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Free NBA betting picks, odds, predictions for the Heat vs. Bucks on 4/22/2023. Our best bets and top NBA picks for moneylines, over/unders and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Saturday, April 22nd.
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Today's Betting Overview - Bucks @ Heat
The Bucks take on the Heat on Saturday, April 22nd at Kaseya Center, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Milwaukee Bucks (58-24) vs. Miami Heat (44-38)
- Date: Saturday, April 22nd
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Bucks @ Heat
- Caesars Sportsbook NBA Odds
- BetMGM Sportsbook NBA Odds
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- FanDuel Sportsbook NBA Odds
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Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!Bucks & Heat Key Injuries
Bucks
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (Questionable) Back
- Wesley Matthews (Out) Calf
Heat
- Kyle Lowry (Questionable) Knee
- Tyler Herro (Out) Hand
- Nikola Jovic (Out) Back
Milwaukee Bucks - NBA Betting Analysis
The Bucks enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 138-122 win over the Heat. Brook Lopez and his 25 led the way for the Bucks. Not only did Milwaukee win the game, but they also covered the spread as 5.5-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 58-24, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have gone 32-9 at home and 26-15 on the road. This season, Milwaukee's ATS record sits at 43-35.
This season, the Bucks' offense has been excellent, ranking 1st in the NBA at 116.9 points per game. Milwaukee has averaged 115 points per contest over their last five games. A key to the team's offensive success is their ability to push the pace while not sacrificing efficiency. This year, the Bucks are 1st in possessions per game, while also hitting 36.8% of their three-point field goal attempts. Currently, Milwaukee's overall effective field goal percentage of 55.5% is 1st in the NBA.
Milwaukee's defense is currently ranked 14th in the league at 112.1 points allowed per game. Milwaukee is hovering around the league average despite forcing turnovers at a below average rate at 13.9 per game. Also, the unit has struggled to clean up the defensive glass, ranking 20th in defensive rebounds per game. So far, opponents have hit 45.7% of their field goal attempts and 35.7% of their looks from deep.
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
In Miami's most recent game, Jimmy Butler led the team in scoring with 25 points, but the Heat fell to the Bucks by a score of 138-122 to the Bucks. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Miami as the 5.5 point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Heat's overall record sits at 44-38, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. The team's current record at home is 27-14 and 17-24 on the road. Miami's record against the spread is below .500 at 33-51.
Despite being ranked 21st in the NBA with an average of 109.5 points per game, the Heat have improved their performance lately. In their last five games, they have scored an average of 116 points per contest. This season, the Heat are ranked 20th in terms of pace with an average of 96.2 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are one of the more efficient teams in the league (7th) with a percentage of 36.8%. Their overall field goal percentage of 47.3% places them 2nd in the NBA.
Miami's defense will take the court ranked 14th in the league at 112.1 points per game. Despite their struggles on the defensive glass, ranking 34.2 in defensive rebounds per contest, and generating turnovers at a below-average rate of 12.8 per game, the unit has managed to maintain league average numbers. So far, opponents have shot 45.7% from the field and 35.7% from beyond the arc.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Bucks vs. Heat
Heading into the 6th meeting of the season between the Heat and Bucks, each team has three wins and will be looking to get the leg in the head-to-head series. In the most recent game between the two teams, the Bucks won by a score of 138-122, along with covering the spread as 5.5 point favorites. The over/under line going into the game was 216.5 points which the teams exceeded.
In the Bucks' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight up record of 4-1 while going 3-2 against the spread. In their last three road contests, they are 0-2-1 ATS and 2-1 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 8-2 with an average of 243 points per contest.
Across Miami's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 3-2 straight-up. As the underdog, the Heat are 2-1 straight up on an average scoring differential of 9 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 2-1. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 227 points per game and an over/under mark of 7-3.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: MIL -5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 220.5
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