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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday September 11th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Braves vs. Mariners
The Braves take on the Mariners on Sunday September 11th at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves (87-51) vs. Seattle Mariners (77-61)
- Date: Sunday September 11th, 2022
- Time: 4:10 ET
- Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Braves vs. Mariners
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Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 87-51, the Atlanta Braves travel to take on the Seattle Mariners, ranked 1st in the NL East division. In their 67 as the road team, Atlanta has put together a record of 40-27. The Braves are hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to the Mariners by a score of 3-1. Atlanta's overall series record is above .500, sitting at 24-13-7.
Starting for the Braves will be Jake Odorizzi. On the season, he has an overall record of 4-3. Currently, Odorizzi's ERA is 3.75. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .230. So far, Odorizzi has given up just 5 home runs, averaging just 0.75 allowed per 9 innings. Overall, he has notched 46 strikeouts on a K rate of 19.0%. Jake Odorizzi has walked batters at a rate of 7%, placing him near the MLB average.
Atlanta comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.96 runs per game, good for 2nd in the MLB. So far, the team ranks 16th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings of action. Heading into play, the Braves are the 9th unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .253. Per game, the team is averaging 8.63 hits. The team has also been strong in the power department, averaging 1.51 home runs per game, which ranks 2nd. In terms of exit velocity, the team ranks near the top of the league. To date, Atlanta has the MLB's 11th best OBP at .318. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.8%.
Seattle Mariners - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Seattle Mariners host the Atlanta Braves, they have a record of 77-61, placing them 2nd in the AL West division. So far, Seattle has been tough at T-Mobile Park, putting together a mark of 37-31. Seattle will look to tack on another victory as they defeated the Braves by a score of 3-1. So far, the team has won 23 out of their first 44 series, 23-17-4.
Mariners starter Marco Gonzales comes into the game with a record of just 10-13. Compared to other starting pitchers, Gonzales has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 3.98. Marco Gonzales has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.35. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.272). So far, Marco Gonzales has a SLG% allowed .452, including giving up 23 home runs. Heading into the game, Gonzales has struck 13.0% of the batters he's faced.
Seattle's offense comes into this game averaging 4.18 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. In the team's 68 games at home, their run differential is 4. Through 138 games, the Mariners have the 26th ranked batting average at .230. This includes batting .206 over their last 3 games. Despite having a low batting average, they are one of the best power-hitting lineups in the league, averaging 1.19 home runs per game (10th). Up to this point, they have one of the lowest hard-hit rates in the MLB at 36%. Seattle's OBP of .313 places them 17th in the league. While their current wOBA of .308 is similar to the league average.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Braves vs. Mariners
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and Seattle, the Braves are the betting favorite at -132 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 56.9%. The MLB predictive model shows Atlanta picking up the win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Braves on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Braves Runline
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