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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday, July 24th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Mariners vs. Twins
The Mariners take on the Twins on Monday, July 24th 2023 at Target Field, Minneapolis. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Seattle Mariners (50-49) vs. Minnesota Twins (53-48)
- Date: Monday, July 24th 2023
- Time: 7:40 ET
- Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Mariners vs. Twins
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Seattle Mariners - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 50-49, the Seattle Mariners travel to take on the Minnesota Twins, ranked 4th in the AL West. The Mariners will need a win in today's game to move their record on the road (21-24) above the .500 mark.
Despite being the favorite in 67 of their 99 games, Seattle's record against the runline is only 46-53. The team has an over/under record of 49-49, with an average betting line of 8.
For Seattle, Luis Castillo will look to pick up a win over Minnesota, as he has a record of 6-7. Through 20 appearances, Luis Castillo has an ERA of 3.04. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .209. Opposing hitters have gone deep 19 times against Luis Castillo, who has a WOBA allowed of .280. Castillo has a WHIP of 1.05, with 30 walks allowed.
Offensively, Seattle is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.5 runs per game. So far, the Mariners have combined for a team batting average of .231, placing them 23rd in the league. In terms of home runs, Seattle ranks 14th, with a total of 115 long balls. Seattle's offense currently sits 19th in OBP, coming in at .311.
Minnesota Twins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Minnesota Twins host the Seattle Mariners, they have a record of 53-48, placing them 1st in the AL Central. When playing at Target Field, the Twins have played well, posting a record of 29-22.
Minnesota's record against the runline stands at 50-51, even though they have been favored in 64 of their 101 games. The team has an over/under record of 46-49, with an average betting line of 8.
The Twins will send Kenta Maeda to the mound with an overall record of 2-5. Compared to other starting pitchers, Kenta Maeda has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 5.10. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .247. So far, Maeda has given up five home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .300. Maeda has a WHIP of 1.25, with 12 walks allowed.
On offense, Minnesota comes into the game averaging 4.3 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. So far, the Twins have combined for a team batting average of .236, placing them 19th in the league. Currently, Minnesota is one of the best power hitting lineups in the league, at 133 home runs (8th). Minnesota's overall OBP of .314 puts them 17th in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Mariners vs. Twins
Heading into today's matchup between Seattle and Minnesota, the Mariners are the betting favorite at -113 on the moneyline. Seattle's implied win probability sits at 53.05%. The MLB predictive model shows the Twins pulling off the upset over Seattle. It is recommended to take Minnesota on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Twins Moneyline -106
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