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Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the 2025 WM Phoenix Open. His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.
Welcome everyone to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 WM Phoenix Open. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.
New starting this year -- if you would like to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version of including more picks, data, analysis and PGA DFS models.
Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'
Featured Promo! Save 30% on any Premium Pass using discount code NEW. Win more with our DFS, Betting and Season-Long Pass, get expert tools and advice from proven winners! GAIN ACCESS
PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - WM Phoenix Open
We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:
PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)
- A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market.
- The WM Phoenix Open
Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)
- Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
- All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
- In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
- Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
- Units: +340.903 Units
- All Totals Are Entering 2025
- Click here to see an example
In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)
- Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.
In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4
- Lifetime Record:
- (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Click here to see an example
First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles
- Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
- Click here to see an example
One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)
- 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
- Click here to see an example
Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends
- We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.
- Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.
- $224.99 per year - Sign up today for all the tools I provide!
- You can also try things out for $14.99 per week or get the complete PGA Platinum package from everyone on the team for $299.99. I believe that deal is one of the best offers in the space since it includes top-notch work from the likes of Joe Nicely, Byron Lindeque, others, and myself!
You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!
Let's Look at the Stats
| Stat | TPC Scottsdale | PGA Average |
| Driving Distance | 295 | 283 |
| Driving Accuracy | 59% | 61% |
| GIR Percentage | 67% | 65% |
| Scrambling Percentage | 59% | 57% |
| Average Three-Putts Per Round | 0.55 | 0.54 |
Field
Field Size: 132
Cut: Top 65 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 8
Last Five Winners of the WM Phoenix Open
| 2024 | Nick Taylor | -21 |
| 2023 | Scottie Scheffler | -19 |
| 2022 | Scottie Scheffler | -16 |
| 2021 | Brooks Koepka | -19 |
| 2020 | Webb Simpson | -17 |
Expected Cut-Line at the WM Phoenix Open
| 2024 | -1 |
| 2023 | 1 |
| 2022 | -1 |
| 2021 | -2 |
| 2020 | 0 |
TPC Scottsdale
7,266 Yards - Par 71 - Greens Bermuda (Overseeded) - Not True Bermuda
You can find my premium course breakdown here
You can find Ian McNeil's free breakdown here
First Look Into Outright Bets
| Player | Price |
| Kurt Kitayama | 66 |
| Gary Woodland | 110 |
| Robert Macintyre | 60 |
Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)
We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.
Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?
Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!
Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo
— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023
Favorite Targets Early On Monday
Robert MacIntyre ($9,000)
Robert MacIntyre has been quiet so far this year after posting finishes of 40th, 53rd, and 15th, but the data tells a much more intriguing story if we believe TPC Scottsdale is a pure putting venue that neutralizes returns with the flat stick. The 28-year-old is averaging exactly two strokes off the tee and two strokes approach during those three appearances to yield a ball-striking expectation of four shots to the field.
The unique part of that answer is despite McIntyre's cold streak with the putter, my model still ranks the Scottish golfer inside the top 40 of this field for putting projection over a two-year span.
If we see that part of his game return, the sky is the limit for the 28-year-old to add to his third-place 'Win Profile' and seventh-place Weighted Scoring marks for TPC Scottsdale this week.
Hideki Matsuyama ($10,200)
It is funny because this was once the spot where everyone played Hideki Matsuyama. That said, after a 22nd, 29th, 8th, 42nd and 16th here in the past five years (completely fine) and horrible ball-striking metrics last week in Northern California (not as ideal), I believe he will be the overlooked player from the high-end group.
Let's not forget that Matsuyama rendered finishes here of fourth, second, first and first between 2014-2017.
Ownership is going to be the massive decider for his playability, but the former major champion is an ideal TPC fit who has been thriving with his tee-to-green game before last week's mishap.
Gary Woodland ($7,100)
Recent course history will turn some off of Gary Woodland at TPC Scottsdale, but we are still talking about the 2018 champion of this event and someone who has gained off-the-tee in nine consecutive starts.
That driving potential is what delivers high-end expectations for those who have delivered past success at the venue and could prove to be beneficial for Woodland, who has found something with his ball-striking since the fall.
Woodland ranked in the top 15 for five of the six statistical metrics I examined this week. The only one lacking was 'TPC Production,' which can be somewhat negated when trying to find high-end potential when you realize he has won here in the past.
Win More With RotoBaller
Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.
Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:
If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU
— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020
Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.Congrats @tenndolly2 ???
— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020
Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt
