NFL Week 4 Receiving Props: Best Reception Bets for WRs, RBs & TEs (2025)

September 27, 2025

Dan Palyo's expert NFL receiving props for Week 4 Top reception bets for WRs, RBs & TEs with odds, analysis & predictions. Get our weekly receiving picks you can trust.

We here at RotoBaller are committed to bringing you the best in NFL prop betting content and analysis. Week 4 of the NFL schedule brings more opportunities to cash in on the NFL player prop market, and it's my job to help you find the softest spots to attack with those bets.

This article will focus on receiving props, but we won't limit ourselves just to betting on wide receivers. I'll also provide some of my favorite receiving props for the running back and tight end positions, too.

We will focus on Sunday's games only, but included in that are the Sunday morning game in Ireland (Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota) and the Sunday primetime game (Dallas vs. Green Bay). And don't forget to be sure to check out all of our NFL betting content weekly.

Best NFL Receiving Props Week 4: Top Reception Bets & Expert Picks

Let's take a quick glimpse at the worst ten pass defenses through the first three weeks of the NFL season. These are the teams that rank 23rd through 32nd in DVOA pass defense, with the worst defenses (best matchups) at the top of the list.

The Jets and Dolphins play Monday night, so we won't be going after them here. The Patriots rank 29th, but get their best cornerback back in the lineup this week (Christian Gonzalez), and the Panthers have not looked very good on offense this year.

The rest of these matchups look pretty good, and we will definitely be firing on a few of those, as well as some other good spots that we may have to dig a bit deeper to uncover.

Best Receiving Yards Bets This Week

Matthew Golden (GB) over 44.5 yards receiving (-110 BetMGM)

It was an ugly day for the Green Bay offense last Sunday in their upset loss in Cleveland; however, the Packers' passing game simply could not be in a better spot this week to bounce back.

The tough part is figuring out how the targets are going to be distributed among the Packers' pass-catchers. Last week, rookie speedster Matthew Golden saw the most targets of his young career, catching all four of them for 52 yards, including a long of 34 yards. He tied for the team lead in targets with Dontayvious Wicks and tight end Tucker Kraft.

Matthew Golden feels the breakout is "bound to happen" for himself and the Packers' offense.

Sunday night could be a prime opportunity, as Green Bay squares off against a Dallas defense that's allowed twice as many passing plays of 40-plus yards (six) than any other NFL team. pic.twitter.com/UQUuz72J0o

— Weston Hodkiewicz (@WesHod) September 26, 2025

Golden easily has the most athleticism and upside in the receiver room, and perhaps last week's involvement was a sign of things to come. We're getting him at an incredibly low number here, and let's face it, he could go over this prop with one long reception if he gets behind the Cowboys' secondary on a go route.

The matchup is too good to pass up, and I'd rather attack the yardage number instead of the total receptions (3.5) because he's very capable of going over 44.5 yards in less than four catches.

Jaylen Warren (PIT) over 21.5 yards receiving (-140 BetMGM)

The one constant in the Steelers' offense so far has been Warren, who, after splitting touches with Kenneth Gainwell in Week 1, has established himself as the primary back in Pittsburgh. Warren has had limited success as a runner, but he's been quite effective as a receiver, where he can use his shiftiness and speed to pile up yardage and make some big plays.

Warren has gone over this number in all three of Pittsburgh's games, and he's cruised over it in the last two with receiving totals of 86 (vs. Seattle) and 34 (vs. New England). He's been targeted 10 times in the last two weeks, and I expect that trend to continue with Aaron Rodgers preferring to check down when pressured and Arthur Smith's tendency to call a very conservative game for his pass offense.

With the Steelers' inability to run the football consistently, look for them to continue to find ways to scheme the ball to their best playmaker (Warren) in space.

David Njoku (CLE) over 37.5 yards receiving (-110 DraftKings)

Njoku started the season slower than his backers had hoped, as we saw the "other tight end" - rookie Harold Fannin Jr. - ciphon some of the targets away from Njoku in Week 1. He still managed 37 yards in Week 1 against the Bengals on just three catches, coming up just a half-yard shy of the number we are getting him at for this game against Detroit.

Njoku saw his snap share and route participation rise in the last two weeks. He went 4-40 against the Ravens on five targets in Week 2, and then 5-40 against the Packers last week on seven targets. We know he had great chemistry with Joe Flacco back in 2023 when Flacco led the Browns to the playoffs and Njoku put up some of the best numbers of his career, too.

There are plenty of reasons to think the Browns will end up going pass-heavy in this game. For one, the Lions' run defense has improved this season, and they've become more of a pass-funnel unit. They've held Josh Jacobs, De'Andre Swift, and Derrick Henry all to under 70 yards so far this season.

And the other reason would be that Detroit is a heavy 10-point home favorite. Their offense is firing on all cylinders, and even a strong Cleveland unit is going to struggle to slow them down. If the Browns go down by a few scores early, they'll have no choice but to abandon the run game and let Flacco sling it to keep up with the high-powered Lions' attack.

Detroit just allowed Mark Andrews to go 6-91 last week, and while I am not expecting Njoku to duplicate those numbers, it's a good indication of where their defense is vulnerable, as they're willing to allow some underneath production and force teams to dink and dunk their way down the field with sustained drives to prevent the big play.

Top Wide Receiver Reception Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) over 5.5 receptions (-135 BetMGM)

The Lions love to run the football, but the Browns have one of the best run-stopping units in the NFL, so don't be surprised when Jared Goff airs it out this week at home against Cleveland.

After a lackluster Week 1 performance against Green Bay, the "Sun God" has been back to his usual self with a 9-115-3 performance against the Bears and a 7-77-1 outing against the Ravens last week. He's a matchup nightmare for any cornerback or linebacker with his precision route-running, especially at home on turf, where he can make the quick cuts that often get him wide open in this offense.

He's cleared the 6-catch bar with ease the last two weeks, and I think we'll see him do it again this week.

Michael Pittman Jr. (IND) over 4.5 receptions (-125 BetMGM)

One of the biggest surprises of the 2025 NFL season thus far has to be the play of Daniel Jones and the top-ranked Colts' passing game. This week's matchup between the 3-0 Colts and 2-1 Rams is easily one of the best games on the slate, and Vegas is expecting plenty of points scored as it comes in with a healthy 49.5-point total.

I expect the Colts to have to pass the football this week, as the Rams will likely attempt to slow down Jonathan Taylor and the run game. They had some success in stopping Saquon Barkley last week and forced the Eagles to finally throw the ball to their top receiver (more on him in a minute!)

Pittman Jr. has been the top option in this passing game along with rookie tight end Tyler Warren. Pittman has six catches in two games, while being held to just four against Denver when he saw a lot of Patrick Surtain in coverage.

Look for Pittman Jr. to get targeted plenty in this one, and 4.5 is still a pretty low bar for a WR1 to clear. If Daniel Jones continues his strong play, there's no reason not to think Pittman doesn't rack up five or more catches in this one.

A.J. Brown (PHI) over 4.5 receptions (-130 FanDuel)

This is my first of two Philly receptions props on this slate. We should expect the Eagles to be forced to throw again this week as Tampa has one of the best run-stopping defenses in the NFL. The blueprint for slowing down the Eagles is very clear this season, as we've seen the Chiefs and Rams both load up to stop Barkley and the run game and force Jalen Hurts to beat them with his arm (and legs).

After a fluky, weird Week 1 where he was only targeted once, Brown has piled up 18 targets the last two weeks, securing five catches against the Chiefs and six last week against the Rams. He was hurt last season when Tampa beat the Eagles early in the season, but his lone start against the Bucs came back in 2023 when he went 9-131 against their secondary.

Everything about this matchup suggests this is a big A.J. Brown week, and Tampa has allowed opposing WR1s to catch at least five balls in eight of their last ten games.

Running Back Reception Props to Target

Saquon Barkley (PHI) over 2.5 receptions (-112 FanDuel)

Sticking with the same game here, I am fading Barkley's rushing production (feel free to take the under on his rushing total) in favor of his production in the passing game. While he's not usually known as a major receiving threat and does his best work as a traditional runner, Barkley has caught at least three passes in two of three games this year, and we saw him catch 6-40 in the Super Bowl last season when faced with another very good run defense (Kansas City).

He's averaging four targets per game, and I think we see the Eagles deploy him as a receiver this week as a way to get him the ball out in space instead of slamming him into the brick wall that Tampa's interior defense has been.

James Cook (BUF) over 2.5 receptions (+173 DraftKings)

You've probably noticed that a lot of reception props carry some significant juice on them, especially by this time of the week, as bettors are throwing cash at the overs on their favorite plays. We could bet Cook at 1.5 with -170 odds, but why not go for another catch at much better odds?

Cook, like Barkley, is not known as a prolific pass-catching back, but that doesn't mean that he's not effective in that role. Buffalo fed him five receptions in Week 1, and he saw another three targets (catching all three) last week against the Dolphins.

He did catch only one pass in Week 2 as the Bills rolled the Jets and pulled their starters in the fourth quarter, and that is a potential outcome this week as Buffalo is such a heavy favorite against the Saints. However, if New Orleans provides even a little resistance, Cook could cash this bet for us as the Saints allowed ten catches to James Conner and Christian McCaffrey across Weeks 1 and 2. It's a high-risk, high-reward bet, so wager accordingly.

Tight End Reception Props Worth Betting

Hunter Henry (NE) over 3.5 receptions (-130 BetMGM)

I was a week early on Henry in Week 2 when I bet his props heavily against the Dolphins. It turned out to be his lowest output of the season, and he proceeded to go nuts the following week with a massive 8-90-2 line on 11 targets and a 31% target share.

Drake Maye play-action TD pass to Hunter Henry

PITvsNE on CBS/Paramount+https://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/Wwsh80c3sk

— NFL (@NFL) September 21, 2025

If we toss out the Week 2 result as an outlier, he has 19 targets and 12 catches in his other two games this season. Carolina has allowed at least four catches to each opposing tight end this season and ranks 8th in fantasy points allowed to the position. Henry could easily sail over this number, and it's pretty clear that Drake Maye has honed in on him with his wide receivers being largely inconsistent from week to week.

T.J. Hockenson (MIN) over 3.5 receptions (-155 DraftKings)

Speaking of the Steelers, they were ripped to pieces by Henry last week and now face another very good tight end in Hockenson this week. The veteran Hockenson was much more involved last week with Carson Wentz under center for Minnesota, catching five of six targets for 49 yards and a touchdown.

This one is juiced, but I think it's about as close to a lock as any of the props in this article, so if you hate straight bets over -150, then consider parlaying it with your other favorite juiced-up prop.

Long Shot Receiving Yards Props & Value Plays

Ricky Pearsall (SF) over 65.5 yards receiving (-115 BetMGM)

We may not know the status of Jauan Jennings until Sunday, which is what makes this bet a little riskier than some others, as Jennings' presence in the lineup could take away some targets from Pearsall. However, I am willing to take a risk that either Jennings sits OR that he plays and Pearsall still gets there because he's that good and the matchup is quite solid.

Pearsall has gone way over this number twice this season, with receiving totals of 108 and 117 in Weeks 1 and 3. The Jags have allowed opposing WR1s to go over this number in eight of their last 10 games with those receivers putting up an average line of 8-109 over that stretch.

With Brock Purdy back under center, don't be surprised if Pearsall has a big game as the major downfield threat in this passing game.

Week 4 Receiving and Receptions Props Summary

Here's a quick recap of all the recommended bets from this article. Remember only to bet what you're willing to lose, and that spreading out action across more bets is one way to give yourself a higher weekly floor. Bankroll management is a crucial and often overlooked aspect of sports betting.

I usually wager anywhere from 0.25 to 0.50 units on each player prop every week. I've listed these in my order of confidence for your convenience!

• T.J. Hockenson over 3.5 receptions
• Jaylen Warren over 21.5 receiving yards
• Amon-Ra St. Brown over 5.5 receptions
• Hunter Henry over 3.5 receptions
• David Njoku over 37.5 receiving yards
• A.J. Brown over 4.5 receptions
• Michael Pittman Jr. over 4.5 receptions
• Matthew Golden over 44.5 receiving yards
• Saquon Barkley over 2.5 receptions
• James Cook over 2.5 receptions
• Ricky Pearsall over 65.5 receiving yards

Thanks for reading, and good luck if you decide to tail any or all of these bets!

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