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Today's free MLB betting picks, odds, predictions for the Mets vs. Nationals on April 27, 2023. Our best bets and top picks for moneylines, run totals and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, April 27th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Nationals vs. Mets
The Nationals take on the Mets on Thursday, April 27th 2023 at Citi Field, New York. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Washington Nationals (9-14) vs. New York Mets (14-11)
- Date: Thursday, April 27th 2023
- Time: 7:10 ET
- Venue: Citi Field, New York
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Nationals vs. Mets
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Washington Nationals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against New York, the Nationals have a record of just 9-14. This places the team 5th in the NL East. In their 12 games as the road team, Washington has put together a record of 7-5.
Washington has been the betting underdog in every game this season but have an above .500 record against the runline at 14-9. The team has an over/under record of 10-12, with an average betting line of 9.
The Nationals will send Trevor Williams to the mound with an overall record of 1-1. Through four appearances, Trevor Williams has an ERA of 3.38. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.250). So far, Williams has given up three home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .301. Williams' WHIP of 1.08 comes along with a total of four walks allowed.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Washington, as they are the 27th-ranked scoring team, averaging 3.7 runs per game. Together, the Nationals' offense has the 14th-ranked batting average, at .249. So far, home runs have hard to come by for the team, with just 12 home runs (30th). Up to this point, Washington has been getting on base at a rate of .320, placing them 17th in all of baseball.
New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the New York Mets host the Washington Nationals, they have a record of 14-11, placing them 2nd in the NL East. Heading into play, the Mets have won half of their eight home games, sitting at 4-4.
With an above .500 record against the runline at 13-12, New York has been favored 72.0% of the time this season. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 10-14.
Taking the mound for New York is Joey Lucchesi. Heading into play, he has a mark of 1-0. Lucchesi comes into the game without a single earned run allowed. Opponents have had a tough time against the left-hander, as they are batting just .182 against him. With a WOBA allowed of .224, Joey Lucchesi has not given up a home run so far this year. Lucchesi has a WHIP of .86, with two walks allowed.
New York's offense enters play with the 14th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.5 runs per game. So far, the Mets have combined for a team batting average of .234, placing them 20th in the league. The team's lineup has gone deep a total of 26 times, good for 19th in the league. To date, New York has the MLB's 11th best OBP at .329.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Nationals vs. Mets
Heading into today's matchup between New York and the Nationals, the Mets are the heavy favorite at -234 on the moneyline. New York's implied win probability sits at 70.06%. The MLB predictive model gives New York enough of an edge to bet the Mets to cover the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Mets -1.5
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