
Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the Procore Championship (2025). His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.
Welcome, everyone, to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 Procore Championship. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.
New starting this year -- if you want to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.
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Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings - The Procore Championship
Below are some of my favorite picks for DraftKings. We also have tons of other great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.
PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Spencer's Model (And More)
We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:
PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)
- A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows users to input data to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide on everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market.
- The Procore Championship
Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)
- Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
- All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
- In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
- Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
- Units: +340.903 Units
- All Totals Are Entering 2025
- Click here to see an example
In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)
- Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.
In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4
- Lifetime Record:
- (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Click here to see an example
First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles
- Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
- Click here to see an example
One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)
- 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look at a handful of options to consider.
- Click here to see an example
Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends
- We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.
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Let's Look at the Stats
Stat | Silverado | PGA Average |
Driving Distance | 290 | 284 |
Driving Accuracy | 46% | 62% |
GIR Percentage | 69% | 65% |
Scrambling Percentage | 58% | 56% |
Average Three-Putts Per Round | 0.53 | 0.54 |
Field
Field Size: 144
Cut: Top-65 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 9
Last Five Winners of The Procore Championship
2024 | Patton Kizzire | -20 |
2023 | Sahith Theegala | -21 |
2022 | Max Homa | -16 |
2021 | Max Homa | -19 |
2020 | Stewart Cink | -21 |
Expected Cut-Line
2024 | -2 |
2023 | -2 |
2022 | |
2021 | |
2020 |
Silverado Resort & Spa
7,166 Yards - Par 72 - Greens Poa/Bent
Course breakdown will land in my Vegas Report this week
First Look Into Outright Bets
Player | Price |
Justin Thomas | 20 |
Maverick McNealy | 30 |
Beau Hossler | 125 |
Andrew Putnam | 200 |
Taylor Montgomery | 250 |
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Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo
— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023
Favorite Plays
Justin Thomas ($10,200), Maverick McNealy ($9,000)
If nothing else, backing these two every week since the Genesis Scottish Open does allow me to keep rocking with this image, even if it would have been more fitting had McNealy made the Ryder Cup...
I used to view Silverado Resort as this forgiving driving test that allowed wayward golfers to reach a higher level of success. That answer still holds value, as a bomb-and-gouge output presents a route to consider when we explore the sporadic spacing of trees, which allows for extra aggression.
However, more of where I land nowadays is under this pretense that golfers who win this tournament do so with very little off-the-tee output of any kind. Essentially, this comes to fruition when examining a decreasing expectation as players progress up the leaderboard.
I don't think it hurts that a name like Justin Thomas gets to use his distance to enter his preferred proximity zone of 0-150 and do so easily when approaching the green from the correct side of the rough, but I started to ask myself the question that "If off-the-tee gets completely negated for those who win the title, what happens to the data if we remove it entirely and only dive into specific metrics from the other areas."
Ignore "Projected Ownership." Those totals aren't correct, but here were the top-11 names when removing driving marks completely from the mix and starting players with an approach shot from within 150 yards. I don't think that blueprint is ideal when trying to find purely safety, but it does start to show where outliers can pop for us.
Beau Hossler ($7,700)
My data always has concerns about Beau Hossler's upside, but the industry is correct when they tout him in California when we dive into his STRONG California splits.
My model graded Hossler as a top-10 projected performer in the state, as well as a top-10 performer on similar green types when played on the West Coast.
Don't get it twisted and think that Silverado is your typical pure Poa Annua contest that you get yearly. That is not the case with the strong override of Bentgrass, but the fact that Hossler still popped when looking at corresponding answers might give him more upside than people are going to project. For DFS purposes, that present massive GPP upside if he is going to stay under 10%.
Andrew Putnam ($7,400)
I've already discussed how underweight to driving returns that I will be this week, so it makes sense that my model likes the statistical worst driver in this field if he is finding success elsewhere.
Putnam has been a mixed bag over the last few months, rendering multiple missed cuts and top-15 performances over his last five starts, but my data loves his returns for anticipated approach, putting and around-the-green when gearing the totals toward Silverado. Here are all the golfers in the field to rank top-25 for all three areas:
Needless to say, I am much higher on Putnam that consensus will be in Napa.
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