at his disposal make him a top target amongst fantasy managers. He averaged 25.6 fantasy points per game last season, and we will see similar numbers this season.
The Eagles offense will be one of the best in the NFL again this year, with their main playmakers from last season returning. With A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert at his disposal, Hurts will be in the MVP conversation. Hurts is one of the few players that is a lock to produce at a high level, barring injury. Finding a way to stack Hurts with either Brown or Smith would be a winning stack in nearly any league.
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
QB2 - ADP: 19th Overall
When comparing these two quarterbacks, there is one clear difference and one major advantage for Jalen Hurts. Hurts has more weapons at his disposal, especially considering recent rumors that star WR Stefon Diggs wants out. Josh Allen has a powerful arm and is not afraid to run with the ball. Does the possibility of Diggs leaving affect Allen's fantasy outlook?
Last season, Allen ranked seventh in passing yards (4,316) and third in passing touchdowns (35). He averaged a whopping 306.9 air yards per game, which was the second-best in the league. In 2022, Allen was throwing to the likes of wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, while Jalen Hurts had A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith at his disposal.
Allen has had a phenomenal start to his career, completing 62.5% of his passes for 18,937 yards and 138 TDs. He has thrown 60 interceptions in his career and has a QBR of 92.2. Allen is one of the best QBs in the league and finished 2022 as the No. 2 QB. He was the No.1 QB in 2021. Allen has averaged at least 27.8 fantasy points per game for three years in a row and is a solid first-round pick.
Fantasy Football Verdict
When choosing between these two top-tier quarterbacks, there isn't a wrong choice. Both provide first-class production at a premium position in fantasy football. However, what makes fantasy football fun is that you get to pick your favorite.
But when the pressure is on, and the draft clock says it's your turn to select, which player do you choose? Either would make a tremendous addition to your hopeful championship roster, and each provides a similar skill set. Maybe the rumors of Stefon Diggs wanting out of Buffalo make you favor Jalen Hurts. Perhaps you are confident in Allen's ability to make any receiver look good and believe he will have another solid year.
The decision is yours. Personally, I am taking Jalen Hurts over Josh Allen. He has A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Quez Watkins, and Dallas Goedert returning. The backfield, however, will now feature D'Andre Swift, Rashaad Penny, and Kenneth Gainwell, which is one of the deepest in the league.
Hurts also has a solid offensive line to protect him and give enough time in the pocket to deliver the ball to one of his many receiving options. Hurts and the Eagles are entering this year as the favorite to win the NFC. After seeing him break out last year, he is who I am taking this year. Allen is a solid option and will have a solid year, but he won't outperform Hurts.
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