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Free NBA betting picks, odds, predictions for the Heat vs. Bucks on 4/24/2023. Our best bets and top NBA picks for moneylines, over/unders and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Monday, April 24th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Bucks @ Heat
The Bucks take on the Heat on Monday, April 24th at Kaseya Center, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Milwaukee Bucks (58-24) vs. Miami Heat (44-38)
- Date: Monday, April 24th
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Bucks @ Heat
- Caesars Sportsbook NBA Odds
- BetMGM Sportsbook NBA Odds
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Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 30% off using code WIN. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!Bucks & Heat Key Injuries
Bucks
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (Questionable) Back
- Wesley Matthews (Out) Calf
Heat
- Jimmy Butler (Questionable) Glute
- Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
- Bam Adebayo (Probable) Hamstring
- Tyler Herro (Out) Hand
- Nikola Jovic (Out) Back
Milwaukee Bucks - NBA Betting Analysis
In Milwaukee's most recent game, Khris Middleton led the team in scoring with 23 points, but the Bucks fell to the Heat by a score of 121-99 to the Heat. Going into the game, Milwaukee was 2.5 point favorites, adding an ATS loss to their resume.
Now, the Bucks' overall record sits at 58-24, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. The team's current record at home is 32-9 and 26-15 on the road. This season, Milwaukee's ATS record sits at 43-36.
This season, the Bucks' offense has been excellent, ranking 7th in the NBA at 116.9 points per game. Milwaukee has averaged 114 points per contest over their last five games. A key to the team's offensive success is their ability to push the pace while not sacrificing efficiency. This year, the Bucks are 9th in possessions per game, while also hitting 36.8% of their three-point field goal attempts. Currently, Milwaukee's overall effective field goal percentage of 55.5% is 2nd in the NBA.
Milwaukee's defense is currently ranked 14th in the league at 112.1 points allowed per game. Milwaukee is hovering around the league average despite forcing turnovers at a below average rate at 13.9 per game. Also, the unit has struggled to clean up the defensive glass, ranking 19th in defensive rebounds per game. So far, opponents have hit 45.7% of their field goal attempts and 35.7% of their looks from deep.
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
The Heat enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 121-99 win over the Bucks. Jimmy Butler and his 30 led the way for the Heat. Miami was the 2.5 point underdog heading into the game, giving them an ATS win.
With the win, the team has moved to 44-38, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have gone 27-14 at home and 17-24 on the road. Miami's record against the spread is below .500 at 34-51.
With a scoring average of 109.5 points per game, the Heat rank 17th among the league's offenses. In their last five games have picked up their production, with an average of 116 points scored per contest. Miami's three-point shooting numbers have been impressive this year, ranking 1st in the NBA with a shooting percentage of 34.4%. However, their overall numbers have suffered from an average pace of 96.2 possessions per game, which is just 24th. Their current field goal percentage of 46.0% is 4th in the league.
Miami's defense will take the court ranked 14th in the league at 112.1 points per game. Despite their struggles on the defensive glass, ranking 34.2 in defensive rebounds per contest, and generating turnovers at a below-average rate of 12.8 per game, the unit has managed to maintain league average numbers. So far, opponents have shot 45.7% from the field and 35.7% from beyond the arc.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Bucks vs. Heat
The Heat currently have the leg up in this year's season series against the Bucks. Across seven games, the Heat have a record of 4-3. The previous time these two teams faced off resulted in both a straight up and ATS win for the Heat. Going into the game, Miami was the 2.5 point underdog. The over/under line for this matchup was set at 215.5 points.
In the Bucks' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 against the spread. In their last three road contests, they are 0-3 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 8-2 with an average of 240 points per contest.
Across Miami's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 3-2 straight-up. As the underdog, the Heat are 2-1 straight up on an average scoring differential of 6 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 2-1. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 230 points per game and an over/under mark of 8-2.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: MIA +5.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 217.5
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