7 months agoOut goes Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, in comes Curtis Samuel and a bunch of other receivers (rookie Keon Coleman, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Chase Claypool, Mack Hollins). Maybe Coleman hits, but it's also very possible he doesn't. He didn't put up gaudy stats in college, and has a few holes in his game. According to Matt Harmon of Reception Perception, Coleman struggled to separate against man coverage in college. Harmon even went as far as to put him on the "Treylon Burks, Jonathan Mingo warning axis." Things could change, but Coleman may not be a high target-earner in this offense. That leaves Samuel along with Khalil Shakir and tight end Dalton Kincaid as the likely top options in the passing game. Shakir's ok, but he registered over four targets in just three of 17 games last season. Yes, it was with Diggs and Davis, but Samuel has played alongside some high-level talent and he's had four 90+ target seasons in his seven-year career. He's most likely to be WR1 of this group. According to Harmon, Samuel is a "position versatile WR who can win in multiple roles and separate." He even went as far as to call him a "perfect fit" for the Bills' offense. Between Diggs and Davis, there are 242 targets up for grabs in Buffalo. If Samuel commands even just an 18% target share, he'd see around 110 targets for the Bills in 2024 based on historical passing rates. There's definitely a pathway for him to be a viable WR3 this season.--Adam Koffler - RotoBaller