X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Round 4 Showdown - Mayakoba Classic

For those of you who have been loyally supporting Breaking $100, my very first article for RotoBaller, thank you! Your support has been rewarded with a slew of additional articles heading your way each week. This article is going to take a look at showdown slates, round matchups, and potential outright/T20 adds after each completed round. You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me.

My DFS style is very ownership-centric, and at times this can make you feel like an unsuccessful DFS player, but when a sneaky, low owned golfer comes through for you, it is all worth it. In this article we are going to break down the tournament's Ballers and Crawlers and use that information to derive a player pool full of upside and leverage.

The general logic to showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. This makes sense as you want to roster players who are playing good golf right now. These players will be higher owned and chalkier than golfers in the same price range, who had an off day, particularly with their irons. These are the golfers I am gravitated towards, as they could very easily bounce the following day at half the ownership. Adding finishing positions to the equation makes it even more fun.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season Props Premium Pass for 10% off using code BALLER. Win big with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Finishing Position Points vs Ownership

Round 4 showdown adds the element of finishing position points to the mix. It provides an immense leverage opportunity for those of us brave enough to click on names with a T30 associated with them. There is a five-point difference between second place and 15th place, the points equivalent of one extra birdie in a player's round. If somebody sitting outside the top 20 entering round 4 has an amazing day, making only one extra birdie than the guys in the top 5, they essentially nullify the finishing position advantage. Did we mention that they will also come in at a quarter of the ownership?

Ownership in DFS is king. If you are part of the 2% of the field that has John Huh shooting -9, 98% of the field is missing out on those points. This is where money is made in DFS and if we ignore finishing position points for the most part, there is a decent chance that one of the top points scorers is sitting outside the top 10 entering round 4. There will be instances where the leaders continue to play well, and that is not ideal, but how many times have we seen a 45% owned overnight leader have his nerves get the better of him and shoot over par. In this scenario, you have a major edge over half the field.

 

Weather Watch

Doesn't look like the there will be much of a weather edge this Sunday, with wind looking like no more than a breeze all day, picking up by two or three miles in the afternoon, which should impact the back nine of the final groups.

Round 4 Power Rankings

These power rankings are using KFT and PGA stats, so they are there as a guide, but should not be taken as gospel. Tee times are going to be the power rankings for us, as the guys we are targeting are close enough to the top of the leaderboard to be lowed, yet one of the highest scorers of the day. Below are the color codes for each color of the players name.

The Power Rankings for Round 4:

 

 

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Byron by using the discount code MANIAC when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022!

 

The Chalk Squad

These golfers should be the most owned tomorrow based off of their position on the leaderboard entering round 4. Russell Henley is probably going to come in at 60%+ ownership. He enters R4 with a SIX shot lead and can win this event shooting 69 tomorrow. We have seen him get nervy on a Sunday with a big lead, so we are going to swim against the Henley current one more time this week (it has hurt us so far).

$10,000: Hovland

$9,000: Nobody.

$8,000: Detry

$7,000: Nobody.

$6,000: Nobody.

 

The Pivot People

Nobody inside the top 10. A slate breaker will be found in one of these names. Robby Shelton and Co. are only 5 shots outside of T3. If the two leaders have a rough round, they are right back in it, potentially getting a few extra holes in better weather. All of these players will be in my player pool.

$10,000: Collin Morikawa

$9,000: Maverick McNealy, Taylor Montgomery

$8,000: Nobody.

$7,000: Dean Burmester, Lee Hodges, Davis Riley, J.J. Spaun

$6,000: Nobody.

 

The Leverage Lads

Sprinkling one or two of these guys into our lineups especially at low salary may be the way we want to attack these players. All of these golfers will be considered for my 20 entry player pool as they are well outside of the top-10.

Good luck and as always, may the odds be ever in your favor!!!

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

Golf is back, and it's time for you to win big with RotoBaller! Our PGA DFS Premium Package features several savvy analysts and proven DFS winners.

Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Max Scherzer35 mins ago

Throws Bullpen Session
Clayton Kershaw47 mins ago

"Ahead Of Things" Timetable-Wise
Walker Buehler51 mins ago

Ahead Of Schedule
Corey Seager58 mins ago

Active On Opening Day
Oneil Cruz1 hour ago

Batting Sixth On Opening Day
Alex Caruso1 hour ago

Ayo Dosunmu Probable Friday
Darius Garland1 hour ago

Probable Against 76ers
Donovan Mitchell1 hour ago

Upgraded To Questionable
Duncan Robinson3 hours ago

Heat Rule Out Duncan Robinson Friday
Bryan Reynolds3 hours ago

In Opening Day Lineup
Jimmy Butler3 hours ago

Probable Against Portland
Onyeka Okongwu4 hours ago

Remains Out Thursday
Dejounte Murray4 hours ago

Questionable With Back Soreness
Jordan Romano5 hours ago

Not Expected To Be Out Long
Gerrit Cole5 hours ago

Yankees Put Gerrit Cole On 60-Day Injured List
Elly De La Cruz5 hours ago

Batting In Six-Hole On Opening Day
Anthony Rendon5 hours ago

Hitting Leadoff On Opening Day
Wander Franco5 hours ago

Placed On Administrative Leave
Aaron Ekblad6 hours ago

Returning To Panthers Lineup Thursday
Nikita Kucherov6 hours ago

Establishes New Career High With 42nd Goal
Shane Pinto6 hours ago

Collects Career-High Four Points
Valeri Nichushkin6 hours ago

Nursing A Lower-Body Injury
Samuel Girard6 hours ago

Battling An Illness
J.K. Dobbins6 hours ago

Visiting With Chargers On Thursday
Oskar Sundqvist6 hours ago

To Miss Rest Of Season With Torn ACL
Ethan Bear6 hours ago

Enters Player Assistance Program
Keita Bates-Diop7 hours ago

To Miss Rest Of Season
Dyson Daniels7 hours ago

Remains Out On Thursday But Nearing Return
LaMelo Ball7 hours ago

Ruled Out For Rest Of 2023-24
Jose Alvarado7 hours ago

Questionable To Face Milwaukee
Jaden Springer7 hours ago

Considered Questionable
Xavier Tillman7 hours ago

Sr. Questionable Thursday
Gabe Vincent7 hours ago

Expected To Return To Action On Sunday
Al Horford18 hours ago

Back On The Injury Report
Derrick White19 hours ago

Off The Injury Report
TJ Friedl20 hours ago

Hits 10-Day Injured List
Aaron Gordon20 hours ago

Cleared To Face Phoenix
Michael Porter20 hours ago

Jr. Good To Go Wednesday
Nikola Jokic20 hours ago

Playing Against Phoenix
Jackson Chourio20 hours ago

Will Start In Right Field Friday
Jrue Holiday20 hours ago

Might Return On Thursday
Khris Middleton20 hours ago

Expected To Play On Thursday Night
Eduardo Rodriguez21 hours ago

Starts Throwing Program
Garrett Mitchell21 hours ago

Will Miss 6-8 Weeks
Chad Green22 hours ago

To Lead Closer Committee In Toronto?
Erik Swanson22 hours ago

Jordan Romano, Erik Swanson Officially Heading To Injured List
Kevin Gausman22 hours ago

To Make Season Debut Sunday Or Monday
Gleyber Torres23 hours ago

Will Bat Leadoff On Opening Day
Mark Hubbard23 hours ago

Coming Off A Career Performance
Davis Thompson24 hours ago

Looking To Pay Off A Stellar Run Of Ball-Striking
Max Scherzer24 hours ago

Making Solid Progress
Akshay Bhatia24 hours ago

Coming Into Houston With Confidence
Thorbjorn Olesen24 hours ago

Still Trying To Find Footing On U.S. Soil
Patrick Rodgers24 hours ago

Fighting Inconsistencies Heading Into Houston
Malik Nabers1 day ago

Shines At Pro Day
Carolina Panthers1 day ago

Jadeveon Clowney Signing Two-Year Deal With Panthers
Jordan Lawlar1 day ago

To Have Thumb Surgery, Out A Couple Months
Wyndham Clark1 day ago

Battling Back Injury Ahead of Houston Open
San Francisco 49ers1 day ago

Talanoa Hufanga Expected To Return At Training Camp
Jayden Daniels1 day ago

Raiders To Meet With Jayden Daniels
Tank Bigsby1 day ago

Jaguars Want Tank Bigsby More Involved
Josh Reynolds1 day ago

Signs Two-Year Deal With Broncos
Doug Ghim1 day ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Houston Open
PGA1 day ago

Cameron Davis Seeking Consistency Ahead Of Houston Open
Thomas Detry1 day ago

A Gamble At Houston Open
Ryan Fox1 day ago

Lacks Upside Heading Into Houston Open
Andrew Novak1 day ago

Will Be Chalk At Houston Open
Josh Doan1 day ago

Scores Twice In His NHL Debut
Filip Forsberg1 day ago

Makes History In Big Comeback Win
Jamie Benn1 day ago

Scores In Fifth Consecutive Game
Sidney Crosby1 day ago

Collects Three Points Versus Carolina
Artemi Panarin1 day ago

Continues Scoring Tear With Three Assists
Joey Daccord1 day ago

Shuts Out Ducks
Sahith Theegala1 day ago

Showing Consistency This Season
Wyndham Clark1 day ago

Working Toward Star Status
Scottie Scheffler1 day ago

Heads To Houston At His Best
Sam Ryder1 day ago

Putting The Lights Out Of Late
Joel Dahmen1 day ago

All Systems Go For Joel Dahmen In Houston
Kurt Kitayama1 day ago

Ready For Houston Debut
Ben Griffin1 day ago

Finding Form Heading To Houston
Taylor Moore2 days ago

Continues Made-Cut Streak Heading To Houston
Adam Svensson2 days ago

Hoping For Consistency In Houston
Taylor Montgomery2 days ago

Looks To Bounce Back In Houston
Amon-Ra St. Brown2 days ago

Discussing Extension With Lions
Jared Goff2 days ago

Lions Discussing New Deal
J.K. Dobbins2 days ago

Cleared For Football Activities
Los Angeles Rams2 days ago

Tre'Davious White To Join Rams
PIT2 days ago

Sam Poulin Recalled From AHL
Jack Quinn2 days ago

Could Return Wednesday
Scott Mayfield2 days ago

Undergoes Season-Ending Surgery
TOR2 days ago

Mitch Marner Skates On His Own Tuesday
Trevor Zegras2 days ago

To Return Tuesday
Justus Annunen2 days ago

Inks Two-Year Extension
Nick Chubb2 days ago

Expected To Start Load Running Next Month
D'Andre Swift2 days ago

Bears View D'Andre Swift As Receiving Weapon
Cordarrelle Patterson2 days ago

Signing With Steelers
Sam Howell2 days ago

Seahawks Believe Sam Howell Can Be A Full-Time Starter
Tennessee Titans2 days ago

L'Jarius Sneed Agrees On Four-Year Contract With Titans
Dak Prescott2 days ago

No Indication A Deal Is Coming For Dak Prescott
Calvin Ridley2 days ago

To Have Big Role In Tennessee
Josh Jacobs2 days ago

To Be Used More In Passing Game
Brandon Saad2 days ago

Gets Another Goal In Monday's Loss
Logan Thompson2 days ago

Stretches Winning Streak To Three Games
Pittsburgh Steelers3 days ago

Cameron Heyward Expected To Be Healthy For Training Camp
Zach Wilson3 days ago

Jets Could End Up Keeping Zach Wilson
Amanda Ribas3 days ago

Takes Decision Loss
Rose Namajunas3 days ago

Snaps Losing Streak
Edmen Shahbazyan3 days ago

Scores Vicious Comeback Knockout
AJ Dobson3 days ago

Knocked Out In The First Round At UFC Vegas 89
Fernando Padilla3 days ago

Gets Back On Track With Submission Win
Luis Pajuelo3 days ago

Submitted In UFC Debut
William Byron3 days ago

Dominates For Victory At COTA
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Grabs Another Solid Finish At COTA
Chris Buescher3 days ago

Texas Native Chris Buescher Finishes Eighth At COTA
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Kyle Busch Confronts Christopher Bell Following A Top-10 Finish At COTA
Justin Haley3 days ago

Disqualified After Strong COTA Run
Martin Truex Jr4 days ago

. Rounds Out Top Ten At COTA
NASCAR4 days ago

A.J. Allmendinger Worms Way Up To Sixth At COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen4 days ago

Shane van Gisbergen Comes Down to Earth After Mediocre COTA Run
Ross Chastain4 days ago

Ran Well at COTA as Usual Despite Late-Race Fade
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Furious Charge Falls Just Short at COTA
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Scores Strong Finish of Fifth at COTA
Chase Elliott4 days ago

Finishes 16th at COTA After Lackluster Performance
Billy Quarantillo4 days ago

Suffers Submission Loss At UFC Vegas 89
Youssef Zalal4 days ago

Gets Submission Win In Return To The UFC
Cameron Saaiman4 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 89
Payton Talbott4 days ago

Scores KO Win At UFC Vegas 89
Justin Tafa4 days ago

Drops To .500 In The UFC
Karl Williams4 days ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Kyle Larson4 days ago

Is One Of The Optimal DFS Options For COTA
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

Should Denny Hamlin Be Rostered For DFS Lineups At COTA?
Kaz Grala4 days ago

Is A Serviceable DFS Play For COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen4 days ago

Will Start 12th In First COTA Cup Start
Todd Gilliland4 days ago

Is A Sneaky DFS Play With Upside For COTA
William Byron4 days ago

Is One Of The Top Favorites To Win At COTA
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Is A Comfortable DFS Play For COTA
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

the Favorite to Win at COTA
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Looking for First Career Win at COTA
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF