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Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks (8/29/17): MLB DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings

Last night was a weird one, folks, but that's what I love about this daily thing - you get to dust yourself off and start over. The best advice NFL quarterbacks give each other is the best advice I can give anyone trying to up their bank roll - learn from your mistakes, but most importantly, have a short memory (as it pertains to your daily performance). Tuesday always brings us a big slate and a wealth of different routes to attack it with. There are 15 games tonight, all under the lights, so we have a monster Main slate. Joy!

Before we dive into player analysis, let's see what we can learn from the lines Vegas has posted as of this morning. For starters, let's take a look at the biggest favorites. Moneyline favorites can be helpful in determining which cash game pitchers are best. As of now, we have three enormous favorites, all with lines greater than -200: the Red Sox, Twins and Cubs, which will be manned by pitchers Chris Sale, Ervin Santana and Jake Arrieta, respectively. As for run total projections, it starts with Rockies at 6, followed by the Reds (5.6), Angels (5.4), Twins (5.4), Red Sox (5.2), Tigers (5.1) and Orioles (5.1). That's a healthy number of teams above five, and there are quite a few lurking in the 4.5 - 4.9 run range. Keep an eye on late movement in respect to run lines, as it may uncover a new stack or strategy for you.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 8/29/17. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays.

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Let's get to it shall we?

 

DFS Starting Pitchers to Consider

Chris Sale - SP, BOS @ TOR (DK - $13,200, FD - $10,900)

His last start isn't going to scare me off here. We all know Sale - like Max Scherzer, Corey Kluber and the like - have that extra something that makes them tick. I see a big bounce back tonight against a team that he has dominated this season - 24 strikeouts over 15 innings with zero earned runs. His season stats are still uber-elite 0.9 WHIP, 0.9 HR/9 and a K/9 that is hovering above 12. His Statcast data is still very favorable - even including the blow-up in his recent appearance - as he's allowed just a 31% hard hit rate in that time frame, and batted ball luck tells us he's even been quite unlucky.

 

Also Consider: Ervin Santana - SP, CWS vs MIN (DK - $10,200, FD - $9,000) - CASH contests

Also Consider: Luke Weaver - SP, STL @ MIL (DK - $7,600, FD - $8,400) - TOURNAMENT contests

 

DFS Infielders to Consider

Alex Avila - C, PIT vs CHC (DK - $3,900, FD - $2,900)

Avila has been incredibly consistent this season and for reasons unknown to me, we get him at a bargain price despite the consistency and strong numbers. Avila handles right-handed pitching extremely well (.377 wOBA, .277 ISO dating back to 2016) and opposing starter Chad Kuhl has documented struggles with left-handed hitting.

 

Matt Carpenter - 1B, STL @ MIL (DK - $3,800, FD - $3,700)

This is a great value price for the man promising to donate 10,000 to Houston for Hurricane Harvey. Carpenter and his teammates have a dream matchup on paper. Matt Garza is back to the being the Garza we know, and over his last three starts, he's allowed a .447 wOBA against and a .475 ISO. That bodes really well for Carpenter and his strong splits against right-handed pitching - .359 wOBA and a .206 ISO.

 

Daniel Murphy - 2B, MIA vs WAS (DK - $4,600, FD - $3,100)

A fairly modest price on Draftkings, Murphy is, but a complete steal on FanDuel. Murphy finally woke up his bat tonight and after digging into the matchup, I see no reason why this can't continue tonight with Vance Worley on the mound. Worley has been surprisingly effective at times this year, but he's blown up in his last few starts and allowed a .388 wOBA against and a .216 ISO. With Murphy, you get strong platoon splits (.384 wOBA, .224 ISO) and great team context.

 

Luis Valbuena - 3B, OAK vs LAA (DK - $3,800, FD - $3,000)

Valbuena is a strong value play tonight with good home run upside. He came up short last night but has been smoking the ball. Unfortunately, he has been BABIP'd to death, but I like his chances tonight against Chris Smith, who has allowed a .224 ISO against this season. Valbuena has good team context, as the Angels have a strong run projection and get Mike Trout back in the lineup tonight. Valbuena has a 40% hard hit rate in the past two weeks and a .224 ISO split against right-handed pitching this season.

 

Trea Turner - SS, MIA vs WAS (DK - $4,800, FD - $3,500)

I already gushed about all the things that make this matchup attractive for Washington in my Murphy write-up, so I'll spare you that repetitive detail. Obviously, taking any hitter in their return from the DL comes with some risk as they could be a little rusty, but he checks off a lot of boxes for me today that other shortstops just don't - great splits, exploitable pitcher, lead-off position in the order with great team context, power upside and last, but not least, he's always a threat to snipe a bag or two. Against right-handed pitching, Turner has flourished in his young career, producing a .376 wOBA and .204 ISO split.

 

DFS Outfielders to Consider

Scott Schebler - OF, NYM vs CIN (DK - $3,700, FD - $3,000)

The Mets have have literally closed their doors on this season and I think we're going to see fireworks off the Reds' bats as a result. Chris Flexen is a pitcher that can very easily be taken advantage of (.388 wOBA allowed and a .214 ISO allowed this season) and Vegas agrees with me here, as they've attached one of the highest run projections of the night to this Cincinnati team. As for Schebler, he owns a .352 wOBA and .228 ISO split and in the past seven games, he's flashed a 45% hard hit rate.

 

Dexter Fowler - OF, STL @ MIL (DK - $4,300, FD - $3,800)

I love the matchup, park upgrade and top of the order of this St. Louis team, so I'm going to have plenty of exposure. Garza's struggles are well known, as is the fact that Fowler is a switch-hitter who brings much more pop to the table when he's hitting from the left side (.230 ISO compared to .170). He's also been showcasing strong Statcast data in the past two weeks, posting a 45% hard hit rate in that stretch.

 

Khris Davis - OF, LAA vs OAK (DK - $4,500, FD - $4,000)

Davis is my home run call of the night. His power knows no limits, so the park doesn't scare me off. The matchup is a good one, his Statcast data (hard hit rate, fly ball rate and average batted ball distance) are all off the charts, and he certainly favors the righty-righty matchup. Dating back to last season, his splits in these situations are amazing - .365 wOBA and a .304 ISO.

 

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to Miss Rest of Regular Season
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Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Hand Injury
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Out on Tuesday, Dealing With "Significant" Ankle Sprain
Aaron Jones Sr.

Vikings Place Aaron Jones Sr. on Injured Reserve With Hamstring Injury
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Diego Pavia Refutes Report of Seeking Seventh Collegiate Season
Christian Kirk

Expected to Return in Week 3
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Diego Pavia Seeking Another Year of Eligibility
Tarik Skubal

on Track to Start Thursday
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Kevorian Barnes Questionable Against SMU
Bo Bichette

has Short-Term Knee Injury, Could Return for Postseason
Tosan Evbuomwan

Joins Knicks
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Kai Jones Links Up With EuroLeague Team
Bismack Biyombo

Returns to Spurs
Bones Hyland

Rejoins Timberwolves
Kobe Bufkin

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Trey Yesavage

Sets Franchise Strikeout Record On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

To Receive MRI For Sprained Left Ankle On Tuesday
Willson Contreras

Exits Early Monday With Right-Biceps Tightness
Yordan Alvarez

Exits With Ankle Sprain
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Officially Active on Monday Night
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Logan O'Hoppe

Activated Off Seven-Day Injured List
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Bo Horvat

Fine for Training Camp
Kirby Dach

on Track to Be Ready for Opening Night
Jose Altuve

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J.J. McCarthy

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Dennis Schröder

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Giants to Promote Bryce Eldridge
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Progressing in Recovery
Jonathan Kuminga

Receives New Offer From Warriors
Kenneth Walker III

Bounces Back with Big Week 2 Performance
Bijan Robinson

Rushes for 143 Yards in Week 2
Justin Fields

Currently in Concussion Protocol
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Bengals Calling Around to Available Free-Agent Quarterbacks
Joe Burrow

to Undergo Surgery, Out at Least Three Months
Emil Heineman

Aiming to Take the "Next Step" This Season
Braeden Cootes

Good to Go for Camp
Ivan Fedotov

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Aaron Jones Sr.

Injures Hamstring During Sunday Night Football
Darren Waller

Not Expected to Play in Week 3
Garrett Crochet

Punches Out 12 in Win
Cole Ragans

to Return on Wednesday
Jameson Williams

Records Long Touchdown in Week 2, Still Limited to Downfield Role?
George Kirby

Strikes Out 14 in Win
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Jonathan Taylor

Tops 200 Yards From Scrimmage in Week 2 Win
Joe Burrow

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Still Not Close to a New Contract Agreement
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"Looking Slender, Spry and in Positive Spirits"
Ty Gibbs

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Despite Crashing Out at Bristol, Chase Elliott Advances to Round of 12
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Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Fails to Advance to Round of 12
Josh Berry

Finishes Last in All Three Round of 16 Races to Fail to Advance
Luis Arraez

Takes a Seat on Sunday With Head Injury
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia Activated, Starting on Sunday
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Ryan Williams Explodes In Return To Field
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Drew Allar Plays Mediocre Game In Blowout Win
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LaNorris Sellers Exits Game In Blowout Loss
CFB

DJ Lagway Tosses Five Interceptions In Loss
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Garrett Nussmeier Plays Game Manager in Saturday's Win
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CJ Carr Remains Poised In Narrow Loss
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John Mateer Leads Oklahoma In Rout
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Arch Manning Struggles Against UTEP
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Impresses In Win
Bryan Woo

Records Career-High 13 Strikeouts
Max Muncy

Exits Early on Saturday
CFB

Sam Leavitt Shines As Arizona State Rebounds From Week 2 Loss
Salvador Perez

Reaches 300 Home Runs, 1,000 RBI
Ivan Demidov

Turning Heads in Rookie Camp
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Calvin de Haan Signs With Swedish Team
Samuel Girard

Skates With Non-Contact Jersey
Mackenzie Blackwood

Dealing With Injury Ahead of Training Camp
Spencer Knight

Signs Three-Year Extension With Blackhawks
Chris Buescher

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Corey Perry

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Kyle Busch

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Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Too Risky to Consider Rostering at Bristol?
Michael McDowell

Could be A Solid Value Option For Bristol DFS Lineups
Chase Elliott

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NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Not as Strong at Bristol as Other Short Tracks
Alex Bowman

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Ross Chastain

has Never Led at Bristol but Has Been Pretty Consistent
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Josh Berry

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Austin Simmons Listed As Game-Time Decision Against Arkansas
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Antonio Williams Out Against Georgia Tech
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CJ Bailey Flashes Again in Win Over Wake Forest
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Jaxson Moi a Game-Time Decision for Tennessee on Saturday
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Dylan Edwards Slated to Return on Friday
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RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP