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Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks (8/29/17): MLB DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings

Last night was a weird one, folks, but that's what I love about this daily thing - you get to dust yourself off and start over. The best advice NFL quarterbacks give each other is the best advice I can give anyone trying to up their bank roll - learn from your mistakes, but most importantly, have a short memory (as it pertains to your daily performance). Tuesday always brings us a big slate and a wealth of different routes to attack it with. There are 15 games tonight, all under the lights, so we have a monster Main slate. Joy!

Before we dive into player analysis, let's see what we can learn from the lines Vegas has posted as of this morning. For starters, let's take a look at the biggest favorites. Moneyline favorites can be helpful in determining which cash game pitchers are best. As of now, we have three enormous favorites, all with lines greater than -200: the Red Sox, Twins and Cubs, which will be manned by pitchers Chris Sale, Ervin Santana and Jake Arrieta, respectively. As for run total projections, it starts with Rockies at 6, followed by the Reds (5.6), Angels (5.4), Twins (5.4), Red Sox (5.2), Tigers (5.1) and Orioles (5.1). That's a healthy number of teams above five, and there are quite a few lurking in the 4.5 - 4.9 run range. Keep an eye on late movement in respect to run lines, as it may uncover a new stack or strategy for you.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 8/29/17. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays.

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Let's get to it shall we?

 

DFS Starting Pitchers to Consider

Chris Sale - SP, BOS @ TOR (DK - $13,200, FD - $10,900)

His last start isn't going to scare me off here. We all know Sale - like Max Scherzer, Corey Kluber and the like - have that extra something that makes them tick. I see a big bounce back tonight against a team that he has dominated this season - 24 strikeouts over 15 innings with zero earned runs. His season stats are still uber-elite 0.9 WHIP, 0.9 HR/9 and a K/9 that is hovering above 12. His Statcast data is still very favorable - even including the blow-up in his recent appearance - as he's allowed just a 31% hard hit rate in that time frame, and batted ball luck tells us he's even been quite unlucky.

 

Also Consider: Ervin Santana - SP, CWS vs MIN (DK - $10,200, FD - $9,000) - CASH contests

Also Consider: Luke Weaver - SP, STL @ MIL (DK - $7,600, FD - $8,400) - TOURNAMENT contests

 

DFS Infielders to Consider

Alex Avila - C, PIT vs CHC (DK - $3,900, FD - $2,900)

Avila has been incredibly consistent this season and for reasons unknown to me, we get him at a bargain price despite the consistency and strong numbers. Avila handles right-handed pitching extremely well (.377 wOBA, .277 ISO dating back to 2016) and opposing starter Chad Kuhl has documented struggles with left-handed hitting.

 

Matt Carpenter - 1B, STL @ MIL (DK - $3,800, FD - $3,700)

This is a great value price for the man promising to donate 10,000 to Houston for Hurricane Harvey. Carpenter and his teammates have a dream matchup on paper. Matt Garza is back to the being the Garza we know, and over his last three starts, he's allowed a .447 wOBA against and a .475 ISO. That bodes really well for Carpenter and his strong splits against right-handed pitching - .359 wOBA and a .206 ISO.

 

Daniel Murphy - 2B, MIA vs WAS (DK - $4,600, FD - $3,100)

A fairly modest price on Draftkings, Murphy is, but a complete steal on FanDuel. Murphy finally woke up his bat tonight and after digging into the matchup, I see no reason why this can't continue tonight with Vance Worley on the mound. Worley has been surprisingly effective at times this year, but he's blown up in his last few starts and allowed a .388 wOBA against and a .216 ISO. With Murphy, you get strong platoon splits (.384 wOBA, .224 ISO) and great team context.

 

Luis Valbuena - 3B, OAK vs LAA (DK - $3,800, FD - $3,000)

Valbuena is a strong value play tonight with good home run upside. He came up short last night but has been smoking the ball. Unfortunately, he has been BABIP'd to death, but I like his chances tonight against Chris Smith, who has allowed a .224 ISO against this season. Valbuena has good team context, as the Angels have a strong run projection and get Mike Trout back in the lineup tonight. Valbuena has a 40% hard hit rate in the past two weeks and a .224 ISO split against right-handed pitching this season.

 

Trea Turner - SS, MIA vs WAS (DK - $4,800, FD - $3,500)

I already gushed about all the things that make this matchup attractive for Washington in my Murphy write-up, so I'll spare you that repetitive detail. Obviously, taking any hitter in their return from the DL comes with some risk as they could be a little rusty, but he checks off a lot of boxes for me today that other shortstops just don't - great splits, exploitable pitcher, lead-off position in the order with great team context, power upside and last, but not least, he's always a threat to snipe a bag or two. Against right-handed pitching, Turner has flourished in his young career, producing a .376 wOBA and .204 ISO split.

 

DFS Outfielders to Consider

Scott Schebler - OF, NYM vs CIN (DK - $3,700, FD - $3,000)

The Mets have have literally closed their doors on this season and I think we're going to see fireworks off the Reds' bats as a result. Chris Flexen is a pitcher that can very easily be taken advantage of (.388 wOBA allowed and a .214 ISO allowed this season) and Vegas agrees with me here, as they've attached one of the highest run projections of the night to this Cincinnati team. As for Schebler, he owns a .352 wOBA and .228 ISO split and in the past seven games, he's flashed a 45% hard hit rate.

 

Dexter Fowler - OF, STL @ MIL (DK - $4,300, FD - $3,800)

I love the matchup, park upgrade and top of the order of this St. Louis team, so I'm going to have plenty of exposure. Garza's struggles are well known, as is the fact that Fowler is a switch-hitter who brings much more pop to the table when he's hitting from the left side (.230 ISO compared to .170). He's also been showcasing strong Statcast data in the past two weeks, posting a 45% hard hit rate in that stretch.

 

Khris Davis - OF, LAA vs OAK (DK - $4,500, FD - $4,000)

Davis is my home run call of the night. His power knows no limits, so the park doesn't scare me off. The matchup is a good one, his Statcast data (hard hit rate, fly ball rate and average batted ball distance) are all off the charts, and he certainly favors the righty-righty matchup. Dating back to last season, his splits in these situations are amazing - .365 wOBA and a .304 ISO.

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Caris LeVert

Upgraded to Available Tuesday
Ron Holland II

Remains Out Against Kings
Robert Williams III

Sits Out Tuesday's Game
Jonathan Isaac

Active Tuesday Night
Javon Small

Returns to Grizzlies Lineup Tuesday
Tristan da Silva

Remains Sidelined Against Portland
Goga Bitadze

Out Against Portland
Vince Williams Jr.

Misses Third Consecutive Game
Cedric Coward

Unavailable on Tuesday Night
Aaron Wiggins

Will Play Against Spurs
Ryan O'Hearn

Pirates Agree on Two-Year Deal
Grayson Allen

Absent for Third Consecutive Game
Zach LaVine

to Miss at Least One More Week
Victor Wembanyama

Ready to Take on Thunder
Dwight Powell

Misses Tuesday's Game Due to Illness
Jaden Hardy

Starting on Tuesday Night
DK Metcalf

has Two-Game Suspension Upheld
Klay Thompson

Sits Out Tuesday's Action
Philip Rivers

to Remain the Starter in Week 17
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Active Against Mavericks
Peyton Watson

Ready to Face Mavericks
Jaden McDaniels

Out on Tuesday Evening
Jordan Poole

Herbert Jones Out Tuesday
Max Christie

Still Out on Tuesday Night
George Kittle

Dealing With Mid-to-Low Ankle Sprain
Viktor Arvidsson

a Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Ryan Leonard

Available Tuesday
Tom Wilson

in Danger of Missing First Game of the Season
Phillip Danault

Makes Second Canadiens Debut Tuesday
Collin Graf

Available Against Golden Knights
Jack Eichel

Misses Fourth Straight Game
Vince Dunn

Won't Play Tuesday
Deshaun Watson

Will Not be Activated Off PUP List, 2025 Season is Over
J.J. McCarthy

Ruled Out for Week 17
Rome Odunze

Expected to Return This Season
Christian McCaffrey

Another Monster Game for Christian McCaffrey in Week 16
Brock Purdy

Throws for Five Touchdowns in Week 16
TreVeyon Henderson

in Concussion Protocol, Week 17 Status Unclear
George Kittle

Week 17 Availability in Question?
CFB

Jeff Brohm, Eli Drinkwitz "Names of Interest" for Michigan Head Coach
Timothy Liljegren

to Miss Second Straight Game Tuesday
Will Smith

Out Week-to-Week
Jaccob Slavin

Placed on Injured Reserve, Out Week-to-Week
Seth Jarvis

Considered Week-to-Week
Darren Raddysh

Totals Three Points in Monday's Win
Mason Marchment

Scores Twice Monday
Vince Dunn

Injured in Monday's Win
Rashee Rice

Still in Concussion Protocol, Estimated as Non-Participant on Monday
J.J. McCarthy

Listed as DNP on Monday Ahead of Week 17
Ilya Sorokin

to Miss Tuesday's Game
DK Metcalf

Suspended for Two Games Following Confrontation with Fan
Christian Dvorak

Returns to Flyers Lineup
Elias Pettersson

Still Out Monday
Brandon Montour

to Miss Four Weeks After Hand Surgery
Miles Wood

Available Against Kings
Zach Werenski

Ruled Out Monday
Leo Carlsson

Won't Play Monday
CFB

Byrum Brown Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Bobby Petrino Joining Bill Belichick as North Carolina's Offensive Coordinator
TreVeyon Henderson

Exits Week 16 Victory with Head Injury
Lamar Jackson

Questionable to Return in Week 16 with Back Injury
Willson Contreras

Shipped to the Red Sox
Quinshon Judkins

Done for the Season with Broken Leg
Nick Chubb

Officially Active Against Raiders in Week 16
Gardner Minshew

Won't Return in Week 16
Woody Marks

Officially Inactive for Week 16
Quinshon Judkins

Carted Off in Week 16, Ruled Out with Apparent Leg Injury
Tua Tagovailoa

Dolphins Hope to Trade Tua Tagovailoa in the Offseason
Brandon Lowe

Pirates Acquire Brandon Lowe in Three-Team Trade
Shane Baz

Orioles Acquire Shane Baz From the Rays
CFB

Darian Mensah Returning to Duke Next Season
CFB

Josh Hoover Linked to Indiana in Transfer Portal
CFB

Arch Manning Agrees to Reduced Compensation for 2026 Season
Michael King

Padres Bring Michael King Back on Three-Year Deal
Logan Webb

Will Pitch for Team USA in World Baseball Classic
Tarik Skubal

Joins Team USA for World Baseball Classic
CFB

Will Muschamp Becoming Next Texas Defensive Coordinator
CFB

Beau Pribula Set to Enter Transfer Portal

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP