Positions to Prioritize: Statistical Scarcity Breakdown

Position scarcity is a big topic of debate every fantasy baseball season. Not all positions on the baseball diamond are created equal, and they often give us quite different arrays of offensive production for fantasy purposes. In this post, I will take a close look at what's going on at each position by the projections... Read More

Jon Anderson's Outfield Tiered Rankings and Projections, Part 1

One more position to cover in my tiered rankings! We've gone over everything else so far, so check out the rest of those posts if you've missed them! Today, we'll cover the first half of my outfield tiers. I have ranked 74 outfielders for this, and this post covers the first 40 of them. Once... Read More

Jon Anderson's SP Tiered Rankings and Projections, Part 1

Here we go, starting pitcher tiers! This is one of the most challenging exercises of the offseason, but I'm happy to bring you the results of my work here! From December through January, I went through each team in the league and looked at all of their fantasy-relevant players one by one. This gave me... Read More

Kevin Gausman: 2022 Fantasy Baseball Bust?

One of the best picks in 2021 drafts turned out to be San Francisco Giants pitcher Kevin Gausman. He pitched like a bonafide ace for most of the year, beating his ADP by a dozen or so rounds. He rode that great season to a new contract with the Toronto Blue Jays, who signed him... Read More

Jon Anderson's Catcher Tiered Rankings and Projections

Catchers, catchers, catchers. Everybody's least favorite position for fantasy baseball. This year, the position is a bit more interesting. I wrote about this and took a general look at the position here, so check that out if you missed it. We usually find ourselves with a few gems at the top of the position, and... Read More

Jon Anderson's Shortstop Tiered Rankings and Projections

We are moving on to shortstop today in the tiered fantasy baseball rankings and projections series! Check out the rest of what I've completed so far at the links below! First Base Second Base Third Base The shortstop position has become quite deep for fantasy purposes over the last several years. In the older times,... Read More

Jon Anderson's First Base Tiered Rankings and Projections

It is very important to have a feel for how each position is shaking out from a high level before you start a draft. Having positional rankings is great, but having tiered positional fantasy baseball rankings is even better. Throughout February, we will be going over each MLB position and showing you our rankings tiered... Read More

Jon Anderson's Second Base Tiered Rankings and Projections

The second base position has long been a wasteland for fantasy purposes. For whatever reason (maybe there's no reason at all and it's just random chance), the least exciting athletes seem to end up playing this position. You can typically squeeze a lot of batting average and even some steals out of here, but you... Read More

Jon Anderson's Third Base Tiered Rankings and Projections

We're really getting close to the draft season now, and we're firmly on our way through the different positions, ranking and tiering off the top-300 or so players. Today, we look at third base. Typically, this has been a pretty heavy position full of big-time hitters. The top of the ranks is still that, we... Read More

Improved Hitter K% vs. Power Production - Fantasy Baseball Risers

There are plenty of different ways for a hitter to improve at the plate. We see dozens of players every year who make huge improvements at the plate, and it's very important for fantasy managers to identify these hitters earlier than the field does. Sometimes these improvements can be driven by luck, sometimes by a... Read More

Starting Pitchers Home Run Luck Analysis for Fantasy Baseball

The three best predictors of earned run average turn out to be strikeouts, walk, and home runs allowed. These are the three components of most advanced ERA metrics (like FIP, xFIP, SIERA, etc.). Adding on stats into these ERA prediction models can help accuracy a bit more, but most of the heavy lifting is done... Read More

Pitcher Predictability Analysis for Fantasy Baseball

There are different ways to have success as a pitcher. You can have wipe-out stuff, pinpoint command, superior deception, or an arsenal of different pitch types that make it tough for a hitter to see what is coming next. The best pitchers will have all of those things going for them. For this fantasy baseball... Read More

Batted Ball Data Analysis - How Consistent Are GB%, LD%, and FB% Year To Year

When we are evaluating hitters, we talk a lot about batted ball profile. When we're talking about this, things like launch angle and ground ball rate are cited quite often. I wanted to make a post to go over these things a bit more in-depth, giving our readers more complete knowledge of the subject at... Read More

Pitch Count Analysis for Fantasy Baseball - Analyzing Last Year's Starting Pitchers

A few things that have been rising rapidly in the last 20 years of Major League Baseball: revenues, player salaries, and the use of data analytics. These three things working in conjunction have led most Major League teams to be very careful with their starting pitchers, especially their best ones. We have seen both total... Read More

Using Launch Data to Search for Power Breakouts in Fantasy Baseball

Statcast data is such a beautiful thing. I start a ton of posts like this, but I want to say again - the quantity and richness of this data gives guys like me endless opportunities for statistical analysis. Today, we're going to dive into the hitting pool and focus on launch profiles, with the aim... Read More

Predicting Minor League Hitting Stats for the Majors: Searching for Stickiness in Fantasy Baseball

Of all the fantasy sports, baseball probably allows for the most amount of speculation. Given the nature of the game where players spend at least a couple of years in the minor leagues before getting to the highest level, there is a lot of analysis done on these minor leaguers with the hopes of figuring... Read More

Which Cody Bellinger Will We Get In 2022?

Cody Bellinger had one of the better seasons you will ever see in 2019 at the ripe age of 24 years old. In 660 plate appearances, he smashed 47 homers and drove in 115 runs while scoring 121 times and posting an elite slash line of .305/.406/.629. He was just 24 years old at the... Read More

Key Fantasy Football Data from Week 15

There are just a couple of weeks left in the season, and most leagues are probably into their playoff weeks now. It has been a whirlwind of a season, and I think we're all hoping next year brings a little bit more normalcy. Week 15 was no exception to the weirdness of the year, as... Read More

Key Fantasy Football Data from Week 14

It's playoff time! The NFL bye weeks are over and we have just four weeks left on the schedule, which means it is go-time for fantasy football. Time to put all your chips on the table. Just because we're in the playoffs doesn't mean it is time to stop looking backward. Week 14 was another... Read More

Key Fantasy Football Data from Week 13

Another whirlwind week in the books as we barrel towards the fantasy football playoffs. We have increasingly seen undrafted players become key fantasy contributors and a lot of big performances from names that the average fantasy player probably had not even heard of prior to this season. There are five weeks left in this extended... Read More

K-BB% Fallers for Fantasy Baseball - Starting Pitchers to Watch in 2022

We opened up this two-part series in this post, where we went over the K-BB gainers in 2021. Now, it's time to look at the other side of the coin and some of the most notable fallers. In the first part, I reviewed why I believe this statistic to be the most important metric to... Read More

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks (12/3/21): NBA DFS Lineups

It's Friday, which means we have a huge slate of NBA games! There are nine games tipping off tonight, which gives us a plethora of spots to go to for DFS purposes. The prices on the stud players have really been boosted up for these big slates this week, which also works to make things... Read More

Key Fantasy Football Data from Week 12

Welcome back to my weekly fantasy football data dump! I missed Week 11 and I apologize for that. I'm sure you were all just starved for the missing data tables, but I hope you can all climb out of the pit and have hope again in life. This year continues to be a really strange... Read More

Jon Gray to Rangers - Fantasy Baseball Impact Analysis

The Texas Rangers are spending some money this month, making multiple big-time splashes in free agency already. One of their smaller splashes was the signing of Jon Gray, whom they signed to a four-year contract in late November. It is looking more and more like the Rangers will have an above-average offense in 2022, so... Read More

Kevin Gausman to Blue Jays - Fantasy Baseball Impact Analysis

The Toronto Blue Jays scored the third-most runs in Major League Baseball in 2021 while leading the league in home runs by a huge margin. Despite the clear successes on offense and finishing 20 games above the .500 mark, the Jays missed the playoffs after landing fourth in their division. The main reason this team... Read More

Byron Buxton 2021 Year-in-Review

Flashback to May 7, 2021. Major League Baseball had five full weeks in the books, and no player was looking like a better late-round draft pick than Twins centerfielder Byron Buxton. The former highly-touted prospect had registered 98 plate appearances, hitting for a .370 batting average while swatting nine homers to tie for second in... Read More

DraftKings NBA DFS Data Insights (11/17/21): Top Values, Best Matchups, Minute Gainers

We have another big eleven-game slate on this Wednesday night, which gives us a ton of spots to take advantage of. We have some massive injury news in Luka Doncic being out, which is sure to concentrate some ownership to Dallas. This will result in some #BadChalk, which we will do our best to avoid... Read More

Noah Syndergaard to Angels - Fantasy Reaction

It seems like a lifetime ago that baseball fans were watching in awe as Noah Syndergaard broke into the league with his huge frame, his long flowing hair, and his triple-digit velocity. Thor, as he came to be known, seemed like a guy that would be one of the league's best starting pitchers on a... Read More

Key Fantasy Football Data from Week 10

The Bucs came out flat after a bye and lost to the Washington Football Team, Cam Newton beat the league's best team, the Seahawks did not score a point in Russell Wilson's return, and the Steelers and Lions played to a tie. It was another strange week in the NFL. A lot of data was... Read More

DraftKings NBA DFS Data Insights (11/15/21): Top Values, Best Matchups, Minute Gainers

We have nearly a month of basketball in the books, which means it's about time that the projection models really start humming. Every team has played at least 12 games, and we've even seen a lot of teams play without their main players as well which gives us insight on how usage changes in certain... Read More