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Dave's Super Bowl LX player props picks and anytime touchdown wagers. Get his best Super Bowl LX NFL player prop bets with odds, expert analysis, and predictions.
We have reached the pinnacle of the NFL season as Super Bowl LX has arrived. The New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks will square off Sunday night, and the winner will be crowned the NFL champion. The Super Bowl is also notorious for the vast number of prop bets and the ungodly amount of money wagered on the event. That means there are plenty of opportunities available for people to throw some money around on the big game.
If you've been following this column from the start of the year, then you're aware that we've had an incredible season in this space. We are currently up +20.21 units entering the Super Bowl and have hit on several long-shot plays ranging from 13-1 to 80-1. It's been a fun season, but I have to stress that years like this don't come around too often. Betting player props is a real grind. You can go weeks just treading water, or even be in the red, before you get hot and finish in the black. Years like this aren't always the norm, so I am very happy that I was able to accomplish these results and share some of them with you in the process. So if you've been following along all year, thank you for reading, and hopefully, you won some cash along the way. Now that the sentimental stuff is out of the way, let's turn our attention back to business.
Make sure you're following RotoBaller on X and download the RotoBaller app for all your fantasy football and betting needs. Here are some of my favorite player props for this weekend's slate of games.
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Super Bowl LX Passing Prop Bets
Drake Maye OVER 33.5 Yards Longest Completion (-115) Bet365 Sportsbook
Risk .46 Units to Win .4 Units
This is a tough matchup for Maye as Seattle ranks first in FTN Fantasy's defensive passing DVOA and second in PFF's pass coverage grade. However, don't expect that to deter Maye in this game. He has been willing to attack defenses all season, and the presence of wide receiver Kayshon Boutte on the outside has helped him along the way.
Maye was also PFF's third-highest-rated passer on deep throws, so don't expect offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels to suddenly shy away from this aspect of Maye's game. For whatever it's worth, I believe New England is more live in this game than many pundits/analysts believe, and Maye is a large reason why.
I like New England's QB1 to take a few downfield shots and believe he'll connect on one that eclipses this line.
Sam Darnold OVER .5 Interceptions (-128) FanDuel Sportsbook
Risk .64 Units to Win .5 Units
Darnold played the game of his life against the Rams two weeks ago.
Sam Darnold's 13-yard TD pass to Cooper Kupp was Darnold's third touchdown of the game under pressure, a new career high.
In Weeks 11 & 16 against the Rams, Darnold threw zero touchdowns and three interceptions under pressure.#LARvsSEA | #Seahawkspic.twitter.com/kK1FTTuAae
— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 26, 2026
It was great watching him exorcise his Jets demons and atone for his failures in the 2024 season at the same time. However, this week could be much different.
The Patriots rank first in PFF pass coverage grade and also have a very good run defense. That could force Darnold to make more plays, and if New England's pass rush can pressure him, he is liable to make a few bad decisions.
I do like Seattle to win this game, but I am expecting Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel to cook up a defensive scheme that will give Darnold some fits. That would mean there is a possibility we get a bad Darnold game.
Regardless, this is a potential come-down-to-earth spot for Darnold following his big NFC title game performance, and I think we see him toss one pass in the Patriots' direction.
Super Bowl LX Rushing Prop Bets
Kenneth Walker III UNDER 73.5 Rushing Yards (-105) NOVIG
Risk 1.05 Units to Win 1 Unit
We cut it close two weeks ago when we took the under on Walker's combo line. As expected, he stalled out as a rusher, but his receiving work made it a sweat. I won't be fooling around with his combo line this week, as Walker's proved he can be highly effective as a pass-catcher.
His rushing prop is another story, though, as this presents an incredibly difficult matchup for Seattle's RB1. The Patriots' full-season rushing defense numbers will not blow you away, but they do not tell the full story. Milton Williams and Robert Spillane have both returned to the Patriots' lineup during the playoffs after missing time during the regular season.
There's some uncertainty regarding whether Spillane will play, but even if he doesn't suit up, I believe Williams' presence alone is a major deterrent for Seattle's ground attack. That means Walker carries major bust potential in this game. Even though Walker is a highly talented player, his habit of seeking out big plays can sometimes get him into trouble. This is a spot where that could really hurt him.
This line initially opened in the low 80s, but has been bet heavily to the under. I got this number at 78.5, but I still think there's meat on the bone. Play it down to 70.5 for a full unit.
TreVeyon Henderson OVER 17.5 Rushing Yards (-110) FanDuel Sportsbook
Risk .55 Units to Win .5 Units
This is an extremely low line for Henderson. Even though he barely touched the ball in the AFC Championship Game, he could see an expanded role here. With the Seahawks boasting a strong rushing defense, Henderson's speed could really come in handy. We may even see New England use Henderson to try to stretch Seattle's run defense, and that could make him live to pop off a couple of explosive plays.
We don't need much from Henderson to eclipse this line, so I will buy the dip and take a shot on him to surpass this small number.
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Super Bowl LX Receiving Prop Bets
Hunter Henry OVER 38.5 Receiving Yards (-109) NOVIG
Risk .55 Units to Win .5 Units
Seattle's defense is arguably the best in the NFL, but it's had issues guarding tight ends. The Seahawks ranked middle of the pack in terms of DVOA against tight ends, but also allowed the fifth-most receptions and sixth-most receiving yards to tight ends this year.
Henry has had some big games over the course of the season, and this is a spot where he could produce another. I like him to eclipse this total as he should be a featured part of the Patriots offense.
Kayshon Boutte OVER 17.5 Yards Longest Reception (-115) Bet365 Sportsbook
Risk 1.15 Units to Win 1 Unit
Boutte has been New England's primary downfield threat operating as a vertical X receiver. He has cleared this number in 10 of his 17 games played this year. Even though Seattle's pass defense is stout, I don't anticipate Patriots offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels shying away from dialing up some plays for Boutte.
I also expect quarterback Drake Maye to have zero issues targeting Boutte downfield and believe these two will hit on at least one explosive play.
Super Bowl LX Anytime Touchdown Bets
Drake Maye Anytime Touchdown (+300) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk .5 Units to Win 1.5 Units
The Patriots could face a lot of resistance on the ground from Seattle's defense. The Seahawks' pass defense is very good, so Maye could be forced to create plays with his legs.
That could lead to him finding the end zone on the ground, and I like taking a shot on him to do so at these odds.
Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown (+250) BetMGM Sportsbook
Risk .4 Units to Win 1 Unit
Henry has had a very bipolar season. This weekend could be a potential boom spot for him, as Seattle has been mediocre at defending tight ends. Look for Henry to be a focal point of the Patriots' passing game, and don't be surprised if he finds paydirt.
Rashid Shaheed Anytime Touchdown (+375) Bet365 Sportsbook
Risk .2 Units to Win .75 Units
Christian Gonzalez could be locked on Jaxon Smith-Njigba for most of this game. That would free up Shaheed on the outside and potentially put him in a one-on-one matchup he can exploit.
SHEED BACK AT IT ‼️ 51-yard reception @RashidShaheed
📺: @NFLonFOX pic.twitter.com/6XWkx96qfN
— xz* - Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) January 25, 2026
Seattle loves taking play-action shots downfield, and this could be a great spot for Shaheed to score a long touchdown.
Super Bowl LX Long Shot Props and Value Plays
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Super Bowl LX MVP (+550) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk .3 Units to Win 1.65 Units
Given the strength of Seattle's defense and Sam Darnold's propensity for turning the ball over, we could be looking at a scenario where neither quarterback has an elite performance. That would make this award wide open.
Smith-Njigba feels like the most logical choice behind the starting quarterbacks, and he will likely be the focal point of Seattle's offense. He could very well have an outing similar to the one Julian Edelman had in Super Bowl LII, where he posted a 10-141-0 line on 17 targets.
I got this line at +650 when it first opened last week, and it was quickly bet down to the current number. However, I still feel like there is plenty of value here and would still play it at the above odds.
TreVeyon Henderson, Most Rushing Yards (+2000) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk .1 Units to Win 2 Units
Yes, Henderson has taken a backseat to Rhamondre Stevenson to close the year. However, the rookie is still an incredibly explosive back, and he ranked ninth in explosive rushing yards, per Fantasy Points Data Suite.
Seattle's run defense is very stout, but Henderson is capable of ripping off a few long runs here. That could put him in a great position to finish this game with the most rushing yards. These odds feel way off, so that makes this worthy of a small sprinkle.
Super Bowl LX Props Summary
Here's a quick, handy recap of all the props I recommended in this article in one place!
- Drake Maye OVER 33.5 Yards Longest Completion (-115) Bet365 Sportsbook
- Sam Darnold OVER .5 Interceptions (-128) FanDuel Sportsbook
- Kenneth Walker III UNDER 73.5 Rushing Yards (-105) NOVIG
- Hunter Henry OVER 38.5 Receiving Yards (-109) NOVIG
- Kayshon Boutte OVER 17.5 Yards Longest Reception (-115) Bet365 Sportsbook
- Drake Maye Anytime Touchdown (+300) DraftKings Sportsbook
- Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown (+250) BetMGM Sportsbook
- Rashid Shaheed Anytime Touchdown (+375) Bet365 Sportsbook
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Super Bowl LX MVP (+550) DraftKings Sportsbook
- TreVeyon Henderson, Most Rushing Yards (+2000) DraftKings Sportsbook
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Thanks for reading, and make sure you check back again before Sunday for updated info and more betting content from RotoBaller!
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