11 months agoExpectations were sky-high for Cease entering the 2023 season. The right-hander was coming off a dominant 2022 where he posted a 2.20 ERA and 30.4% strikeout rate in 184 innings and finished second in Cy Young voting. 2023 didn't quite go as planned, with Cease struggling to the tune of a 4.58 ERA, 4.02 BB/9, and zero Cy Young votes. Cease relied more heavily on his fastball in 2023 compared to his standout 2022, a problem considering that Cease lost 1.2 MPH of heat on his four-seamer and had a .336 xwOBA with the pitch. He used his dominant slider less often, instead mixing in a so-so curve that got tagged for a .298 AVG and .538 SLG against. While the cause of this velocity decline is uncertain, one potential cause could be mechanical issues. Cease gained about 0.3 inches on his extension in 2023 compared to past seasons. He will be 28 on Opening Day, so there's no reason to think physical decline is at play. If Cease can regain his velocity he could be a mid-three ERA pitcher with high strikeout rate. He has a 3.40 FIP and 11.4 K/9 over the last three seasons combined, and his slider still performed well with a .216 AVG against and a 20.9% swinging strike rate. Cease may've busted in 2023, but he is a great bounce back candidate heading into 2024.--Elliott Baas - RotoBaller