BALLER MOVE: Target in drafts ~pick 173
CURRENT ADP: ~195
ANALYSIS: In Chicago Cubs infielder/outfielder Christopher Morel's second season in the bigs, his full power potential was put on display, belting 26 HRs in just 388 ABs with an elite 24.8% HR/FB%, which was 11th best in all of baseball in 2023.
The 24-year-old's 95th percentile Barrel% of 15.9% is also elite and forecasts another season of power to come in 2024. With his big authoritative hack also comes lots of swing-and-miss, too, with a 65.6% Contact%, 17.1% SwStr%, 37.0% Whiff%, and 31.0% K%. Despite that, the righty was able to maintain a BB% of 8.4%, which is right around the league average and tallied a .347 wOBA with a 119 wRC+ for the year.
ATC projections call for a .242-26-73-72-10 line in 2024 over 479 ABs (129 G). The versatile player started games at three different IF positions in 2023 (2B, 3B, SS) and all three OF spots, in addition to starting most of the time at DH. If that's able to get him in the lineup more than his projection suggests, then he could easily return value at his current at his consensus ADP around pick 195.
His RotoBaller rank of 173 indicates managers, especially homer-needy ones, should scoop him up earlier than his ADP.
No doubt about this homer from Christopher Morel! pic.twitter.com/JeVcnABPiX
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) March 16, 2024
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