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Free NFL betting picks, odds, predictions for the Falcons vs. Buccaneers in Week 18 (2023). Our best bets and top NFL picks for moneylines, over/unders and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, January 8th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Buccaneers @ Falcons
The Buccaneers take on the Falcons on Sunday, January 8th at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-8) vs. Atlanta Falcons (6-10)
- Date: Sunday, January 8th, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Buccaneers @ Falcons
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers - NFL Betting Analysis
The Buccaneers head into week 18 looking for another win, as they picked up 6 point victory over the Carolina Panthers (30-24). In addition to winning straight up, the team covered the spread as -3.5 point favorites. The teams combined for a total of 54 points, which surpassed the over-under betting line of 40. Tampa Bay came back to win the game and cover the -3.5 point spread, despite heading into the 4th quarter trailing 14-10. The Buccaneers outscored Carolina by 10 points in the final quarter. Through 16 games, the Buccaneers have an ATS record of 4-11-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 5-11. This week's betting total of 40.5 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Buccaneers prepare to take on Atlanta, they are ranked 24th in points per game at 18.5. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Falcons defense ranked 23rd in points per game. Throughout the game, Tampa Bay should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 2nd ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. Coming into the game, the Buccaneers are averaging just 76.4 yards per game in the rushing attack.
Atlanta Falcons - NFL Betting Analysis
The Falcons head into week 18, looking for another win, as they picked up 1 point victory over the Arizona Cardinals (20-19). In terms of betting, Atlanta did not cover the spread in their win, as they entered as the -6.5 point favorites. The team's combined scoring of 39 points fell below the posted betting line of 40. Atlanta pulled out a comeback victory over the Cardinals, as they entered the 4th quarter trailing by a score of 16-14. Despite the win, Atlanta was not able to cover the spread. Through 16 games, the Falcons have an ATS record of 8-8. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-10. This week's betting total of 40.5 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Falcons prepare to take on Tampa Bay, they are ranked 19th in points per game at 20.9. This week, the team is matched up against the league's 9th-ranked defense. For the year, Tampa Bay is allowing 20.5 points per game. Even though Atlanta has a good matchup in the passing game, as the Buccaneers are ranked 18th in passer rating allowed, we don't anticipate the team being able to take advantage. Look for the Falcons to finish the game with a below-average performance in the passing game. On the ground, the Falcons should be in line for a good performance, as they 2nd in rush attempts per game and 3rd in yardage.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Buccaneers vs. Falcons
Heading into the game, Atlanta will look to turn things around in the series, as the Buccaneers have won each of the last 3 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 1-2, with the average scoring total coming in at 52.0 points. The Buccaneers will be looking to pick up yet another win over the Falcons as they picked up a 21-15 win at home in week 5. Not only did the Buccaneers come out on top in the win column, but they also covered the spread as +3.0 point underdogs. Last year, the Buccaneers dominated the season series, winning by scores of 30-17 and 48-25.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-1. The Buccaneers' offense has averaged 33.0 points per game over the 3 most recent meetings with Atlanta, compared to the Falcons at 19.0.
Tampa Bay will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past 3 games. Against the spread, the team is 1-2 in these same games.
Across the Buccaneers' last 3 road games, the team averaged 14.33 points per game while allowing 24.67. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 1-2 straight-up.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Falcons have gone 1-2 straight up. Like their straight-up record, Atlanta struggled vs the spread, going 1-2. Over these games, they put together an over-under record of 0-3.
Across their last 3 home contests, Atlanta has been good against the spread posting a mark of 1-2. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 21.0 points per game.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Buccaneers 3.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 40.5
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