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DFS NASCAR Advanced Stats for DraftKings, FanDuel: Pala Casino 400 Lineup Picks

Our NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews feature a combination of statistical package highlights from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller Cup Series Research Station. Loop Data, which are the advanced statistics that are electronically recorded by NASCAR to more accurately illustrate how drivers perform, are showcased here as very relevant indicators.

Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR to tell us which drivers have performed the best at particular tracks. They determine how a driver actually fares without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems. The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats and Loop Data.

If you want to work on your fantasy NASCAR setup with all the best statistical tools, the Research Station is your numerical garage for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup building. Get access to the Research Station with the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for an additional discount. We also have Research Stations for the Xfinity and Truck Series.

 

Pala Casino 400: By The DFS Numbers

Drivers are listed in order of preference for lineup usage overall. Research Station indicators are in italics. All Loop Data stats are dating back to 2019 at Auto Club Speedway, covering the last three Cup series events unless otherwise noted. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what we recommend should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds.

Chase Elliott: Fourth in Green Passes (362). Second-Best Implied Odds to win (8%). Second-best Implied Odds to finish in the Top 5 (30%). Projected to score the third-most Fantasy Points (54.65). Starts 33rd and should be the most widely rostered driver.

Kyle Busch: Third in Driver Rating (105.4) since 2019 and second all-time  (109.0). Leads in Fastest Laps Run (76) and Laps Led (134). First among Closers (average spots gained in the final 10 percent of the last three ACS races, 4.3).

Projected to score the most Fantasy Points (55.30). He has three wins and four top three finishes in his last six ACS starts. Tied for the most Fantasy Points Gained vs. similar drivers in recent ACS races (22.0). Starts 21st and may be the second-most widely rostered driver.

Kyle Larson: Best Implied Odds to win (10%). Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points (55.15). He is a viable play for quality Place Differential output from the 15th starting position.

Tyler Reddick: Fourth in Driver Rating (100.3) since 2019 and third all-time (100.3). Third in Laps Led (90). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points (60.05). Best Driver Rating Gained vs. similar drivers in Recent ACS races (15.3). Best Average Position vs. Actual Finish (6.0). Starts 35th and is a prime play for Place Differential and overall performance.

William Byron: Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $9000 on DraftKings (51.30). He is a strong play for Place Differential production from the 32nd starting position.

Joey Logano: Second in Driver Rating (106.0). He has five Top 5 finishes in his last seven ACS starts.

Ryan Blaney: Leads in Driver Rating (107.3). Leads in Quality Passes (passes of cars in the top 15 while under Green Flag Conditions, 225). Third in Fastest Laps Run (59).

Denny Hamlin: Second in Quality Passes (213) and third in Green Flag Passes (373).

Erik Jones: Second in Green Flag Passes (375) and third in Quality Passes (202). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $8000 on DraftKings (52.45). Best Implied Odds to finish in the Top 5 among drivers below $8000 (13%). Jones is a terrific play for Place Differential points from the 34th starting position.

Alex Bowman: Second in Fastest Laps Run (66) and Laps Led (110). Best Implied Odds to finish in the Top 5 among drivers below $8500 (19%).

Key stats for top drivers on the DraftKings salary ladder from the RotoBaller Research Station.

Martin Truex Jr.: Leads in Green Flag Passes (399). He has two Top 4 finishes in his last three ACS starts.

Chase Briscoe:  Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points of any driver below $8000 on DraftKings (45.50). Tied for the most Fantasy Points Gained vs. similar drivers in recent ACS races (22.0). Second-best Driver Rating Gained vs. similar drivers in Recent ACS races (11.8). Briscoe is a fine Place Differential option from the 31st starting position.

Brad Keselowski: Third Among Closers (2.7 spots gained). He has four Top 4 finishes in his last five ACS starts.

Kevin Harvick: He has three Top 4 finishes in his last five ACS starts.

Ryan Preece: Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $7000 on DraftKings (36.90). Preece is a top bargain play as he starts from the 27th position on the grid.

Austin Dillon: Fifth in Green Flag Passes (348). Dillon is worth consideration for Place Differential potential, as he starts 28th.

Aric Almirola: Fifth in Quality Passes (191) and second among Closers (4.0 spots gained).

Scott Engel's fantasy and betting analysis is also featured at The Game Day.

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks

More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller!
Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

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Nikolaj Ehlers

Scores Lone Jets Goal Tuesday
Patrick Reed

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Thomas Harley

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Jason Robertson

Grabs First Postseason Point
Maverick McNealy

A Longer Shot To Contend At PGA Championship
Rickie Fowler

Always A Mixed Bag At Quail Hollow
Mikael Granlund

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Cam Davis

Slowly Recovering From Cold March And Masters
Jacob Bridgeman

Looking For Fifth Top 10 Of 2025 At Quail Hollow
Javier Báez

Javier Baez Hits Two Homers With Walk-Off Tuesday
Josh Jung

Hits Two Homers, Plates Four Tuesday
Roki Sasaki

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Eyeing Third Major Victory
Corey Conners

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Clayton Kershaw

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Roki Sasaki

Could Be A Candidate For The IL
Sam Hauser

Expected To Play On Wednesday Night
Evan Rodrigues

Practices On Tuesday
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Raiders Sign Rookie Darien Porter
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Misses Practice Due To Illness
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Could Be Available For Conference Finals
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Connor Hellebuyck

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Jason Foley

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Rays Place Yandy Diaz On Restricted List Due To Passport Issue
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Won't Come Off Injured List On Tuesday
MLB

Cardinals-Phillies Postponed On Tuesday
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Twins-Orioles Game Postponed On Tuesday
Thomas Morstead

Jets Releasing Thomas Morstead
Gregory Junior

Texans Release Gregory Junior
Jameson Williams

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Cam Ward

Titans Adding Familiar Concepts To Offense For Cam Ward
Xavier Restrepo

Has "Uphill Climb" To Make Active Roster
Trevor Etienne

Officially Signs With Panthers
Rasul Douglas

 Visiting With Seahawks
NFL

Commanders-Dolphins To Square Off In Spain In 2025
Minnesota Vikings

Vikings To Play Back-To-Back International Games In Different Countries
George Pickens

Should See More One-On-One Coverage In Dallas
Cincinnati Bengals

Trey Hendrickson Says He Won't Play Without A New Contract
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Trey Hendrickson Attends Practice Tuesday, Not In Uniform
New Orleans Saints

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Phillip Dorsett II

Phillip Dorsett Cut Loose By Falcons
Alex Ovechkin

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Andrei Svechnikov

Pots Seventh Postseason Goal
Taylor Hall

Has Two-Point Night In Game 4 Against Capitals
Evander Kane

Bags Two Points In Monday's Win
Adam Henrique

Nets Two Goals In Game 4 Win
Stuart Skinner

Posts 23-Save Shutout
Jonathan Kuminga

Leads Warriors in Scoring Monday Night
Anthony Edwards

Scores 30 Points With Six Triples In Game 4 Win
Julius Randle

Continues To Excel Against Warriors
Mikal Bridges

Does It All For Knicks In Game 4 Victory
Jalen Brunson

Leads Knicks With 39 Points Monday Night
Jayson Tatum

To Undergo MRI Tuesday
José Ramírez

Jose Ramirez Steals Three Bases Monday Against Milwaukee
Taylor Ward

Crushes Game-Winning Grand Slam
Austin Wells

Homers And Drives In Four Runs On Monday
Trent Grisham

Goes Yard Twice In Yankees Win
Corbin Carroll

Goes Yard Twice In Win Over San Francisco
Ethan Salas

Likely Out Until July With Lower-Back Stress Reaction
Scottie Scheffler

Making First Individual Start At Quail Hollow
Brooks Koepka

An Afterthought At PGA Championship
Malik Taylor

Lions Sign Luke Deal, Malik Taylor
Michael Kim

Looks To Start At Quail Hollow After Early Exit In Philly
Drake Dabney

Titans Sign TJ Sheffield, Drake Dabney
Cole Fotheringham

Broncos Sign Cole Fotheringham, Kyrese White
Stephan Jaeger

Looking To Ride Wave Of Momentum Into PGA Championship
Tommy Fleetwood

A Favorite To Contend At PGA Championship
Patrick Cantlay

Could Turn His Tides At Quail Hollow
Sam Hauser

Remains Out On Monday
Donovan Mitchell

Listed As Questionable For Game 5
Ryan Leonard

To Re-Enter Capitals Lineup Monday
Seth Jarvis

Rejoins Top Line Monday
Jack Della Maddalena

Becomes The New UFC Welterweight Champion
Belal Muhammad

Outclassed At UFC 315
Manon Fiorot

Drops Decision At UFC 315
Valentina Shevchenko

Defends Title
José Aldo

Jose Aldo Retires After UFC 315 Loss
Aiemann Zahabi

Extends His Win Streak
Alexa Grasso

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Alexa Grasso

Natalia Silva Outclasses Alexa Grasso
Kyle Prepolec

Submitted In His UFC Return
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Benoit Saint-Denis Gets Back In The Win Column
Viktor Hovland

Finishes Tied For 54th At Truist Championship
Sepp Straka

Wins The Truist Championship
Xander Schauffele

Finishes Tied For 11th At Truist Championship
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Finishes Tied For Second At Truist Championship
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Finishes Tied For 54th At ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic
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Finishes Tied For 46th At Truist Championship
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Finishes Tied For 15th At Truist Championship
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Holds Strong For A Top-Five Finish At Kansas
William Byron

Struggles At Kansas With An Underwhelming Finish
Chase Briscoe

Scores A New Career-Best Cup Finish At Kansas
Denny Hamlin

Mechanical Issues Ruin Denny Hamlin's Promising Kansas Performance
Alex Bowman

Puts Together A Strong Top-Five Finish At Kansas
Ryan Preece

Earns His First Career Top-10 Finish At Kansas
Christopher Bell

Finishes Second In Otherwise Subpar Day For Toyota
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Has Decent Run At Kansas, But Teammates Outperform Him
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Not On The Injury Report For Game 4
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Remains Out On Monday, As Expected
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Should Be Fast At Kansas
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Has Been Phenomenal At Kansas in Next Gen Car
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Expect Ryan Blaney To Obtain Another Quality Kansas Finish
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May Be One To Watch At Kansas
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May Be A Great And Sneaky DFS Pick For Kansas
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Ready To Play Friday
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Returns Friday
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Officially Available Friday
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Looks To Become The New Champion
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Returns At UFC 315
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Set For UFC 315 Main-Card Opener
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Unsure When He Can Return From Injury
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Iffy For Friday
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