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Three Up, Three Down - 2018 Third Base Prospects

We’ve been spoiled with some outstanding, young, talented third basemen in recent history. Kris Bryant, Nolan Arenado, Manny Machado, Jose Ramirez, and Miguel Sano (just to name a few) are all 26 years old or younger. All five of those players produced at least 28 home runs and 73 RBI in 2017.

Now, it’s time to take a look at the next patch of players occupying the hot corner that could make a name for themselves in 2018.

Also, there’s a few names you should avoid in your fantasy baseball draft.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Stock Rising

Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Toronto Blue Jays

Impaler 2.0. Vlad’s lad. HOF Jr. Call him what you want. Soon you’ll be calling him a star in the MLB. Guerrero gathered a .425 OBP, along with a .323 AVG in Single-A. You would think his strikeout rate would be astronomical when you factor in his youth. However, Guerrero struck out only 62 times in 437 AB. He is patient for a player his age. Guerrero collected 76 walks in 2017.

At the age of 18, Guerrero led the Florida State League (A+) with a .434 wOBA (209 PA). During that time, he also produced a remarkable BB/K rate of 1.29. His ability to create runs is also amplified by his league-leading 179 wRC+.

Nick Senzel, Cincinnati Reds

If it wasn’t for Guerrero’s super-human stats, Senzel would be the most-talked about prospect at the hot corner. He made the jump to Double-A in late June and Senzel didn’t miss a beat. His BABIP (.391), ISO (.220), and BB% (11.1%) all increased from his time in A+ (.378/.171/8.5%).

The No. 2 overall pick from the 2016 MLB Draft is 22-years-old and should see some time with the Reds before his 23rd birthday (June). He's not worth drafting in most non-keeper leagues, but keep a close eye on him during the season.

Miguel Andujar, New York Yankees

The Yankees know they have something special with Andujar. When Gerrit Cole was on the market, Pittsburgh showed interest in the Yankees third base prospect, but New York said no. Andujar has been with the Bronx organization since 2011.

While the power stats have fluctuated from year-to-year, his BABIP and wOBA numbers have steadily been increasing.

When Matt Holiday went on the DL last season, Andujar was one of the minor leaguers who were brought up to see some playing time in the majors. He went 4-for-7 with two doubles and two singles (four RBI).

However, Andujar needs to work on his defense. Last year, he committed 17 errors in the minors.

 

Stock Falling

Michael Chavis, Boston Red Sox

When looking at the path to the majors, while stats are significant, so is the occupancy of the position at the MLB-level. Chavis stats increased towards the right direction from 2016 to 2017. However, when trying to make the jump from Single-A to Double-A, Chavis’ power numbers dipped (.323 ISO to .242), as well as his batting for average (.360 BABIP to .265).

As for his path, it seems to be blocked by a fellow young talent, Rafael Devers. Devers played in 58 games (222 AB) last season and batted .284 with ten home runs and 30 RBI. He is projected to start at third base for Boston on Opening Day.

However, there’s always a chance that the Red Sox move Chavis to another position (second base). Until then, Chavis will sit on the negative end of the rankings.

Brian Anderson, Miami Marlins

Miami’s biggest export this offseason has been baseball stars. Giancarlo Stanton, Dee Gordon, Christian Yelich, and Marcell Ozuna are all no longer with the organization. That means there will be plenty of playing time for the young prospects in 2018.

However, I’d fish for other third basemen before stopping in this pond. Anderson played a majority of his 2017 season with the Double-A affiliate. He struck out 19.7 percent of the time and Anderson’s .277 BABIP was third-worst among other third basemen in Double-A (minimum of 200 PA).

Anderson even played 25 games in the majors last season. His strike out rate rose to 29.5 percent and his ISO was one of the lowest numbers in his career (.107).

Lucas Erceg, Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers have been very active this offseason. Milwaukee added Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich to their outfield, while shipping their top prospect, Lewis Brinson, to Miami.

Milwaukee still has their top third base prospect, Erceg, and it would take a long shot to see him boosted to the majors any time soon. Last year, he spent most of his time in high-A (538 PA). Erceg produced one of the lowest BABIP numbers among other third basemen in the same league (.287).

However, the 22-year-old did get promoted to Triple-A for three games in 2017. Erceg tallied four hits during that span. If the Brewers keep Erceg for the foreseeable future, I believe he’ll stay in the minors for most of the 2018 season. Travis Shaw is currently locked into the third base spot and Hernan Perez can fill in whenever he is needed.

 

More 2018 MLB Prospects Analysis




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Quentin Grimes

Unavailable on Tuesday
Paul George

Available to Play on Tuesday
LaMelo Ball

Expected to Play on Wednesday
Brandon Miller

Ruled Out for Wednesday's Game
Kristaps Porzingis

Sidelined Again for Wednesday
Kyshawn George

Upgraded to Available on Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Expected to Suit Up Wednesday
Nathan Walker

Out for Eight Weeks
Lian Bichsel

to Sit Out 6-8 Weeks
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Activated From Injured Reserve
Warren Foegele

Remains Out Tuesday
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Probable for Wednesday
Valeri Nichushkin

Available After Eight-Game Absence
Gabriel Landeskog

Nathan MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog Cleared for Tuesday
Jamal Murray

Questionable for Wednesday
Tyson Foerster

to Miss 2-3 Months
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D.J. Durkin Staying at Auburn Under Alex Golesh
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Out of Action Again on Tuesday
Zion Williamson

Sidelined at Least Three Weeks
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Charlie Weis Jr. Permitted to Coach Ole Miss Offense in College Football Playoff
Khris Middleton

Will Not Play Tuesday
Kyshawn George

Is Questionable Against the 76ers
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Says he's Fine After Suffering Hip Contusion
Trey Murphy III

Will Return Tuesday Night
Omarion Hampton

Likely to Return in Week 14
Yves Missi

Uncertain to Play Tuesday Against the Timberwolves
Zion Williamson

Questionable Against Minnesota
Neemias Queta

Set to Return on Tuesday
Derrick White

Will Play Tuesday Against New York
Quentin Grimes

Downgraded to Questionable on Tuesday
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Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
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Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers "Hopeful" Brandon Aiyuk Will Play in 2025
Brayden Point

Without Timetable for Return
Jake Walman

Still Out Tuesday
Mason Appleton

Misses Tuesday's Contest
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Good to Go Tuesday
Conor Garland

Out on Tuesday
Petr Mrazek

Considered Day-to-Day
Tyson Foerster

Hurt in Monday's Loss
Trey Murphy III

May Skip Another Game Tuesday
Zion Williamson

Back in Pelicans Lineup Tuesday
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Carted Off With Hip Injury on Monday Night
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
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Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
Davante Adams

Not Dealing With a Serious Injury
Kyler Murray

Surgery Not on the Table for Kyler Murray
Marvin Harrison Jr.

in Danger of Missing Week 14?
Danila Yurov

Won't Play on Tuesday
David Pastrnak

to Remain Out Tuesday
Adam Gaudette

Iffy for Monday
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
Logan Cooley

a Game-Time Decision Monday
Josh Norris

Available Monday
Neal Pionk

Remains Out Monday
Jimmy Snuggerud

to Miss Six Weeks After Wrist Surgery
Justin Herbert

Having Hand Surgery on Monday
Kyler Murray

Cardinals Won't Open Kyler Murray's Practice Window This Week
Sauce Gardner

Not a Candidate to Go on Injured Reserve
Jayden Daniels

Not Cleared for Contact, Decision on Week 14 Status Delayed
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Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful to Return in Week 14
Tee Higgins

Still in the Concussion Protocol
Drake London

"has a Chance" to Play in Week 14
J.J. McCarthy

in Line to Start in Week 14?
Aaron Jones Sr.

Not Dealing With Serious Shoulder Injury, Likely Day-to-Day
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Dealing With Ankle Injury, "Should be Good" for Week 14
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Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
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Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
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UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
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Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
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Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
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Kentucky Officially Fires Mark Stoops
Justin Herbert

Has Metacarpal Fracture in Left Hand
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Week 14 Availability Up in the Air
Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
CFB

Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
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Florida Poised to Land Jon Sumrall as Next Head Coach
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Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
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Arkansas Expected to Hire Ryan Silverfield as Next Head Coach
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles

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