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Ryan Pepiot 2026 Fantasy Baseball Outlook: Mid-Rotation Arm Primed for Positive Regression
Ryan Pepiot was solid in 2025, pitching to an 11-12 record with a 3.86 ERA, 3.92 xERA, and 4.07 xFIP over 167 ⅔ innings pitched. His 9 BB% was a little too high for his 24.6 K%, but positive regression should be in store considering his pitch mix. Pepiot's fastball averaged 95.2 mph with a solid spin rate of 2,413 rotations per minute, generating plenty of soft pop-ups (47.9 FB%, 18.8 IFFB%) to support his .258 BABIP (.250 career). The heater also boasted a 10.4 SwStr% and 58.7 Zone%. His change generated a 15.4 SwStr% with decent 46.4 Zone% and 35.1 percent chase rates. His slider was used like a second fastball with an 11.4 SwStr%, 53.3 Zone%, and 31 percent chase rate, while his cutter was a third fastball with an 11.6 SwStr% and 59.8 Zone%. Pepiot is too much of a strike thrower to repeat that BB%, giving him WHIP upside to go with otherwise mid-rotation ratios. He's a strong value at his 149.25 ADP.
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