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Kansas City Royals starting pitcher Seth Lugo pitched 6 1/3 innings of one-run ball but did not factor into Sunday's 3-2 loss to the San Diego Padres. The veteran allowed two hits and struck out seven, recording his third outing of 2025 sans issuing a free pass. Lugo boasts a superb 2.93 ERA and 1.05 WHIP through 83 innings (14 starts), but his expected stats tell a different story. The 35-year-old is typically pretty good at outperforming his projections, but he came into this outing with an xERA nearly two full points over his actual (4.94). Furthermore, he had a .280 xBA against and yielded a hard-hit ball 46.3% of the time, placing him in the bottom 15% of all pitchers. He'll get a tough ask next time out against a strong Los Angeles Dodgers lineup at home.--Alex Ciulla
Source: ESPN
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