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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cleveland Guardians, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday, July 23rd 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Guardians
The Phillies take on the Guardians on Sunday, July 23rd 2023 at Progressive Field, Cleveland. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (52-46) vs. Cleveland Guardians (49-49)
- Date: Sunday, July 23rd 2023
- Time: 1:40 ET
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Guardians
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 52-46, the Philadelphia Phillies travel to take on the Cleveland Guardians, ranked 2nd in the NL East. The Phillies hope to avoid dropping below .500 when playing on the road, as they are currently 26-27.
Despite being the favorite in 61 of their 98 games, Philadelphia's record against the runline is only 40-58. The team's over/under record comes in at 40-51 with an average betting line of 9.
Philadelphia pitcher Aaron Nola gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 9-6. Currently, Aaron Nola has an ERA of 4.27. Currently, opponents are batting just .222 against the right-hander. Aaron Nola has given up 21 home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .286. With a total of 30 walks, Nola has a WHIP of 1.08.
Philadelphia's offense enters play with the 17th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Phillies' offense comes into this matchup ranked 8th in the league, at .256. In terms of home runs, Philadelphia ranks 17th, with a total of 109 home runs. Throughout the season, Philadelphia is ranked 13th in OBP (.319).
Cleveland Guardians - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Cleveland Guardians take on the Philadelphia looking to move above .500. Their record of 49-49 ranks 2nd in the AL Central. Through 48 home contests, the Guardians come in with a mark of 26-22 at Progressive Field.
In their 98 games, Cleveland has been favored in 53 of them and covered the runline in half, with a record of 49-49. The team has an over/under record of 43-53, with an average betting line of 8.
Cleveland starter Xzavion Curry takes the mound with an overall record of 3-0. Xzavion Curry heads into action with an ERA of just 2.86. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .231 against him. Opposing hitters have gone deep five times against Xzavion Curry, who has a WOBA allowed of .275. Curry's WHIP of 1.13 comes along with a total of 11 walks allowed.
Cleveland's' offense comes into this game averaging just 4.2 runs per game, placing them 26th in the MLB. Despite their mediocre scoring average, the Guardians have combined to hit .253, which ranks 10th in the league. In total the team has hit just 71 home runs, placing them 27th in the league. Cleveland's OBP of .315 places them 16th in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Guardians
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and Cleveland, the Phillies are the betting favorite at -144 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 59.02%. Led by a strong offensive performance, the MLB predictive model recommends taking the Phillies on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Moneyline -144
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