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Koby's best MLB player prop bets for today (6/11/2026). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Liam Hicks, Jac Caglianone, and others!
Welcome Back, RotoBallers! I'm jealous I didn't get to take advantage of the series in Las Vegas this week, talk about a ton of home runs! It'll be interesting to see if we get a similar output in a couple of years, when the new stadium is finished. For now, though, we will just have to enjoy Coors Field! We have eight games on deck tonight on this wonderful Thursday. Let's crush some home run bets, why don't we?
In this article, we'll focus on four home run spots that I think are strong plays across today's MLB Slate. Make sure to check out the RotoBaller Discord, where you can find input from all our experts, which could include more home run spots as well as some great strikeout picks.
Below, you'll be able to read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Thursday, June 11, 2026. The current odds given reflect the best price as of the time of publication, but remember to always shop around at other sportsbooks so you can get the most value on your home run wagers. Odds can vary significantly from one sportsbook to another.
MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (6/11/2026)
Liam Hicks OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+840 Liam Hicks)
It will continue to blow my mind every time I look at Liam Hicks and see his stats. It just doesn't make sense that he has 11 home runs on the season against RHP while sporting a very weak 5.6% Barrel% and a 34.6% HardHit%. His SLG of .503 and ISO of .225 are solid, and he doesn't strike out much, which is good to see.
He is getting a great matchup here against Merrill Kelly, who has struggled quite a bit against lefties this season. The lefties here likely have one of the best matchups on the slate; they are sporting a .610 SLG, .331 ISO, 23% Barrel%, and a 51.7% HardHit% against him. 10 of his 13 home runs have come from lefties this season, too. In his last two starts, he has given up five home runs. He just clearly hasn't had the stuff this year.
A player like Liam Hicks should be able to take advantage of that; he has had no problem hitting in Miami and has hit Kelly's pitch mix quite well. Most of Kelly's home runs have come off the Four-Seamer and Cutter, both of which have been good pitches for Hicks to hit.
I also want to mention Owen Caissie, who has some strong power stats this season. He has hit righties well this season, too, and could be a great value pivot if you want to take someone with longer odds.
Jac Caglianone OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+570 FanDuel)
Jac Caglianone is on an unreal tear right now. He is 7/8 in his last two games, including two home runs. He is piping hot from an exit velocity standpoint with 15 100+ mph batted balls in his last 20. Overall, he has had great ABs lately and is seeing the ball really well. Against RHP this season, he is sporting a .441 SLG, .172 ISO, 24.5% Barrel%, and a 64.3% HardHit%. Those last two are just some insane numbers.
He will be going against Kumar Rocker. Rocker has had a decent season, but has struggled a bit against lefties this season. Four of his six homers given up this season have come against lefties, and he has particularly struggled on the road this season, as his HR/9 jumps from 0.9 to 1.4. Lefties are sporting a .413 SLG, .159 ISO, 14.1% Barrel%, and 52.5% HardHit% against him this season. The power stats are a bit concerning, and for someone like Jac at the plate, that could be a big issue for Rocker.
We are getting the benefit of some great hitting conditions. At the moment, we are looking at winds blowing out at 19 mph to go along with 85-degree heat. These are some prime hitting conditions, and someone like Jac has to take advantage of them while he can.
Jac Caglianone in his last 7 games:
.421/.560/.789
2 HR
5 RBI
5 BB | 5 K
1.349 OPSThe 23-year-old is providing a much-needed spark to the Royals' lineup ⚡️ pic.twitter.com/EzLhQYp7fg
— Just Baseball (@JustBB_Media) June 10, 2026
