Thunder Dan's NFL Betting Picks for Week 8: Player Props Bets

Dan Palyo's top NFL betting picks and best bets for Week 8 of the 2022 season. His favorite NFL betting picks for NFL player props bets.

Week 8 is here and it's time to get those player props in and the rest of your bets before the games kick off tomorrow!

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In this article, I'll be providing my favorite NFL betting picks for week 8 of the 2022 NFL season. The odds on these bets vary from book to book and are constantly changing. I primarily use FanDuel and DraftKings sportsbooks, but I would strongly encourage you to shop for the best odds at whatever books you use daily. I would also advise checking back later in the week as I may add bets depending on odds changing or specific props becoming available after I first post.

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Thunder Dan's Best Bets: 2022 NFL Season

• Last Week's Props: 7-4
• Season-to-Date Props: 27-32

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NFL Betting Picks: Player Props for Week 8

PASSING/RUSHING/RECEIVING YARDS

Kirk Cousins OVER 1.5 passing TDs (-150 DK)

Cousins has the second-most passing attempts inside the ten-yard line behind Mahomes. The Vikings aren’t afraid to throw in the red zone and they’re projected for the third-most points on the main slate just behind Miami and Philadelphia.

Derrick Henry OVER 99.5 rushing yards (-120 DK)

The only explanation for this low of a number is that Ryan Tannehill is questionable and if we get Malik Willis at QB then he’s going to steal some rushing upside from Henry and perhaps downgrade the offense enough to where they might struggle at times to keep drives going. Otherwise, it’s a smash play.

Kenneth Walker III OVER 81.5 rushing yards (-125 DK)

Walker has been explosive this year and has gone over 88 yards in three straight, including his huge 167-yard game last week. The Giants are giving up big chunks on the ground and Seattle is likely to feed their stud athlete often in this one.

Kenneth Walker III OVER 17.5 longest rush (-115 DK)

Walker has TD runs of 69, 34, and 74 yards in his last three games and has one longer than 18 in four of his last five games. The Giants are giving up some of the most yards per carry to opposing backs.

D’Onta Foreman OVER 81.5 rushing + receiving yards (-120 DK)

Foreman is likely going to get the vast majority of touches in the backfield with Hubbard out and he’s both a solid runner and receiver. This number feels low for this spot against Atlanta.

Justin Jefferson OVER 89.5 receiving yards (-125 DK)

Jefferson has three straight 100-yard games and another great matchup this week. No reason to think he doesn’t keep it rolling with how big of a part of the weekly gameplan he is for Minnesota.

Anytime Touchdowns

Justin Jefferson (-130 DK)

Already bet the Cousins passing TD, why not pair it up with the Jefferson anytime TD? Jefferson commands 28% of the red zone targets and has a great shot at scoring this week.

Josh Jacobs (-130 DK)

Pretty much the same logic as last week, Jacobs just is getting way too much volume in the red zone to think he doesn’t find paydirt again and we are expecting Vegas to score 3-4 touchdowns this week at least.

Receptions

D.J Moore over 5.5 (+100 DK)

Moore is a chalky DFS play this week after he caught 7 balls on 10 targets last week. He certainly hasn’t been consistent at all this season but hopefully, P.J. Walker can continue to bring out the best in him and Atlanta’s secondary is racked with injuries right now.

Tyreek Hill over 6.5 (-150 DK)

The Dolphins' top receiver is leading the league in catches this year and has 7+ in every game but one this year. We have to pay some juice here, but if you want a safe prop for bigger bets or one to include in your parlays, this feels like a slam dunk based on how often Hill is targeted by Tua and schemed the ball in Miami’s passing attack.

DeVonta Smith o4.5 (+110 DK)

This number just seems really low to me, even if we do think that the Eagles are playing from in front and end up running the football. A.J. Brown has the same prop of 4.5 catches but at -160, but I would rather go after the better odds here since Smith has every bit as involved as Brown since Week 3. Pittsburgh is usually the most vulnerable in the slot, too, where we should see Smith operate at least for part of his snaps.

I hope you find my picks helpful and profitable! Thanks for checking out my picks and content here at RotoBaller!

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