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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Minnesota Twins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, May 11th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Padres vs. Twins
The Padres take on the Twins on Thursday, May 11th 2023 at Target Field, Minneapolis. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: San Diego Padres (19-18) vs. Minnesota Twins (20-17)
- Date: Thursday, May 11th 2023
- Time: 1:10 ET
- Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Padres vs. Twins
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San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The San Diego Padres enter play ranked 3rd in the NL West with an overall record of 19-18. So far, San Diego has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 9-7.
San Diego has been favored 62.2% of their games, resulting in an above .500 record against the runline at 19-18. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 13-22.
Padres starter Yu Darvish comes into the game with a record of just 2-2. Through six appearances, Yu Darvish has an ERA of 3.19. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .228. Yu Darvish has given up three home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .295. Darvish has a WHIP of 1.12, with 13 walks allowed.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for San Diego's offense, as they are the 24th-ranked scoring team at 4.2. Through 37 games, the Padres have struggled to string together hits, ranking 27th in team batting average (.231). Overall, the team has hit 41 home runs, placing them 16th. San Diego's OBP of .321 places them 15th in the league.
Minnesota Twins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Minnesota Twins host the San Diego Padres, they have a record of 20-17, placing them 1st in the AL Central. So far, Minnesota has been tough at Target Field, putting together a mark of 11-7.
Having been favored in 70.3% of their games, Minnesota has an above .500 record against the runline at 20-17. The team has an over/under record of 14-19, with an average betting line of 8.
Taking the mound for Minnesota is Bailey Ober. Heading into play, he has a mark of 2-0. Bailey Ober heads into action with an ERA of just .98. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .161. When looking at how opposing batters are faring in the power department, Bailey Ober has a WOBA allowed of .211 and has yet to be tagged for a home run. Ober's WHIP of .87 comes along with a total of six walks allowed.
Minnesota's offense enters play with the 22nd-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.2 runs per game. So far, the Twins have combined for a team batting average of .220, placing them 30th in the league. Despite having a low batting average, they are one of the best power hitting lineups in the league, at 46 home runs (9th). Minnesota's OBP of .300 places them .300 in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Padres vs. Twins
Heading into today's matchup between San Diego and Minnesota, the Padres are the betting favorite at -119 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 54.34%. The MLB predictive model shows San Diego picking up the win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Padres on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Padres -1.5
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