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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday, May 5th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Orioles vs. Braves
The Orioles take on the Braves on Friday, May 5th 2023 at Truist Park, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles (21-10) vs. Atlanta Braves (22-10)
- Date: Friday, May 5th 2023
- Time: 7:20 ET
- Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Orioles vs. Braves
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Baltimore Orioles - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Baltimore Orioles enter play ranked 2nd in the AL East, with an overall record of 21-10. Through 18 road contests, the Orioles come in with a mark of 12-6.
Having been favored in 61.3% of their games, Baltimore has an above .500 record against the runline at 18-13. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 18-12.
Taking the mound for Baltimore is Dean Kremer. Heading into play, he has a mark of 2-1. Compared to other starting pitchers, Dean Kremer has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 6.67. His batting average allowed of .314 is high compared to other pitchers. So far, Kremer has given up seven home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .398. With a total of nine walks, Kremer has a WHIP of 1.58.
Baltimore comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 5.5 runs per game, good for 6th in the MLB. The Orioles are enjoying offensive success as their team batting average ranks 9th at .259. So far, Baltimore's lineup has also been able to hit for power, with a total of 38 home runs, which ranks 11th. Throughout the season, Baltimore's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 4th best OBP of .341.
Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 22-10, the Baltimore Orioles will host the Baltimore Orioles, currently ranked 1st in the NL East. Heading into play, the Braves have won half of their 14 home games, sitting at 7-7.
Atlanta has been favored 84.4% of their games, resulting in an above .500 record against the runline at 17-15. The team has an over/under record of 19-12, with an average betting line of 9.
Starting for the Braves will be Max Fried, with an overall record of 2-0. Leading up to the game, Max Fried has an ERA of just .45. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .206. In terms of power numbers, Max Fried has yet to give up a home run and enters with a WOBA allowed of .218. Fried has a WHIP of .90, with four walks allowed.
Atlanta enters play averaging 5.5 runs per game, placing them 5th in the MLB. The Braves have been able to drive in runs at an above average rate as their team batting average of .263 ranks 6th in the league. The team has also been strong in the power department, having hit 54 home runs which is 2nd. Atlanta's overall OBP of .344 is good for 3rd in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Orioles vs. Braves
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and the Orioles, the Braves are the heavy favorite at -211 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 67.85%. Look for the Braves bats to carry the team to the win. The MLB predictive model recommends taking Atlanta on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Braves -1.5
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