Justin Allgaier Drastically Overrated By All DraftKings Metrics
Source: Racing Reference

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February 16, 2025
Justin Allgaier is making JR Motorsports' debut in the NASCAR Cup Series in Sunday's Daytona 500 after a late charge to finish ninth in the first Duel race. However, he seems drastically overvalued everywhere on DraftKings, where he is given 25-1 odds to win -- equal with Ross Chastain and Chris Buescher, who are both easily more likely to win -- and he is also favored to earn a top ten finish at minus-110 (which he probably won't do, especially for a brand-new team). Additionally, the fact that he is starting 19th, which is better than he will likely run, and valued at $7,000 on DFS lineups (making him more expensive than a lot of more valuable drivers), suggests that it's best to avoid him at all costs, especially when considering he caused three crashes in Saturday's Xfinity Series race, indicating he might be likely to overdrive.--Sean Wrona - RotoBaller
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