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Although we have had some bumps along the way this MLB season, the show continues to move forward for the 2020 season. Of course, along with MLB 2020 season, comes MLB Monkey Knife Fight Prop Picks. Be sure to check back here regularly to see which picks I am targeting on any given day.
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As it pertains to MLB on MKF, I like to start with pitcher strikeout totals and give a breakdown of my rationale on those first. Next, I will offer up some options to pair with the pitcher totals in case you want to dive into some 3/3, 4/4, or 5/5 type of contests. Friday, September 11th presents a big slate of games to choose from. We can look to attack the Indians at Twins and Tigers at White Sox.
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Indians @ Twins: More or Less Contest
More or Less Contest - Shane Bieber more than 9.5 strikeouts and Kenta Maeda more than 5.5 strikeouts
It may seem a little wild to go with the more than here with Bieber, but he has reached double-digit strikeouts in six of his nine starts and he did it vs. the Twins back on 7/30 when he struck out 13. The Twins have been struggling lately and they are striking out at a rate of 24.2% vs. right-handers over the previous two weeks, which ranks ninth-worst in baseball. Bieber has shown over and over that he is nearly untouchable in 2020 and that is why I have to take the more than here.
Maeda has been solid in 2020 and has gone over this total in each of his last four starts, including a start vs. these Indians when he struck out seven on 8/24. The Indians have been struggling a bit lately vs. right-handers as they are striking out at a rate of 22.9%, which ranks them 16th-worst in the league. They also just whiffed a total of eight times vs. Brady Singer last night.
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More or Less Contest: Cesar Hernandez less than 1.5 hits/walks
Cesar Hernandez less than 1.5 hits/walks: While Hernandez has been one of the more consistent hitters on the Indians, he has been cold over the previous week as noted by his .207/.207/.310 slash line with zero walks. He has not reached this prop in his previous five games and has missed it in six of his last eight. He will be facing a formidable opponent in Maeda and a strong pen as well.
Tigers @ White Sox: More or Less Contest
More or Less Contest - Lucas Giolito more than 8.5 strikeouts and Casey Mize less than 5.5 strikeouts
Giolito has been a stud in 2020 and I expect more of the same out of him tonight. He has struck out at least nine in five of his nine starts in 2020, including three of his last four. The last time he faced Detroit on 8/20, he struck out 13. The Tigers have also been awful vs. right-handers over the previous two weeks as they are posting a K rate of 26.4%, which ranks fourth-worst in baseball.
Casey Mize has struggled a bit to begin his career and I expect him to continue his struggles vs. the White Sox tonight. Mize has posted a 6.75 ERA on the season, has walked two batters in each of his previous three starts, and has not managed to make it past four IP in each of those starts. While the White Sox are striking out at a clip of 25.1% (sixth-worst), they are walking at a rate of 7.8% and posting a wRC+ mark of 123. In the end, I think this White Sox offense is too much for Mize and prevents him from getting to the six K total.
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More or Less Contest: Tim Anderson more than 1.5 Total Bases
Tim Anderson more than 1.5 total bases: Tim Anderson has been on fire the previous week as he is slashing .364/.400/.455. While he has mashed left-handers in 2020, he has done well vs. right-handers as well. This is noted by his.287 BA with one HR and four doubles. He has gone over this total in five of his previous eight games and should be able to find more success vs. Mize and a Tigers pen that ranks 26th in ERA.
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