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Zach's best MLB player prop bets for today (5/20/2026). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Ketel Marte, Andy Pages, and others!
Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have a stuffed Wednesday of baseball lined up to fill the entire day with MLB action. The schedule spreads the first pitches of today's matchups from 1:05 p.m ET through 9:38 p.m. ET, which should mean almost 12 hours of non-stop baseball action. Let's dive into the matchups and find some strong options to consider for the top home run props of the day!
In this article, I'll focus on four home run spots I like. Make sure to check out the RotoBaller Discord, where you can find input from all our experts, which could include more home run spots as well as some great strikeout picks!
Below, you'll be able to read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. The current odds given reflect the best price as of the time of publication, but remember to always shop around at other sportsbooks so you can get the most value on your home run wagers. Odds can vary significantly from one sportsbook to another.
MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (5/20/2026)
Ketel Marte OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+488, Kalshi)
Marte is fresh off his first homer of the month of May, which was also the first walk-off home run of his career.
Down to the final out ...
KETEL MARTE WALK-OFF HOME RUN 🐍 pic.twitter.com/PrhUzF4YtY
— MLB (@MLB) May 20, 2026
The 32-year-old switch-hitter is off to a slower start this season after hitting at least 25 homers in each of the last three years. He's hitting just .222 with six dingers and a .159 ISO this season, but he has started to heat up lately and should have plenty of momentum after Tuesday night's heroics.
Marte has a 47.9% hard-hit rate and 8.9% barrel rate on the year, but over his last eight games, he has a 56.3% hard-hit rate and 9.4% barrel rate. Over that span, he is hitting .273 with four of his nine hits for extra bases, a .348 wOBA, and a .212 ISO.
On Wednesday afternoon at Chase Field, he and the Snakes will look to finish off their sweep of the Giants as they take on Tyler Mahle. The veteran righty has struggled in his first season in San Francisco, going 1-5 with a 5.59 ERA, 4.91 FIP, and nine home runs allowed in his nine starts. He has been especially hittable on the road, where he has given up five homers and 18 runs in just 19 1/3 innings.
In their past meetings, Marte is 5-for-9 with two doubles and a home run off Mahle. While BvP can get a little overplayed, it backs up the recent trends for both Marte and Mahle in this matinee matchup, so Marte should be a great place to start your home run props for Wednesday.
Andy Pages OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+591, DraftKings)
Let's stick in the NL West for our second home run prop of the day, and we'll go with another hero from Tuesday night, Andy Pages. Pages didn't go yard on Tuesday, but he did have a nine-pitch battle with Mason Miller before driving in the game-winning run with a sacrifice fly.
Pages is off to a great start for the Dodgers, slashing .294/.343/.506 with 10 homers, a .370 wOBA, and a .211 ISO. The 25-year-old righty has hit nine of his 10 homers against righties and six of his 10 long balls on the road. He'll be facing righty Randy Vasquez on Wednesday night, who has been very solid this season but has given up four home runs, including three in his last four starts. Righties like Pages have hit three of those four homers against Vasquez, and three have come at home at Petco Park.
With all those splits in his favor, Pages is a great value at almost 6:1. He hasn't squared anything up yet in this series in San Diego, but has a 12.2% barrel rate in his last 15 games with five homers, a .263 ISO, and a .351 wOBA over that span.
His most recent homer was at the start of the team's current road trip in Anaheim:
LAD - Andy Pages 3-run HR (10)
📏 407 ft | 💨 107.7 mph | 📐 25°
⚾️ 95.6 mph four-seam fastball (LAA - RHP Jack Kochanowicz)
🏟️ Out in 14/30 parksLAD (3) @ LAA (0)
🔺 4th#Dodgers pic.twitter.com/r1Nvq4T0hK— MLB Home Runs (@MLBHRs_) May 16, 2026
In the past, Pages is 3-for-6 against Vasquez with a pair of home runs. Like with Marte, the BvP history backs up the current trends and split. He's a great value play on Wednesday night in one of the later games, especially since the weather in San Diego is some of the best on the board this evening for offense. The wind will be blowing out to left field with comfortable temps in the mid-60s.
