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Free NBA betting picks, odds, predictions for the Heat vs. Hawks on 4/11/2023. Our best bets and top NBA picks for moneylines, over/unders and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, April 11th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Hawks @ Heat
The Hawks take on the Heat on Tuesday, April 11th at Kaseya Center, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Hawks (41-41) vs. Miami Heat (44-38)
- Date: Tuesday, April 11th
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Hawks @ Heat
- Caesars Sportsbook NBA Odds
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Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 30% off using code WIN. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!Hawks & Heat Key Injuries
Hawks
- NONE
Heat
- Kyle Lowry (Questionable) Knee
- Max Strus (Probable) Finger
- Nikola Jovic (Out) Back
Atlanta Hawks - NBA Betting Analysis
The Hawks enter today's game having lost two straight, including a 120-114 loss to the Celtics. Garrison Mathews led the team in scoring with 19 points on 41.7% shooting. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Atlanta as the 4.5-point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Hawks' overall record sits at 41-41, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. The team's current record at home is 24-17 and 17-24 on the road. The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in two straight games and have an overall ATS record of 36-45.
Through 82 games, the Hawks have put together one of the top-scoring offenses (3rd) at 118.4 points per game. Not only that, but they enter today's game averaging 126 points per game over their last five games. Atlanta has used pace to their advantage this season, averaging 101.0 possessions per game, which is the 7th most in the league. This up-tempo style has made up for a three-point field goal percentage of 35.2% (21st). In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Hawks are 20th in the NBA in attempts while connecting at a rate of 81.8%.
Some key factors behind the Hawks' struggles this year is their inconsistent defensive rebounding and inability to force turnovers. So far, they are 21st in defensive rebounds per game and 27th in forced turnovers at 27th per game. Overall, Atlanta is allowing 112.4 points per game, placing them 26th in the NBA. Opposing teams have hit 36.4% of their three-point field goal attempts against the Hawks and 47.2 of their shots overall.
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
The Heat enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 123-110 win over the Magic. Udonis Haslem and his 24 led the way for the Heat. Not only did Miami win the game, but they also covered the spread as 5.0-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 44-38, placing them 7th in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have gone 27-14 at home and 17-24 on the road. Miami's record against the spread is below .500 at 31-49.
Despite being ranked 30th in the NBA with an average of 109.5 points per game, the Heat have improved their performance lately. In their last five games, they have scored an average of 121 points per contest. Some key reasons behind the Heat's offensive struggles are their poor shooting numbers from outside. Currently, they rank 10th in attempts and 27th in percentage at 34.4%. The team's slow pace of play is also impacting their scoring numbers, as they are 96.2 in possessions per game. On average, Miami gets to the line 23.0 times per game (19th) and has hit 83.1% of these attempts.
On the defensive end of the floor, the Heat have allowed opponents to shoot 47.2% from the field and are allowing 112.4 points per game (10th). From beyond the arc, teams are shooting 36.4%. Throughout the season, Miami's defensive unit has struggled to force turnovers, averaging just 12.8 per contest, placing them 10th in the league. In addition, they have had problems on the defensive glass, entering today's game 21st in defensive rebounds per contest.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Hawks vs. Heat
The Heat currently have the leg up in this year's season series against the Hawks. Across four games, the Heat have a record of 3-1. Looking back to the last game between the teams, they combined for 204 points which was below the over/under line of 226.0. The Hawks went into the game as the 4.0-point favorites but lost the game straight-up by a score of 106-98, giving the Heat both a straight-up and ATS win.
In the Hawks' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 6-3-1 with an average of 245 points per contest.
Across Miami's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight-up. As the favorite, the Heat are 2-1 straight up on an average scoring differential of 8 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-2. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 220 points per game and an over/under mark of 7-3.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: MIA -5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 226.5
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