Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

Free NCAA Tournament Final Four Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (4/1/23)

NCAA Betting Picks

I went 0-for the Elite Eight last weekend, so that was more than a little disappointing. However, just seeing a Final Four with three first-timers and two mid-majors makes it worth it.

These four teams are a combined 15-1 against the spread so far in the NCAA Tournament. The only failed cover was FAU against Fairleigh Dickinson (you haven't forgotten about them already, have you?). Something has to give. With all of the ones, twos, and threes unceremoniously disposed of, we have a four, two five seeds, and a nine-seed. This is going to be a hell of a weekend!

In this article, you can find some of my favorite picks for the Final Four on Saturday, April 1, 2023. You can access all of our latest sports betting promos, and sign up for a sportsbook here.

Featured Promo: Our brand NEW exclusive Props Optimizers for Prop Bets and Prizepicks DFS Props are available for 50% off for a very limited time. Use discount code PROPS and win big with RotoBaller's prop picks today. SIGN UP NOW


(5) San Diego State vs. (9) Florida Atlantic

The Aztecs got this far with their brutal defense despite leading scorer Matt Bradley being more hindrance than help. How long can they survive like this? That's a fair question, but with the Aztecs only allowing about 55 points per contest in the NCAA Tournament, they really don't need Bradley's scoring with guys like Lamont Butler and Nathan Mensah picking up some slack each.

FAU operates like a hockey team. They go 9-10 guys deep and often replace 3-5 guys at a time. They like to run, space the court, and have really good guard play. That makes them a DFS nightmare, but it also makes them a really tough team to plan for. SDSU is really going to get after them, but the Owls are used to going deep into their bench anyway. They'll counter the stiff SDSU defense with a steady rotation of fresh bodies off the bench, all of whom have extensive experience.

The wild card here is Matt Bradley. He has scored in single digits in each of the last two games and has been awful from the floor, making just three of his 17 shot attempts. He had a good game in the opener against Charleston but has been conspicuously absent since. FAU is another team that can make him disappear. They'll throw a steady stream of defenders at him to keep him frustrated.

The Owls would like to get the Aztecs running more than they like, but with the brand of defense that the Aztecs play, I think this game slows down even if it starts fast. The Aztecs were able to slow down a Creighton team that routinely scored in the 80s in the Regional Final. That's not conducive to the Owls' upset bid, but I really have doubts that SDSU can continue to win without Bradley's help, especially against a deep team like this.

The Pick: Florida Atlantic ML (+130); u131.5 (-110)


(4) Connecticut vs. (5) Miami 

Back around Christmas, if you asked any college basketball fan who the best team in the country was, a large majority would have said UConn without hesitation. Now if you ask any college basketball fan who is going to win the title, it's UConn, also without hesitation. Strange how that works.

UConn's swoon in January in February was fueled by Adama Sanogo perpetually being in foul trouble and Andre Jackson's offensive struggles carrying over into his normally great defense. Those problems seem a distant memory now. UConn just annihilated a Gonzaga team that many had winning this region. I'm contrarian, so I would rather see another team win, but that's going to be a tough ask.

The only team that UConn really struggled with down the stretch was Marquette. They have three really good guards and some size in the middle. They went at Sanogo, frustrated him, and got him into foul trouble before ultimately fouling him out in two of the three meetings. Hey, I know of another team with three really good guards and some size in the middle. Unfortunately for the Huskies, it is their opponent in the National Semifinal.

Norchad Omier's leg is fine after a minor tweak in the Sweet 16 game. He's not the kind of bulk that they really need to counteract Sanogo, but he plays bigger than the 6'7"/250 that he's listed at.

Miami took an already good team and added Omier from Arkansas State and gave an (allegedly) ungodly NIL deal to Nijel Pack to lure him from the Little Apple. That has resulted in a Final Four berth. The main question I have here is if Miami will fold if UConn puts them down big. Both Arkansas and Gonzaga proved to be paper tigers. What is Miami made of?

Considering the similarities to Marquette, Miami has at least a puncher's chance here. They don't have any one player that can turn the scoreboard into a pinball machine like Tyler Kolek, but if you don't watch Jordan Miller, he can come close. If Miami gets punched in the mouth, I don't think they fold. Just look at the huge comeback against a really good Texas team.

I can see a small hedge on the Miami ML because I wouldn't be that shocked if it happened. It would not be a primary bet of mine though.

The Pick: Miami +5.5 (-110); UConn to win title (-130)

Enjoy the games and thanks for checking out my picks! Good luck!

More March Madness Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts


Detroit Pistons5 mins ago

Stephen Silas Joins Pistons Coaching Staff
Tyler Herro11 mins ago

Still Experiencing Soreness
Blake Snell41 mins ago

Aims To Build On First Scoreless Start Of The Year
Dalvin Cook43 mins ago

Dolphins Almost Had Trade Complete For Dalvin Cook In March
AJ Smith-Shawver45 mins ago

Could Start This Weekend
DeAndre Hopkins58 mins ago

To Cowboys "Unlikely"
Enrique Hernández59 mins ago

Enrique Hernandez To Play Center Field Against Lefties
Vidal Bruján1 hour ago

Vidal Brujan Called Up And Starting Against Red Sox
Randy Arozarena1 hour ago

Wander Franco Returns, Randy Arozarena Resting Monday
Michael Soroka1 hour ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Mike Gesicki1 hour ago

Working With Wide Receivers At OTAs
Brandon Lowe1 hour ago

Rays Put Brandon Lowe On 10-Day Injured List
Zamir White1 hour ago

Has Lost Weight, Added Speed This Offseason
Trevor Story1 hour ago

Could Return Earlier Than Expected
Omar Narváez2 hours ago

Mets Reinstate Omar Narvaez From Injured List
Kevin Harvick3 hours ago

Rounds Out The Top 10 At Gateway
Tomás Nido3 hours ago

Tomas Nido Expected To Be Designated For Assignment
Ryan Brasier3 hours ago

Dodgers Sign Ryan Brasier To Minor-League Deal
Andrés Muñoz3 hours ago

Andres Munoz Tosses Another Scoreless Inning
Trevor Rogers3 hours ago

Throws Five Shutout Innings In Rehab Start
Luis Urías3 hours ago

Luis Urias Looks Ready To Return
José Alvarado3 hours ago

Jose Alvarado Likely To Make One More Rehab Appearance
Michael McDowell3 hours ago

Scores Best Finish In Two Months
Adam Duvall3 hours ago

Thinks He'll Return Friday
Christian Arroyo3 hours ago

Activated, Raimel Tapia Designated For Assignment
Breshad Perriman4 hours ago

Colts Sign Breshad Perriman
Las Vegas Raiders4 hours ago

Raiders Not Worried About QB Situation
Carolina Panthers4 hours ago

Jaycee Horn A Full Participant This Spring
Buffalo Bills4 hours ago

Shane Ray Hoping To Revive His Career
Buffalo Bills4 hours ago

Bills Add Leonard Floyd
Cole Turner4 hours ago

Impressing This Offseason
Carson Hocevar4 hours ago

Strong Start Ends Early
Jonathan Williams4 hours ago

At No. 3 On Depth Chart
Chris Rodriguez Jr.5 hours ago

Standing Out This Offseason
Daniel Suarez5 hours ago

Runs A Strong Race At Gateway
Ryan Blaney5 hours ago

Building Momentum
Miguel Amaya6 hours ago

Hits First Big-League Home Run
Marcus Stroman6 hours ago

Delivers Another Strong Performance
Bobby Miller6 hours ago

Tosses Six Scoreless Frames
Heston Kjerstad6 hours ago

Promoted To Triple-A
Martin Truex Jr16 hours ago

. Finishes Where He Began Sunday
Kyle Larson16 hours ago

Eventually Moved Up To Fourth On Sunday
Joey Logano16 hours ago

Finds Way To Third Place On Sunday
Denny Hamlin16 hours ago

Takes Second Place At Gateway
Kyle Busch16 hours ago

Wins At Gateway For Third Win Of Season
Cedrick Wilson Jr.19 hours ago

Wants To Remain With Dolphins
Kadarius Toney19 hours ago

Receiving Praise From Coaches
Jahmyr Gibbs19 hours ago

Getting First-Team Reps
Pat Freiermuth19 hours ago

Practicing In OTAs
Kai Kara-France20 hours ago

Suffers Controversial Split-Decision Loss
Alex Caceres20 hours ago

Pulls Off Action-Packed Co-Main-Event Win
Torrey Craig21 hours ago

Knicks May Pursue Torrey Craig In Offseason
Kevin Love21 hours ago

Expected To Start Sunday
Grant Williams21 hours ago

Teams Expected To Pursue Grant Williams In Offseason
Evan Fournier21 hours ago

Spurs Reportedly Interested In Evan Fournier
Caleb Martin21 hours ago

Will Play Sunday Night
Anthony Duclair1 day ago

Scores Fourth Playoff Goal
Jack Eichel1 day ago

Opens Stanley Cup Finals With Two Assists
Jonathan Marchessault1 day ago

Extends Point Streak With Another Goal
Randall Cobb1 day ago

Expected To Be Included In Rotation
CeeDee Lamb1 day ago

Not Distracted By Extension Concerns
Jim Miller1 day ago

Adds To All-Time Wins Total With Big Knockout
Tim Elliott1 day ago

Dominates To Take Decision Win
Karine Silva1 day ago

Locks In Submission For First-Round Win
MMA1 day ago

Abubakar Nurmagomedov Takes Loss In Close Decision Call
Denny Hamlin1 day ago

The Favorite To Win Gateway After Strong Practice
Ross Chastain1 day ago

Really Happy With His Chances At Gateway
NASCAR1 day ago

B.J. McLeod Does Not Start Last This Week
Ty Dillon1 day ago

Starts 33rd At Gateway On Sunday
Gray Gaulding1 day ago

Debuts At Gateway On Sunday
Noah Gragson1 day ago

Begins 32nd For Gateway On Sunday
Ryan Preece1 day ago

May Have Long Afternoon Sunday
Erik Jones1 day ago

Another DFS Possibility For Gateway
Justin Haley1 day ago

Can Move Up On Sunday Again
NASCAR1 day ago

Bubba Wallace Needs To Keep It Together Sunday
Austin Dillon1 day ago

Mired In Middle Of Pack Sunday
Gabe Vincent1 day ago

Good To Go For Game 2
Caleb Martin1 day ago

Questionable For Sunday Night
Bam Adebayo1 day ago

Available For Game 2
Tyler Herro1 day ago

Remains Out On Sunday Night
Tom Brady2 days ago

"Certain" He'll Remain Retired
Buffalo Bills2 days ago

Ed Oliver Agrees To Four-Year Deal With Buffalo
Justin Fields2 days ago

Was Last Year's Most Explosive Rusher
Julius Randle2 days ago

Has Ankle Surgery
Domantas Sabonis2 days ago

Not Ruling Out Surgery To Fix Thumb Issue
Danuel House2 days ago

Jr. Exercises Player Option
Phoenix Suns2 days ago

Suns Set To Hire Frank Vogel As New Head Coach
Amir Albazi3 days ago

Can Earn Biggest Victory Of His Career
Daniel Pineda3 days ago

Set For Co-Main-Event Matchup
Jared Gordon3 days ago

Jesse Butler Replaces Injured Jared Gordon
Victor Altamirano3 days ago

Set For Dangerous Task On Saturday
Ketlen Souza3 days ago

Set For UFC Debut
Muhammad Naimov3 days ago

Steps Into Octagon For Debut This Saturday
James Harden3 days ago

Nick Nurse Hopes James Harden Will Return To Philadelphia
Aleksej Pokusevski3 days ago

Suffers Right Humerus Fracture
Jimmy Butler3 days ago

Struggles In Game 1 Loss To Denver
Bam Adebayo3 days ago

Leads Miami With 26 Points In Losing Effort
Jamal Murray3 days ago

Secures A Double-Double In Game 1 Win
Nikola Jokic3 days ago

Notches Another Triple-Double In Game 1
Max Domi4 days ago

Hopes To Remain In Dallas
Eetu Luostarinen4 days ago

Expected To Be Available For Game 1
Patrick Kane4 days ago

Out 4-6 Months After Hip Surgery
Kai Kara-France5 days ago

Hoping To Secure Top Position With Main-Event Win
Alex Caceres5 days ago

Set For Explosive Co-Main-Event Bout
Jim Miller5 days ago

Looks To Add To All-Time UFC Wins Total
Tim Elliott5 days ago

Veteran Tim Elliott Set For 18th UFC Bout
Karine Silva5 days ago

Can Continue Flyweight Climb Saturday
Jamie Mullarkey5 days ago

Looking For Third Straight Victory
PGA5 days ago

Matthew Fitzpatrick Looks To Rebound At Memorial
Brendon Todd5 days ago

Playing Well Heading To Ohio
Christiaan Bezuidenhout5 days ago

A Volatile Option This Week
Tom Hoge5 days ago

Playing Well But Tough To Trust At The Memorial
PGA5 days ago

K.H. Lee Looks To Extend Consecutive Cuts-Made Streak
PGA5 days ago

Byeong Hun An Continues Playing Well Heading To The Memorial
Billy Horschel5 days ago

To Defend Title At The Memorial
Keith Mitchell5 days ago

Hoping To Replicate Last Year’s Performance
PGA5 days ago

Cameron Davis A Risky Play At The Memorial
Keegan Bradley5 days ago

A Volatile Play Heading To Muirfield Village
5 days ago

Tom Kim Making Debut At The Memorial
Justin Thomas5 days ago

To Contend At The Memorial
Rory McIlroy5 days ago

Looks To Keep Momentum Going At The Memorial
Viktor Hovland5 days ago

In Search Of Signature Win
Xander Schauffele5 days ago

A Favorite At The Memorial
Thomas Detry5 days ago

Set For Memorial Debut
Kurt Kitayama5 days ago

A Boom-Or-Bust Option At Muirfield
Corey Conners5 days ago

Should Stay Hot At Muirfield
Cameron Young5 days ago

Continues To Struggle
Tyrrell Hatton5 days ago

Continues To Stay Hot
Patrick Rodgers5 days ago

Continues To Struggle On Approach