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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday, May 6th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Orioles vs. Braves
The Orioles take on the Braves on Saturday, May 6th 2023 at Truist Park, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles (22-10) vs. Atlanta Braves (22-11)
- Date: Saturday, May 6th 2023
- Time: 7:15 ET
- Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Orioles vs. Braves
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Baltimore Orioles - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Baltimore Orioles enter play ranked 2nd in the AL East, with an overall record of 22-10. So far, Baltimore has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 13-6.
Baltimore has been favored 59.4% of their games, resulting in an above .500 record against the runline at 19-13. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 19-12.
Kyle Bradish gets the start for the Orioles with a below .500 record at 1-1. Compared to other starting pitchers, Kyle Bradish has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 6.14. His batting average allowed of .328 is high compared to other pitchers. So far, Bradish has given up two home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .397. Bradish's WHIP of 1.84 comes along with a total of seven walks allowed.
Baltimore comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 5.6 runs per game, good for 5th in the MLB. Heading into play, the Orioles are the 7th-ranked unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .261. So far, Baltimore's lineup has also been able to hit for power, with a total of 41 home runs, which ranks 9th. Baltimore's strong OBP of .342 is 4th best in the league.
Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Atlanta Braves host the Baltimore Orioles, they have a record of 22-11, placing them 1st in the NL East. Atlanta has had their problems at home, going just 7-8 at Truist Park.
Atlanta has been favored 84.8% of their games, resulting in an above .500 record against the runline at 17-16. The team has an over/under record of 20-12, with an average betting line of 9.
Taking the mound for Atlanta is Spencer Strider. Heading into play, he has a mark of 4-0. Spencer Strider heads into action with an ERA of just 2.57. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .154 against him. So far, Strider has given up two home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .238. Strider has a WHIP of .94, with 14 walks allowed.
On the season, Atlanta boasts the 5th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per game. The Braves have been able to drive in runs at an above average rate as their team batting average of .264 ranks 5th in the league. So far, Atlanta's lineup has also been able to hit for power, with a total of 55 home runs, which ranks 2nd. To date, Atlanta has the MLB's 2nd best OBP at .344.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Orioles vs. Braves
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and the Orioles, the Braves are the heavy favorite at -239 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 70.5%. Yet, our model predict Kyle Bradish keeping the Orioles in the game, making the best bet to take the Orioles to cover +1.5.
Recommended Betting Pick: Orioles +1.5
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