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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday, May 1st 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Braves vs. Mets
The Braves take on the Mets on Monday, May 1st 2023 at Citi Field, New York. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves (18-9) vs. New York Mets (15-12)
- Date: Monday, May 1st 2023
- Time: 1:10 ET
- Venue: Citi Field, New York
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Braves vs. Mets
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Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 18-9, the Atlanta Braves travel to take on the New York Mets, ranked 1st in the NL East. So far, Atlanta has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 11-2.
Having been favored in 88.9% of their games, Atlanta has an above .500 record against the runline at 14-13. The team has an over/under record of 16-10, with an average betting line of 9.
Making the start for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, with a record of 3-0. So far, Spencer Strider has put together an outstanding ERA of 1.80. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .136. So far, Strider has given up one home run and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .208. Strider's WHIP of .83 comes along with a total of 11 walks allowed.
On the season, Atlanta boasts the 10th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. The Braves have been able to drive in runs at an above average rate as their team batting average of .255 ranks 11th in the league. So far, Atlanta's lineup has also been able to hit for power, with a total of 41 home runs, which ranks 4th. Atlanta's strong OBP of .335 is 5th best in the league.
New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves, they have a record of 15-12, placing them 2nd in the NL East. The Mets hope to avoid dropping below .500 at home, as they are currently 5-5 at Citi Field.
New York's record vs. the runline is just 13-14 despite being favored 19 times through 27 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 11-15 with an average betting line of 8.
Through five appearances, starting pitcher Denyi Reyes has yet to factor into a decision. So far, Reyes has yet to give up an earned run. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .143. With a WOBA allowed of .180, Denyi Reyes has not given up a home run so far this year. Reyes has a WHIP of .79, with two walks allowed.
New York's offense enters play with the 19th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.5 runs per game. So far, the Mets have combined for a team batting average of .240, placing them 20th in the league. So far, the team is the 21st-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 27 deep shots. Up to this point, New York has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 10th at .332.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Braves vs. Mets
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and the Mets, the Braves are the heavy favorite at -259 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 72.14%. The MLB predictive model gives Atlanta enough of an edge to bet the Braves to cover the runlnie (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Braves -1.5
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