Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


Fantasy Basketball: Three Sleepers to Help Win Your League

The 2013-2014 fantasy basketball draft season is upon us, and RotoBaller wants to make sure that you are completely prepared! We've got rankings at all the positions: Top 30 CentersTop 50 Guards and Top 50 Forwards, as well as  the Top 150 Overall Part 1 and Part 2. Good luck selecting your team!


Three Sleepers to Help Win Your League in 2013-14

In fantasy basketball, grabbing that massively undervalued player in the mid-to-late rounds will make winning your league a much easier task.  You've got to know whom to target at that stage to maximize value and return on investment.  Here are three guys to strongly consider.


Nick Young shootsNick Young, SG/SF (LAL)
Yahoo, ESPN, CBS Ownership Rates: 33%, 21.8%, 37%
League Experience: 7 seasons
Category Strengths: 3PTM
Category Neutrals: FT%, Points, Steals
Category Weaknesses: FG%, Rebounds, Assists, Blocks


Making A Case for Young:  Headed to a team in turmoil, the L.A. Lakers, is the perfect scenario for him.  There'll be very little pressure to perform, as many NBA experts project the team to a be a laughingstock.  This simply means that if Young takes a few airballs, he'll most likely be given extra leeway, as opposed to how he's been treated in years past.

Secondly, Coach D'Antoni is the dream coach for him. Why? Well, let's see: his entire list of strengths will be put to full use while his entire list of weaknesses will be limited to the highest degree.  Coach D'Antoni is arguably the most-offensive minded coach in the league-- all he wants his players to do is run, shoot, and run some more.  Chucking up threes, running pick-and-rolls and playing "sub-par" defense is basically his philosophy.

Coach D'Antoni will need to anoint a three-point specialist for his fast-break offense and Young fits the bill.  He'll be given the green light to take over 10 shots a game.  Even with Kobe Bryant healthy and back in the lineup, his fantasy value shouldn't take a significant hit.  Bryant might take a few shot attempts away, but Young's role should still be kept in place.


Making a Case Against Young:  Young's sharpshooting ability and sweet stroke is undeniable.  Considering his offensive skillset, why has he failed to shoot over 40% for his career?  This statistic shows that Young is an inefficient scorer due to poor shot selection (low-percentage shots.)  He might have value in three-point shooting, but offers little upside in the assists and hustle (steals, blocks) categories.


What Should We Expect?:  If Young averages around 12 field goal attempts per game, then that should equate to at least 13 p.p.g. and 110 3-pointers made (82 games)-- these numbers represent his projected floor-level of production.  The floor stats would have rated him as the 90th p.p.g scorer and 49th three-point producer last season.

The bottom line with Young is this: what you see is what you get. He's not magically going to reinvent his game and become a 25-point scorer-- however, he can become a quality three-point specialist while offering solid p.p.g numbers.


Kevin Seraphin, PF/C (WAS)
Yahoo, ESPN, CBS Ownership Rates: 6%, 0.4%, 25%
League Experience: 4 seasons
Category Strengths: Blocks
Category Neutrals: FG%, FT%, Points, Rebounds
Category Weaknesses: 3PTM, Assists, Steals


Making a Case for Seraphin:  Playing for a backcourt-dominant team, owners are setting their sights on landing Wall or Beal.  Each is an incredible talent, and I have each ranked in the top-30 of my top-50 guard rankings.  However, the Wizards' big men have struggled to gain much fantasy relevance, if any at all.

When you look at the team's frontcourt, not only does it look weak on paper, but their are several question marks.  Let's begin with the PFs: Nene Hilario is a talented veteran, but had chronic foot and knee injuries last season which limited him to 61 games.  Trevor Booker is also injury-prone, and hasn't yet proven to be a legitimate NBA starter.  Outside of Seraphin, Emeka Okafor is the only center on the roster, and he is out indefinitely with a herniated disc in his neck.

Taking the frontcourt dilemma into account, this brings us to the question: someone needs to step up, but who will it be?  It appears Kevin Seraphin, the only French Guiana-born NBA player, is the most likely candidate.  He is a physical specimen more than capable to anchor the paint (defensively).


Making a Case against Seraphin:  Seraphin is expected to earn an increased role and has a chance to start at center.  These are good signs, but more minutes doesn't guarantee fantasy relevance. He has a soft touch around the rim, but has trouble creating his own shot.  Other than offering high upside in blocks, he's not an exceptional rebounder and is unpolished offensively.


What Should We Expect?:  With the possibility of exceeding the 25-minutes played mark, Seraphin's numbers should receive a significant boost.  His per-36 blocks were at a stout 2.3 (career-high) in the 2012 season, after posting 1.2 last season.  The drop-off in production has a direct-correlation with John Wall's presence.  In 2012, Wall played in every game after missing 33 games last season.

A healthy dose of minutes is just what the doctor ordered-- Seraphin can become a quality shot-blocker while offering modest p.p.g. and rebound numbers.


Patrick Beverley, PG (HOU)
Yahoo, ESPN, CBS Ownership Rates: 13%, 6.2%, 30%
League Experience: 2 seasons
Category Strengths: Steals
Category Neutrals: FT%, 3PTM, Assists, Blocks
Category Weaknesses: FG%, Points, Rebounds


Making a Case for Beverley:  The Hollywood Film star, *cough*, I mean Beverly, is poised to make an impact.  Coach Kevin McHale has made it clear that the starting PG-position is up for grabs.  The "Linsanity Show" is losing it's flavor, making Beverley the ultimate beneficiary.

In six playoff games last season, Beverley did not shy away from the spotlight.  Besides injuring Westbrook, his hustle stats are ultimately what stood out most-- 1.2 steals, .7 blocks (33.1 minutes).  His non-conservative style of play is one of the prime ingredients needed in a "high-upside" player.  While he may lack elite attributes and low foul totals, his level of intensity well makes up for it.

Not only has he impressed, but he's the perfect complement to James Harden-- imagine an elite offensive and defensive player in the same backcourt?  This is a starting duo to be considered, but even if not, Beverley should still receive substantial time at point guard.


Making a Case Against Beverley:  Earning a starting role comes with more hope than certainty.  A 3 year/$25 million deal wasn't meant for Lin to be anything less than a starting-caliber player.  Beverley's points and assists upside has extreme limitations, especially when playing alongside one of the league's best play-making  guards (Harden).


What Should We Expect?:

After receiving 17.4 M.P.G. as a rookie, there is 20 M.P.G. potential with room for more.  Beverley is a sneaky-source for three-pointers and steals, but is also a very talented shot-blocker.  His blocks per-25 last season was .7, which would have been ranked 3rd among all PG's, only behind John Wall and Dwyane Wade respectively.

Most of Beverley's value will be derived in the x-factor cats (3PTM, ST., BLK.), rather than from the 3-main offensive cats.  For needy-PG owners, Beverley can become a viable steals option with modest assist numbers.


Best of luck to you all in your drafts, and don't forget to hit up the chat rooms or message us at with any last-minute questions you may have!


Check back to over the coming days to get all of our fantasy basketball draft prep coverage!  And find all of our rankings as well as other fantasy basketball articles all season long!

More Recent Articles


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Adrian Houser

In life, there seem to be two kinds of people, the flashy and the boring. “Flashy” people like high-end materialistic things such as nice clothing or an expensive car. "Boring” people prefer the simpler things in life like spending time with their loved ones. This seems to be true when it comes to fantasy baseball,... Read More

Taking Out the Trash: Pitchers Who Should Junk Their Worst Pitch

Pitch mix changes can make or break a player’s season. That obviously goes for fantasy value as well as real-life. We've already seen how throwing an effective pitch more often could make a huge improvement a la Patrick Corbin. Sometimes pitchers just need to eliminate a pitch to see their numbers improve. Consider the following: Mitch... Read More

ADP Showdown – Trevor Story vs. Trea Turner

Pitchers and catchers have officially reported and position player workouts are getting underway, which means baseball season is officially upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already started dealing with tough draft position... Read More

Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Pitcher Statcast

Statcast metrics such as Barrels and Brls/BBE are great ways to evaluate a batter's performance, so it is only natural to assume that the metrics would be predictive for pitchers as well. As much as batters want to hit a Barrel every time, pitchers want to avoid them at all costs. Yet there is evidence... Read More

Bases Loaded Podcast - All Things Fantasy Baseball w/ Nick Pollack (@PitcherList)

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) is  joined by Nick Pollack (@PitcherList) and they discuss all things fantasy baseball! Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune... Read More

Finding Combo-Player Values Using Z-Scores and ATC Projections

Towards the end of last season, I asked the question – “Draft Speed or Pound the Power?” Loaded in this seemingly simple query are two contradictory approaches – one for power and one for speed. Power Approach 1: Home run totals are dramatically up in baseball these days. Therefore, there are many power bats available... Read More

ADP Showdown - Whit Merrifield vs Austin Meadows

Spring training is officially underway, which means baseball season is upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already begun dealing with tough draft position decisions. The outfield position is deep as always, but... Read More

2020 Keeper Value Rankings - Third Base

Keeper Value Rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated draft pick in order to keep a player into the upcoming season. These rankings are based on Keeper "Values". In the marketing world, Value can be defined as the extent to which a good or service (player) is... Read More

2020 Dynasty Leagues: Players to Sell (Premium Content)

As draft day approaches in dynasty leagues, the window to sell-high on a big name has never been better. The first days of spring training are a chance to cash in on players who may have hit their peak value before the 2020 season begins. Bartering is a matter of risk vs reward. You hate... Read More

Bases Loaded Podcast: Early Round Values

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) is joined by Jorge Montanez (@Roto_Nino) and Zach Braff (@BraffZ) and they discuss early round values. They go through and highlight a few players that are going inside the top 150 in ADP that offer a great chance to return profit. Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast... Read More

Second Year Pitcher Preview: Fantasy Baseball 2020 ADP Analysis

Host Anthony Aniano of RotoBaller Radio discuss the 2020 fantasy baseball season and keeps you updated with all the latest news and analysis Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, every weekday afternoon from 1-2 PM ET, Saturday nights from 9-11 PM ET... Read More

Relief Pitchers to Target for Holds

Hold on... there are fantasy leagues that reward middle relievers, not just starters and closers? Yes, there are, and leagues that reward holds are one of the fastest-growing segments of fantasy baseball as real baseball continues to diminish the role of the starter in favor of building deep bullpens with multiple relievers that throw 95+... Read More

2020 Second Base Rankings - H2H Points Leagues

Points leagues may seem like a slight variation from traditional 5x5 category scoring leagues but you must approach draft day with a different strategy if you wish to truly compete. Rankings themselves are a different beast altogether, as category specialists like Mallex Smith and Dee Gordon (stolen bases), Kyle Schwarber and Franmil Reyes (home runs),... Read More

ADP Showdown – Matt Olson vs Paul Goldschmidt

Pitchers and catchers have officially reported and position player workouts are getting underway, which means baseball season is officially upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already started dealing with tough draft position... Read More

2020 Second Base Rankings - Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Leagues

As the season draws near, we realize more and more that it's draft season. There is a large portion of fantasy baseball busy with mock drafts, rankings, sleepers, and more mock drafts. The Dynasty community, on the other hand, is looking to continue their dominance, rebuild, or in a worst-case scenario, stick their hands up... Read More