RADIO
Hello everyone once again! We head west to Kansas City, Kansas for the AdventHealth 400 this week and the 13th 2022 edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 45 points, 2nd is worth 42, 3rd is worth 41, and so on. Every lap led NOW equals an extra 0.25 points. Every fastest clocked lap equals an extra 0.45 points. Laps led are 0.25 points per lap and place differential is plus or minus one point. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Denny Hamlin Over 45.5 Points. This is high-risk only because how much past success helps Hamlin here. Obviously, the driver has won here before and twice at that. He has had issues too but again his late speed intervals have been the best among all active drivers the last three years. Starting 18th helps Hamlin immensely and he could set a few fastest laps along the way during the middle and later portions of this race potentially. Those are positive points that cannot be passed up on Sunday. At top ten finish helps us connect on the prop here. Take the over.
Joey Logano Under 57.5 Points. The reason is academic. Honestly, Logano and his Ford got a bit lucky last week with the laws of attrition working in his favor. Then, he bumped William Byron on the last lap when he likely would have passed him anyway. That scares the living daylights out of anyone. Logano starts from the back after his mishap on Saturday and has point differential points just waiting for him. However, Byron may be as well. Do not be surprised if something happens. That is why the under has to be in play here.
Ross Chastain Over 45.5 Points. This is one of the more fun numbers to look at on Sunday. Chastain is fast and just keep proving doubters wrong. He has a series-high seven top-five results in 12 races. That includes two wins. His car tends to be fast and versatile. The guy can race anywhere and has improved in every race at Kansas when it comes to driver rating. The Next-Gen car has helped this TrackHouse Racing driver break through in a big way. He could set some fastest laps and lead a few laps as well at Kansas. He was in the top ten for most of last Fall's race. Take the over.
Ryan Blaney Under 37.5 Points. The #12 driver does not like Kansas either and does not perform well at the track. He will have that thought in the back of his head no matter how much he says otherwise. The track makes him wary and he has been far from the only driver to say as such with the Next-Gen car and the tire issues that have plagued these cars during this week. Look at all the blown tires, spin-outs, and worse. Starting tenth could impact Blaney a bit more than thought. If something befalls his car yet again, that under will be as good as gold. Take the under again for the Team Penske racer.
Martin Truex Jr. Over 37.5 Points. This could prove to work yet again. Truex Jr. starting ninth is a good thing at Kansas. His Toyota was a good deal better in practice than in qualifying. It could take some time for the car to warm up but when he gets going, Truex Jr. at the least will not lose much track position. Anything near the top-five is somewhat plausible on Sunday. Take the over here on Sunday for the No.19 car from Joe Gibbs Racing.
Some Other Drivers to Look At
Kurt Busch (Over 29.5 points) -- The elder Busch starts 5th and may drop a bit but his five top-ten results in his last six races at Kansas indicate a chance he could just finish slightly over here on Sunday. Take the shot!
Kyle Larson (Over 46.5 points) -- Expect a good week from Larson. The one thing he excels at when it comes to speedways like Kansas is this. He leads laps and sets fast laps well. After all, over the past four appearances, the No. 5 car has led nearly 30% of the laps. If one translates that on Sunday that means Larson will lead around 80 laps in all. Take the over once more!
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