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Daytona Duel Race No. 1 NASCAR Algorithm-Predicted Finishing Order

Kyle Busch - NASCAR DFS Picks, Betting Picks, Daily Fantasy NASCAR

Jordan McAbee's Best Bets and daily fantasy NASCAR DFS algorithm-predicted finishing order for DraftKings for the 2025 Duel Race No. 1 at Daytona International Speedway.

All other NASCAR Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Be sure to join the Discord (https://discord.gg/kSvdUNxjMY) to join in on the fun and discussion.

We're inching closer and closer to The Great American Race on Sunday, but before we can get to this year's Daytona 500, we need to set the starting lineup.

The Daytona 500 is unique in that the starting lineup isn't set by traditional qualifying methods. Instead, the front row was set on Wednesday night, with Chase Briscoe winning the pole for Sunday's race while Austin Cindric ended up second-fastest.

Editor's Note: Win more with our NASCAR DFS Premium Pass! Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order. Get VIP access to our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station and Cheat Sheets for NASCAR Cup, Xfinity and Trucks contests. Join in on the fun with our other NASCAR DFS winners! Go Premium, Win More!

Those two drivers will start on the pole for the two Duel races on Thursday evening, with the 45-car field split into two. The finishing order of Duel No. 1 will determine the inside row starting positions for The Great American Race, and the top-finishing "Open" driver will lock their spot into Sunday's race.

 

Free Preview Weekend for NASCAR Premium Content

This Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order post, my industry-leading Betting Picks, as well as my DraftKings Projections and Picks article are typically reserved for Premium RotoBaller subscribers, but we have decided to make these FREE for the two Duel races this week.

Be sure to take advantage of 35% off premium NASCAR subscriptions before the Daytona 500 by using code JORDAN25 when signing up! You can click here to join in on the winning!

 

How The Algorithm Works & Important Stats

There are quite a few statistics that go into the algorithm formula, including recent performance both overall and at this week's track, specifically, similar track performance, projected strength of the car, practice speeds, starting position, and a few other variables.

All of these numbers are used by the algorithm to compute a "Power Index" number for each driver.

The higher the Power Index number, the faster that driver is expected to be during the race. All of the drivers are then ranked based on their Power Index number to achieve the predicted finishing order of that event.

 

Daytona Duel No. 1 Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order

Rank Driver Power Index
1. Kyle Busch 17.59
2. Chase Elliott 16.40
3. Bubba Wallace 15.96
4. William Byron 15.44
5. Tyler Reddick 14.69
6. Ross Chastain 13.87
7. Martin Truex Jr 12.18
8. Ty Gibbs 11.76
9. Chase Briscoe 10.64
10. AJ Allmendinger 10.36
11. Ryan Preece 10.35
12. Austin Dillon 09.72
13. Josh Berry 09.46
14. Michael McDowell 09.03
15. Justin Haley 08.17
16. Carson Hocevar 07.08
17. Ricky Stenhouse Jr 06.76
18. Zane Smith 06.44
19. Ty Dillon 06.23
20. Justin Allgaier 04.56
21. Helio Castroneves 04.11
22. JJ Yeley 03.02
23. Chandler Smith 01.15

Don't forget to join the Discord (https://discord.gg/kSvdUNxjMY) to join in on the fun and discussion this NASCAR season.

 

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks


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