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April 1, 2025

Corey Conners has been on a tear in recent weeks, recording three straight top-eight finishes while gaining strokes across all areas of his game. He looks to continue this excellent form at the Valero Texas Open, an event he has wonread more...
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Patrick Cantlay has been rock-solid to start the year, finishing in the top 33 in all six of his starts, including four top-15 finishes. He now aims to continue his strong form at the Valero Texas Open, an event he has yet to play in his career. Success at TPC San Antonio requires sharp play on approach, an area where Cantlay has excelled this season. Currently, he ranks 33rd in strokes gained on approach, gaining an impressive 0.443 strokes per round. In addition to his approach game, Cantlay boasts a solid short game, ranking 35th in strokes gained putting (0.367 per round) and 45th around the green (0.224). He also ranks in the 90th percentile for proximity from 200-plus yards, an area that accounted for 28.7% of all approach shots here last year. With a price tag of $10,200 on DraftKings, Cantlay offers the kind of winning upside that fantasy managers are searching for.--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
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It was an inspiring week in Houston for Gary Woodland, who posted a final-round 62 on Sunday to leap into a T2 finish. This was the highest finish the former Jayhawk has had since returning from brain surgery 18 months ago. He had been showing signs of form all season, as he ranks fourth in driving distance (315.2) and 12th in proximity to the hole (34 feet, six inches). His strokes-gained metrics haven't necessarily been there, though, as his 46th ranking in strokes gained on approach (plus-0.389) is his highest ranking. He should be licking his chops coming to TPC San Antonio after finishing T6 and T8 in his last two starts in this event, especially if his dominant putting we saw at Memorial Park continues -- he gained 8.72 strokes. At $10,000 on FanDuel, Woodland seems to be peaking at a very opportune time.--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
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After a T3 finish at The PLAYERS Championship, Akshay Bhatia has now recorded six top-32 finishes this year, including three top-10s in his last four starts. He looks to carry this momentum into the Valero Texas Open, an event he won in 2024. In last year's tournament, Bhatia led the field in strokes gained on approach and tee-to-green play — areas where he has continued to excel this year. He currently ranks 43rd in strokes gained on approach (0.372 per round), 85th off the tee (0.076), and has been lights-out with his putter, ranking ninth on tour (0.646). He is also in the 96th percentile in greens in regulation from 200-plus yards, an area that accounted for 28.7% of all approach shots here last year. At a price tag of $9,300, Bhatia should be a lock in most fantasy lineups.--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
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It was a surprisingly successful, but typical raucous week in Houston for Alejandro Tosti. The 28-year-old finished in a tie for fifth after posting a season-high +2.45 total strokes gained average for the week. However, the bigger storyline is the antics between the ropes during Sunday's final round and Tosti's frustration with slow play. His fiery nature also flared up at this event last season with Tony Finau. Both instances seemed to result in him losing focus, potentially costing him two chances at victories. Nevertheless, he comes to TPC San Antonio in decent form, averaging +0.95 strokes gained on approach and +0.216 around the green over his last three starts. Success will likely come down to his putting, which can be wildly sporadic. At $8,200 on FanDuel, he's worth a flyer pick for riskier lineups.--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
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Perhaps one of the biggest conundrums for DFS this season is what to make of Jordan Spieth. The former Longhorn has returned to deliver the same gut-wrenching performances he did before his injury stint. Approach play has been all over the place, with him gaining over seven shots with his irons at both the Phoenix Open and his last start at Valspar. However, he lost strokes in large amounts in the three events in between. More frustrating is that most other metrics have been equally as much of a rollercoaster. The biggest reason for trusting Spieth this week is the incredible course history at TPC San Antonio, where he secured a victory in 2021. At $11,100 on FanDuel Spieth carries a ton of risk, but the winnable upside is there. --Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
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Coming off a T27 this past week in Houston, Jake Knapp is making his first start at TPC San Antonio this week. Hopes were much higher for the former Bruin at Memorial Park than the result we got; given his length off the tee and knack for playing in windier conditions. However, his short game was a large reason for his struggles, coupled with the fact he really only gained strokes on approach in one round. That type of recipe won't have much success at TPC San Antonio. There are a large number of first-time players who have found success here, and it wouldn't be shocking for the 30-year-old to do the same with his level of talent. But at $9,600 on FanDuel, the juice may not be worth the squeeze.--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
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After a strong run through the last part of the west-coast swing and the first part of Florida that included two top-five finishes, one top-10, and two top-15s, Michael Kim has cooled off in recent weeks. He missed the cut at TPC Sawgrass and has failed to crack the top 25 in his last two starts. However, he's still gaining strokes in nearly every category, but none more than on approach. Even with a T32 in Houston, the 31-year-old still managed to gain 4.76 strokes with his irons. Given the reduction in needed length off the tee at TPC San Antonio, it is much more receptive to Kim's game and makes him a fine choice for fantasy lineups.--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
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It has been an incredible start to the season for Tommy Fleetwood, as he prepares for the year's first major next week at Augusta National. He's made six professional starts in 2025 and hasn't finished worse than T22. TPC San Antonio is a ball striker's golf course, with many narrow, undulating greens that force players to be spot-on with approach shots. He ranks 12th on the year in strokes gained on approach (+0.771), which has fallen slightly with a poor outing in this area at the Valspar. However, the 34-year-old has also rolled the rock much better since switching to bermudagrass—the same goes for his short game. At $11,900 on FanDuel, Fleetwood will be one of the more sought-after players for lineups this week.--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
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Other than a couple of bright spots this season, Tony Finau is struggling to find success in the first half of the season. Most recently, he finished T32 last week in Houston and missed the cut at the Players Championship in the start before that. Approach play has dipped in recent weeks, as he lost over six shots at TPC Sawgrass and was still struggling with it at Memorial Park (-0.29 average). That won't bode well at the Oakes Course this week, especially since he's struggled to find any momentum on the greens since transitioning to bermudagrass. At $10,300 on FanDuel, Finau is a shiny name that may be better to avoid until we see a turnaround.--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
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It has been a productive last couple of weeks for Eric Cole, as the 36-year-old has had back-to-back top-15 finishes at the Valspar and last week in Houston. During that time, he's gained over six strokes on approach and four strokes putting. Last week at Memorial Park was particularly impressive given the length of the course and his inadequacies off the tee. TPC San Antonio presents a much more getable opportunity for Cole if everything currently trending in his game stays that way. In two career starts in this event, his best finish is a T39. However, the recipe for grass type, green complexes, and need for sound approach play remains the same as it has for the last few weeks, which makes him an intriguing play at $8,600 on FanDuel.--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
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Sam Stevens seeks to capitalize on the nice result he had in Houston. The American golfer shot a 65 in the final round to vault into the Top 20. Though Stevens finished 10 shots off the first place total, Stevens looked good on the golf course. The concern is that he has looked so average when it comes to putting and approaching the green. Birdie average has taken the biggest hit with Stevens dropping to 3.7 (127th). Worse, that scoring average of 71.55 comes in at 155th. Getting off to that kind of start makes Stevens just have to do even more to catch up. It is why Stevens carries too much risk to trust from a betting standpoint this weekend. --Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
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J.T. Poston has won three times on the PGA Tour in his career. The American golfer has not even tasted a Top 10 once in 2025. Despite missing only one cut, Poston has always had that round or two that derails his weekend. Last week at the Valspar Championship, Poston could not keep up with the hottest golfers and shot a 72. Missed putts have been hurting Poston's results all 2025. His strokes gained to putting ranks normally in the Top 50. Poston is currently 165th at -0.527. It is not that early anymore. For a golfer who is struggling with the putter, a 3.75% three-putt avoidance even ranks 165th. It is why Poston cannot be trusted to finish inside the Top 20 or Top 10. Sure, he could do that but also could struggle to make the cut. --Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
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Denny McCarthy's calling card has always been the putter. The American golfer has five Top 25 results and a couple of Top 10 finishes too. However, he has not truly battled for a win on a Sunday yet. One of the biggest problems for McCarthy in 2025 has been the third round. He averages 30 putts on what would mostly be Saturdays. Even his birdie or better conversion percentage (31.5%) is 102nd or slightly below tour average. Consistency has been missing for McCarthy even though he ranks 17th in strokes gained to putting (0.54). While scoring ranks inside the Top 50, overall birdie average is 91st. That is why a few more putts need to drop and the Valero Texas Open could be that place.--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
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Brian Harman has already competed in nine events on the PGA Tour. The American golfer who has won three times including The Open Championship in 2023 does not have one Top 10 finish. Now, Harman has three Top 25 results and has only missed the cut twice. However, he took a week off after The Players Championship where a second round 77 caused him to miss the weekend. Harman's swing through Hawaii started off disastrous (75-74 at the Sentry). The season has not quite gone as expected. The Valero Texas Open does not set up well for Harman with four holes 550 yards or greater. With the putter so far off (145th in strokes gained) and averaging 29.58 putts per round and 31.71 on Sundays, Harman may be one to fade from a DFS perspective this week. --Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
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