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Andy's top DraftKings and FanDuel MLB DFS picks for today, Sunday, 5/04/25. His favorite daily fantasy baseball lineup sleepers and value picks for DFS on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Welcome, RotoBallers, to another DFS breakdown. In this piece, we will analyze the top pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target for Sunday's MLB slate.
We have a full slate of action this afternoon, so we have several options to target. I will highlight the New York Mets, who have a favorable matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals. On the pitching side, we have two top southpaws taking the bump who will be popular plays this afternoon.
This article will provide my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 5/04/2025. The main slate is at 1:15 p.m. EDT. The lineup picks listed below include a variety of elite players, mid-priced options, and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for other sports here. Monitoring injury news and today's MLB starting lineups is always essential.
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DraftKings, FanDuel Pitchers - MLB DFS Lineup Picks
Garrett Crochet, BOS vs. MIN ($10.8K DK; $10.7K FD)
The 25-year-old enters this game against the Minnesota Twins boasting a 2.05 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. Across 44 innings, Crochet has struck out 50 batters. He has generated an elite 31.8% hard-hit rate with a strong 30.0% whiff rate.
He will face the Twins, who have posted the fourth-highest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season.
Garrett Crochet, Nasty 83mph Sweeper. 😨 pic.twitter.com/vCRz0r10wl
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 30, 2025
Taj Bradley, TBR at NYY ($7.4K DK; $8K FD)
Taj Bradley has a tougher matchup this afternoon, but is worth a look given his strikeout potential facing the Yankees. When facing right-handed pitching this season, the Yankees have posted the fifth-highest strikeout rate.
While Bradley has struggled at times, he has struck out seven batters at least three times in three starts this season and could be in store for another high-strikeout game facing the Yankees.
Shota Imanaga, CHC at MIL ($9K DK; $9K FD)
Shota Imanaga is my final pitcher to highlight. Through his first 39 IP of the season, Imanaga has posted a solid 2.77 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP. He has struck out 30 batters in 39 IP but shown strong command, allowing walks at an 8.1 percent rate.
He should be in a prime position to stay hot facing the Brewers, who have posted the 10th-lowest wrC+ against southpaws this season. In addition, the Brewres have posted the 12th-lowest wOBA against lefties.
Also consider: JP Sears at MIA
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DraftKings, FanDuel Infielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks
Pete Alonso, 1B - NYM vs. Erick Fedde ($5.3K DK; $4.3K FD)
Pete Alonso has enjoyed an impressive start to the campaign and should be in a great position to stay hot facing Erick Fedde. When facing sinkers from right-handed pitching (Fedde's most-used pitch), Alonso has generated an elite .566 xSLG and a .479 xwOBA.
Entering Sunday, Alonso has posted a strong .391/.576/.652 slash line with two long balls over his last seven games.
Pete Alonso pulverizes this baseball to give the @Mets the lead 💥 pic.twitter.com/X77BDMc4Y0
— MLB (@MLB) May 3, 2025
Jonathan Aranda 1B/2B (FanDuel Only) - TBR vs. Will Warren ($4.2K DK; $3.1K FD)
Another first baseman to highlight is Jonathan Aranda of the Tampa Bay Rays. Aranda has been one of the most surprising bats during the first month of the season, posting a .298/.391/.521 slash line. Under the hood, he has generated a stellar .413 xwOBA (94th percentile) with a 62.9% hard-hit rate (100th percentile).
This afternoon, he will face New York Yankees right-hander Will Warren, who leans heavily on his cutter. When facing cutters from righties, Aranda has generated an eye-catching .976 xSLG.
Alex Bregman, 2B (DraftKings Only)/3B - BOS vs. Chris Paddack ($5.3K DK; $3.9K FD)
My final infielder to target is Alex Bregman of the Boston Red Sox. Bregman has surpassed all expectations during his first month in Boston, posting a .326/.399/.600 slash line with eight long balls.
This afternoon, the 31-year-old will face the struggling Minnesota right-hander Chris Paddack, who enters this game with a 5.60 ERA. He relies on his fastball often (51.7 percent usage), which should set Bregman up for success, as he has generated a strong .504 xwOBA when facing fastballs from right-handed pitching.
Also Consider: Francisco Lindor - NYM, Jeff McNeil - NYM, Bobby Witt Jr. - KCR, Junior Caminero - TBR
DraftKings, FanDuel Outfielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks
Bryan Reynolds, OF - PIT vs. Stephen Kolek ($3.8K DK; $2.9K FD)
After going hitless through four games, Bryan Reynolds has flipped the script, holding a .455 AVG over his last three games entering Saturday. This afternoon, he will face San Diego right-hander Stephen Kolek, who enters this game with a modest 5.21 ERA.
Reynolds should be in a prime position to stay hot at the plate facing Kolek as he leans heavily on his sinker (40.9% usage rate). When facing sinkers from righties, Reynolds has generated an incredible .935 xSLG. He is a must-target this afternoon.
Mark Canha, 1B/OF - KCR vs. Kyle Gibson ($3.4K DK; $2.3K FD)
Mark Canha is a sneaky play facing Baltimore right-hander Kyle Gibson. Gibson has had a tough start to the season as he allowed nine runs, including five home runs, in his season debut.
Gibson typically uses two pitches, a sinker and a sweeper. Canha should find success against his sinker, as he has generated a strong .494 xSLG when facing this pitch. Through 14 games this season, Canha has been quite productive, posting a .313/.378/.375 line. If you are looking for a budget option, consider the 36-year-old.
Jake Meyers, OF - HOU vs. Bryse Wilson ($3.6K DK; $2.7K FD)
My final outfielder to target is Jake Meyers, who will face Chicago right-hander Bryse Wilson. Wilson enters this game boasting a 6.71 xERA and a .310 xBA, which place him in the fifth and sixth percentiles, respectively.
When facing cutters from right-handed pitching (Wilson's most-used pitch), Meyers has been very productive, generating an impressive .622 xSLG and a .551 xwOBA. Entering Saturday, Meyers is riding a three-game hitting streak.
Have a day, Jake Meyers!
He ties an @Astros franchise record with 13 total bases in a game 😮 pic.twitter.com/8sJtVfIxwV
— MLB (@MLB) May 3, 2025
Also Consider: Jarren Duran - BOS, Andrew McCutchen PIT, Cedric Mullins BAL
DraftKings, FanDuel MLB DFS Stacks
New York Mets (vs. Erick Fedde - STL)
The New York Mets will be a top play this afternoon, facing Fedde. Through 32 2/3 IP of work this season, Fedde has posted a 4.68 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP. He has struck out just 17 batters.
Under the hood, he has generated a 4.84 xERA and a .274 xBA, which suggests he should see even more regression. His primary pitch, his sinker, has generated a high .415 xSLG.
Favorite Hitter Combo: Alonso, Lindor, McNeil, Acuna
Boston Red Sox (vs. Chris Paddack - MIN)
Paddack has begun to turn the corner after a disastrous start, but should still be targeted this afternoon. The 29-year-old still sits in the 36th percentile in xERA and 46th percentile in xBA. In addition, he has only generated groundballs at a modest 40.2% rate.
He leans heavily on his fastball (51.4% usage), which should set the Red Sox up for success. This pitch has a .367 SLG, which is much lower than its .440 xSLG, suggesting regression should be on the way.
Favorite Hitter Combo: Devers, Bregman, Duran
Kansas City Royals (vs. Kyle Gibson - BAL)
Gibson had a rough season debut and could have another disappointing showing this afternoon. In his debut, Gibson allowed nine runs and 11 hits across three 2/3 IP of work. Last season, Gibson posted a 4.24 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP across 169 2/3 IP.
His primary pitch, his sinker, has generated a high .702 xSLG with a .513 xwOBA.
Favorite Hitter Combo: Witt, Canha, Pasquantino, Perez
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